Tropical Depression # 9 Has Formed in the Bay of Campeche… Tuesday Eve Update – 10pm #alwx

Good Tuesday evening! We now have newly formed Tropical Depression # 9. This system will likely become a tropical storm tonight or tomorrow, as it tracks east. The good news is this system will not impact our local weather. Here’s the discussion from the National Hurricane Center below:

AT 1000 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/H…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATE WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

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Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

Awesome Weather Continues… Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx

Good Tuesday afternoon! It’s another nice Fall day across Alabama, with temperatures reaching the upper 70s this afternoon. Temperatures will drop a little tomorrow and Thursday, due to a weak cold front passage. Expect highs to reach the lower 70s on Wednesday and Thursday, with lows in the lower 40s at night. If you have plans outdoors this evening or tonight, expect clear skies and cool conditions. Temperatures will reach the upper 40s for lows tonight, with a light to calm wind.

A north breeze will take over on Wednesday, but it’s not going to be a windy day. The light breeze will only help to reinforce the cooler air already present in our area. Again, highs will top out in the lower 70s both Wednesday and Thursday. Expect a good supply of sun for the rest of the week and over the weekend.

The Friday night football forecast is looking great, with temperatures dropping into the 50s during the local high school games. Expect clear skies and calm winds for the games…

We’re watching an area of low pressure in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. This feature is moving east and could become a weak tropical system in the next day or two. Most models keep this feature weak, so we’re not overly concerned about a major storm developing out of this, however, we will be watching it carefully. Fortunately, all models keep it away from Alabama.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

Possible Tropical Formation in Bay of Campeche… No U.S. Impact Expected – Tuesday Update 4pm #alwx

The image above is a map from the National Hurricane Center. The potential tropical system is headed east instead of north, so it will stay out of our area. Most forecasts do not predict strong development, so it should not become a major storm, but we’ll keep an eye on it.

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft did find a small well-defined low in the southern Bay of Campeche. However, the thunderstorms associated with the low are still not organized enough for this system to be considered a tropical cyclone. Upper-level winds could become more conducive for further development by tomorrow, and this system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland over the Mexican state of Campeche late Wednesday or early Thursday. Later in the week, tropical cyclone formation appears unlikely due to interaction with a cold front while the system is over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Interests in Campeche and elsewhere in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm warnings could need to be issued with short notice.

The satellite image above shows where the storm is now. You can see the storm developing just west of the Yucatan Peninsula. This system is not very well organized at this time, but it should slowly get a little better organized over the next day or two as it moves east.

Source: The National Hurricane Center

Caitlin Golden

WVUA Weather Intern