Mostly Dry Late Week… Storms By Late Weekend… Wednesday Afternoon Forecast – 4:15pm Update

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Good Wednesday afternoon! Parts of west Alabama have really missed out on the heavier rain so far today, while much of central and east Alabama have picked up a nice soaking. If you haven’t got rain just yet, there is still a chance of scattered storms through this afternoon, evening and tonight. As a cold front moves in from the northwest, we will notice the risk of scattered storms sticking around until late tonight. Temperatures will remain rather mild, with middle 80s at 7pm and upper 70s at 10pm. Lows tonight will reach the lower 70s areawide.

The weak cold front will pass through Alabama early Thursday morning. As drier air takes over through the day, I expect skies to gradually clear out on Thursday, with temperatures reaching the lower 90s. There is still a chance of a stray shower or storm early on Thursday, but most of Alabama will stay dry. Humidity will drop off behind the front Thursday afternoon and on Friday. Highs will continue to top out in the lower 90s on Friday and Saturday, under a mostly sunny sky. Lows may reach the upper 60s Friday night. There is a 10% chance of a stray shower or storm on Friday and Saturday, but most areas will not get a drop.

Moisture will quickly increase on Sunday and Monday. As an upper air trough digs to our east and upper air ridge builds to our west, the chance of storms will increase for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. Alabama will be under a northwest flow aloft, which is favorable for storms at any time Sunday through Tuesday. We’ll have to keep a close eye on storms northwest of Alabama, as they will move into the area. Some storms could become strong and produce heavy rain. Lightning will also be frequent with storms that develop late in the weekend and early next week. Highs will top out in the lower 90s or upper 80s…

If you have a beach trip planned this weekend, expect a mixture of clouds and sunshine, with a risk of scattered storms. Rain chances stand at 30% to 40% on Friday through Sunday along the Gulf Coast. Water temperatures remain in the lower 80s…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Some Storms Ahead… Dry Friday… Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4:50pm

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Good Tuesday afternoon! Our weather has turned out hot, with temperatures in the lower 90s. Now that moisture levels are much higher today, heat index values have reached the 100 to 105 degree range. If you are working outdoors this afternoon or evening, drink lots of water to stay hydrated. A few storms have developed across west and south Alabama, but most areas are dry. Expect a small chance of a passing shower or storm this evening and tonight. Lows will fall into the lower 70s late tonight.

As a weak cold front moves into Alabama from the northwest on Wednesday, showers and storms will become likely. It will not rain all day or night, but expect the chance of downpour for an hour or two. Not everyone will get a soaking, but some areas will get an inch. Highs will top out in the upper 80s to around 90 on Wednesday. Models are in good agreement that the front will push south of our area on Thursday and Friday. Rain chances will drop to 30% on Thursday and 10% on Friday. Most areas will stay dry on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Highs will return into the lower 90s each of these days, with lows in the lower 70s Thursday night and upper 60s Friday night.

We’ll get stuck in a rather wet pattern on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. A trough northeast of Alabama and a ridge west of Alabama will place our area under a northwest flow aloft. We will likely deal with a few storms on and off Sunday through Tuesday, but it will not rain all day or night. Expect an hour or two worth of rain at your house before the storms move past your area.

If you have a beach trip planned this weekend, expect a mixture of clouds and sunshine, with a risk of scattered storms. Rain chances stand at 40% on Friday through Sunday along the Gulf Coast. Water temperatures remain in the lower 80s…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Hot Days… Storms By Mid-Week… Monday Forecast Update – 4pm

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Good Monday afternoon! Our weather has turned out rather nice, compared to the typically hot and humid July weather. Temperatures remain below normal, and dewpoints are low. If you look out the window, you’ll notice little to no cloud cover over the area; in-fact, it looks like an early fall day. With dry air in place, temperatures will rapidly drop after sunset. Expect temperatures to reach the middle 80s at 7pm and lower 70s at 10pm. Lows will gradually drop into the upper 60s before sunrise Tuesday morning.

Moisture levels will increase a tad on Tuesday, so the rather cool morning will turn into a hot and humid afternoon. Highs will reach the lower 90s on Tuesday, with only a 10% risk of a passing shower or storm. Most of Alabama will stay dry on Tuesday. We’ll be stuck between a ridge and trough on Wednesday, which will cause Alabama to remain under a northwest flow aloft both Wednesday and Thursday. As moisture levels increase and disturbances move into the area from the northwest, we’ll notice a good coverage of showers and storms on Wednesday and Thursday. It will not rain all day, but have the umbrella handy. Highs will reach the upper 80s to lower 90s. Expect lows in the lower 70s at night.

Some drier air will slip in on Friday and Saturday, which will dry out most of Alabama. Rain chance is at 10%, but it sure looks like most areas will not have rain. Highs will top out in the lower 90s on Friday and Saturday, under a mostly sunny sky. Expect lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s over the weekend.

Changes are expected on Sunday and Monday, as an approaching cold front moves into Alabama. Rain chances will increase into the good chance or likely range both Sunday and Monday.

If you have a beach trip planned this weekend, expect a mixture of clouds and sunshine, with a risk of scattered storms. Rain chances stand at 40% on Friday through Sunday along the Gulf Coast. Water temperatures remain in the lower 80s…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Rain Chances Return By Mid-Week – Sunday Evening Forecast Update 9 PM

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As expected, most areas stayed dry today with the exception of our far southern counties where they had to dodge a few raindrops here and there. A frontal boundary is basically washed out, or has become stationary, to our south and is roughly paralleling Highway 80. Along and south of this feature is where the higher coverage of isolated to scattered showers and storms will remain into Monday.

Up this way, we should have one more nice and warm day for Monday. A mixture of sun and clouds will be the story, along with highs in the low 90s for most spots. As we head into Tuesday, a disturbance in the upper-levels will pass to our north, but we will also be on the periphery of a retreating mid-level ridge. What this means is that, for now, most areas are expected to stay dry one more day on Tuesday; however, a few stray showers and storms cannot totally be ruled out but the coverage should remain very isolated.

We evolve into a northwest flow aloft by Wednesday and Thursday, and several pieces of energy riding through this flow will help increase our rain chances both afternoons. It shouldn’t rain all day, and it will be a little difficult to pinpoint exactly when the rain chances will be highest, so keep the rain gear handy both days. Highs will drop a few degrees back into the upper 80s.

For now, most models are suggesting we dry out for Friday and maybe Saturday as well. However, I’m not confident enough this far out to take the rain chances completely out of the forecast. Stay tuned for further changes to the forecast during this timeframe.

The tropics in the Atlantic remain fairly quiet, even though the remnants of Dorian may be getting their act back together. The National Hurricane Center maintains a 50% of regeneration over the next 48 hours. We’ll watch this system over the coming days to see if it can get its act back together. Also, in the central Pacific, Tropical Storm Flossie will be approaching the Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days. Flash flood watches and tropical storm watches and warnings remain in place for the entire chain of islands.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac

A Few Relative Cool Nights Ahead…Staying Dry Through Monday – Saturday Evening Forecast Update 8:40 PM

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As of Saturday evening, a few showers remained on the radar across parts of west Alabama, but most areas were dry. Temperatures are actually heading for right around 70 or even a couple of degrees cooler this evening, and some patchy fog is forecast to develop especially in areas that saw rain earlier today and in areas that can get some clearing during the overnight.

As we head into Sunday, northerly winds will help filter in some drier air and accordingly we should see lots of sunshine. A departing frontal boundary may set off a few showers across the far southern part of our viewing area, mainly along and south of highway 80, but most areas will stay dry tomorrow. It looks like the dry weather will stick with us into Monday as well as a mid-level ridge axis builds in from the west. This will allow temperatures to get back into the low 90s by Monday.

By mid-week, a strong mid-level wave will pass north of our area, but this wave will likely cause some height to slightly lower in the mid-levels, which combined with a returning southerly flow at the surface, should mean at least isolated showers and storms returning to the forecast by Tuesday afternoon. A frontal boundary tries to approach from the north by Wednesday and Thursday, and this will mean a little higher coverage of afternoon storms across the area with temperatures remaining around 90.

It looks like we can decrease the rain chances slightly for the first part of the weekend, but the pesky northwest flow returns by Sunday, bringing with it higher rain chances for the end of the weekend.

A quick check of the tropics reveals that Dorian is no more, as the Hurricane Center discontinued advisories earlier this afternoon. All other areas of the Atlantic Basin remain quiet.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac

Some Rain on Saturday…Dry Sunday… Friday Forecast Update – 4:30pm

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Good Friday afternoon! Our weather has turned out rather nice on this Friday, with a good supply of sun and temperatures only reaching the upper 80s for highs. As of 4:30pm, high level cirrus clouds are spreading in from the northwest. This is signs of our next storm system, which is due in Alabama on Saturday. Temperatures will drop into the low 80s by 8pm and middle 70s by 10pm.

If you have outdoor plans this evening, expect skies to become mostly cloudy as the evening and overnight hours progress. I do not expect rain for this evening or much of tonight, but a few showers will become possible around daybreak Saturday morning. Rain chances will increase across west Alabama first Saturday morning, but all of central and west Alabama will deal with a good chance of scattered showers and storms through the day on Saturday. It will not rain all day or night, but have the umbrella handy at any point in the day. It looks like the heavier rain will occur south of I-20, but all of our area has the chance of a few downpours. Highs will top out in the middle to upper 80s on Saturday, due to the clouds and the risk of rain at times.

The weak cold front will slide through Alabama Saturday night, so dry air will quickly take over from the northwest. Skies will quickly clear out by Sunday morning, with mostly sunny skies through the day on Sunday. A lone shower or storm can’t be ruled out south of I-20, but most of us will stay dry. Temperatures will cool into the upper 60s by Saturday and Sunday night. Highs will reach the lower 90s on Sunday and Monday.

Tropical moisture will increase on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the risk of scattered storms making a return. Highs will continue in the lower 90s.

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Good news is coming from the National Hurricane Center from Tropical Storm Dorian. Winds are dropping as the storm weakens. Dorian has now lost all deep convection near the center, which will continue to weaken the storm over the next day or two. Wind shear and dry air will prevent any additional organization; in-fact, the NHC expects Dorian to weaken to a tropical depression or open tropical wave over the weekend. The storm is moving in the general direction of the US, but it sure looks like the environment ahead of Dorian will keep it from becoming a risk to life and property… We’ll keep an eye on this system over the coming days.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Dry Today and Friday… Few Scattered Storms on Saturday… Thursday Forecast Update – 4:45pm

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Good Thursday afternoon! Our weather has turned out very nice today, with low humidity and sunny skies. Temperatures remain below normal, with highs in the middle to upper 80s. Dry air will allow temperatures to cool quickly tonight, with temperatures in the middle 80s at 7pm, middle 70s at 10pm and upper 60s around midnight. Overnight lows will reach the middle to upper 60s late tonight and early Friday morning. Dry air will also allow temperatures to quickly warm into the 90s Friday afternoon. Skies will remain mostly sunny on Friday, with a high near 92.

An upper air trough will swing through the eastern US on Saturday. The trough will send a weak cold front through Alabama during the day on Saturday. A few scattered storms are possible on Saturday, but I don’t expect a washout. Have the umbrella handy on Saturday. Skies will remain partly cloudy to mostly cloudy for your Saturday plans… Models now agree the front will pass through Alabama and dry air will take over on Sunday. We can expect temperatures to fall into the upper 60s Sunday morning and Monday morning, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Humidity will remain rather low both Sunday and Monday, so it will feel fairly nice.

Moisture will quickly increase on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Look for skies to become partly cloudy, with the risk of scattered storms at any point. It will not rain all day, and the risk of rain stands at 30%.

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Tropical Storm Dorian maintains winds at 60mph, as of the 5pm advisory. Dorian is moving west northwest at 18mph, and this general motion is expected over the next few days. There is a chance it could become a weak hurrican before impacting the Bahamas on Tuesday of next week. It is still too early to know if this will be a threat to the US mainland, but we’ll keep a close eye on it.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua