Storms Wednesday Noon – 7pm… Thoughts on This… 9:30pm Tuesday Update #alwx @wvua23

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Good Tuesday evening! Here’s an update on the risk of strong to isolated severe storms Wednesday afternoon. Looking over our latest highres computer model data coming in tonight, everything is on track. I expect a mostly weak and broken line of showers and storms to race southeast across west & central Alabama during the afternoon hours on Wednesday.

The best wind shear for tornado formation will be well north of Alabama. The best uplift for more widespread and intense thunderstorms will be well north of Alabama. Instability here will be decent for an early March event. Basically, we’ll have just enough instability and uplift to kick off a very thin and broken line of showers and storms. The more intense storms along the thin line may produce a damaging wind gust or two as it passes across central Alabama, with a quick burst of heavy rain and brief intense lightning. An isolated storm or two may even produce small hail. The risk of a tornado in central Alabama appears really low, but we’ll carefully watch storms. This will be an incredibly fast hitting event, where the storm may begin and end in your area within 15 to 30 minutes.

The thin, broken line will impact areas near Hamilton, Vernon, Fayette, Jasper, Cullman and Reform between noon and 4pm. Areas along I-59 such as Livingston, Tuscaloosa, Birmingham and Gadsden will deal with the storms between 2pm and 6pm. Storms will exit our south and east Alabama counties by 7pm, impacting areas around Auburn and Montgomery to the south of our coverage area.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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Strong Storms Wednesday PM… A Little Cooler Thursday… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Tuesday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out very mild this afternoon, with areas south of Tuscaloosa reaching 80 degrees! Thicker clouds and some rain across north Alabama earlier today has kept temperatures a tad cooler along the HWY 278 corridor. Most areas there are in the low 70s. Temperatures will remain mild this evening, with overnight lows in the middle to upper 60s. A few isolated showers are possible tonight and into Wednesday morning.

Wednesday will feature a very mild day, with a high in the upper 70s. Lots of questions are on the severe weather risk for Wednesday. Here’s the latest…

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A very thin, broken line of showers and storms will enter northwest Alabama up around Florence and the Shoals during the midday hour. The line will race east and southeast across west and central Alabama, moving out of Alabama and into Georgia by 7pm Wednesday evening.

Here’s the time-line: Storms will begin aroun noon in far northwest Alabama (around the Florence/Shoals area), then advance east to impact the I-59 coridoor (Livingston to Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Gadsden) sometime between 3pm and 5pm. Storms will exit our east and east central Alabama countiues (areas around Anniston, Lineville, Auburn & Montgomery) by 7pm. The storms will only last maybe 15 to 30 minutes in one spot, then it’s over for you!

Storms along the line could produce strong gusty winds up to 60mph in spots. Storms could also produce isolated areas of hail up to quarter size. The tornado risk is really, really low, but I can’t rule out a spin-up somewhere along the line. Again, it will be very fast moving, with the main risk from strong gusty winds.

If there is a tornado warning issued, you can tune into WVUA for live, non-stop coverage. Also, you can go to wvua23.com, click weather and hit the weather stream option to watch us non-stop online as well.

The rest of the forecast will include a return of somewhat cooler air on Thursday and Friday. Highs will drop into the low 60s, with lows in the middle 30s Thursday night and Friday night. There could be a touch of light frost in some areas. Look for lots of sunshine through the weekend. Warmer air will return on Sunday and Monday. We’ll reach the upper 60s on Sunday, with low 70s possible on Monday.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Quick Update on Wednesday’s Strong to Isolated Severe Storm Risk… Tue Update 10:45am #alwx @wvua23

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Here’s the short and sweet on tomorrow’s severe weather risk…

A very thin, broken line of storms will race east across Alabama during the afternoon hours. Storms will begin aroun noon in far northwest Alabama (around the Florence area), then advance east to impact the I-59 coridoor (Livingston to Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Gadsden) sometime between 3pm and 5pm. Storms will exit our east and east central Alabama countiues (areas around Anniston, Lineville, Auburn & Montgomery) by 7pm. The storms will only last maybe 15 to 30 minutes in one spot, then it’s over for you!

Storms along the line could produce strong gusty winds up to 60mph in spots. Storms could also produce isolated areas of small hail. The tornado risk is really, really low, but I can’t rule out a spin-up somewhere along the line. Again, it will be very fast moving, with the main risk from strong gusty winds.

If there is a tornado warning issued, you can tune into WVUA for live, non-stop coverage. Also, you can go to wvua23.com, click weather and hit the weather stream option to watch us non-stop online as well.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Few Strong to Isolated Severe Storms Wednesday PM… 10PM Monday Eve Update #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday evening! Here’s an update on the risk of strong to isolated storms on Wednesday.

A broken line of showers and storms will form by noon on Wednesday over northwest Alabama (in areas near Vernon, Fayette, Hamilton, Jasper & Cullman.) By 2pm, showers and storms should be near the I-59 corridor (in areas near Livingston, Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and Gadsden.) At 4pm to 6pm, showers and storms will be impacting deep central and far east central AL (areas near Montgomery, Clanton, Talladega, Lineville and Anniston.) This will be a very quick hitting event, where storms may only last 30 minutes in your area, then pass to your east.

The main risk from this event will be isolated damaging wind gusts up to 60mph. Storms may also produce small hail, but the tornado risk remains very low. While the tornado risk is very low, an isolated spin-up tornado can’t be totally ruled out. The parameters we look at when forecasting severe weather simply do not overlap very well. The best wind shear will be moving out as the best instability and uplift is moving in, and the strongest uplift will be displaced well north of Alabama. The surface low will be near the Canadian boarder as the storms move in, which tends to be a limiting factor for severe weather and tornadoes in Alabama. I think the highest potential for damaging winds and tornadoes will occur in Tennessee and Kentucky.

Understand, these things can change. We’re close enough to the event and models have been consistent enough for my confidence to be high on the outcome, however, we always want you to be alert going into an event like this incase something changes. We will be watching radar and providing updates for you through the event. If there is a tornado warning issued, you can tune into WVUA for live, non-stop coverage. Also, you can go to wvua23.com, click weather and hit the weather stream option to watch us non-stop online as well.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Very Mild Through Wednesday. Storms Ahead… Monday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday afternoon! We’ve had a soaker of a rain event this morning and into the afternoon across much of west and central Alabama. Rain amounts have varied from 1″ on the high end to 1/4th an inch on the low end. Scattered showers continue to move into Alabama from the west, but the widespread moderate rain has ended. As a warm front moves northward tonight, temperatures will rise into the low 60s by sunrise tomorrow morning. A few showers will remain possible at times as the front moves north across the area.

Tuesday will feature very mild temperatures, with a high in the upper 70s. A few areas may touch 80 over central and southwest Alabama Tuesday afternoon. A few scattered showers will remain possible, especially north of Tuscaloosa, Birmingham and Anniston. A cold front will push through Alabama Wednesday afternoon, bringing a risk of a few strong storms and perhaps a few severe storms. Below are my thoughts on this event…

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First, I do NOT expect Wednesday to be an outbreak event. This appears to be a rather low end risk of damaging winds and maybe an isolated spin-up tornado. The parameters we look at when forecasting severe weather simply do not overlap very well. The best wind shear will be moving out as the best instability and uplift is moving in, and the strongest uplift will be displaced well north of Alabama. The surface low will be near the Canadian boarder as the storms move in, which tends to be a limiting factor for severe weather and tornadoes in Alabama.

I think the highest potential for damaging winds and tornadoes will occur in Tennessee and Kentucky, as that will be where the greatest overlap occurs. Down our way, I expect a rather thin line of storms to blow through west and central Alabama during the midday through late afternoon. Storms should reach far west Alabama sometime around noon, then exit east Alabama into Georiga by 8pm. The line of storms will be capable of producing gusty winds, brief heavy rain and intense lightning. Small hail will be possible, with a few isolated areas of damaging strait line winds. The risk of tornadoes appears really low, but I can’t rule out a spin-up somewhere on the line.

Please understand, these things can change. We’re close enough and models have been consistent enough for my confidence to be high on the outcome, however, we always want you to be alert going into an event like this incase something changes. We will be watching radar and providing updates for you through the event. If there is a tornado warning issued, you can tune into WVUA for live, non-stop coverage. Also, you can go to wvua23.com, click weather and hit the weather stream option to watch us non-stop online as well.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Few Strong to Severe Storms Possible Wednesday… Monday Update – 11:45am #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday midday to you! I’ve had a lot of questions this morning about the severe weather risk coming up on Wednesday. Here’s my latest thoughts…

First, I do NOT expect an outbreak from this event. This appears to be a rather low end risk of damaging winds and maybe an isolated spin-up tornado. The parameters we look at when forecasting severe weather simply do not overlap very well. The best wind shear will be moving out as the best instability and uplift is moving in, and the strongest uplift will be displaced well north of Alabama. The surface low will be near the Canadian boarder as the storms move in, which tends to be a limiting factor for severe weather and tornadoes in Alabama.

I think the highest potential for damaging winds and tornadoes will occur in Tennessee and Kentucky, as that will be where the greatest overlap occurs. Down our way, I expect a rather thin line of storms to blow through west and central Alabama during the midday through late afternoon. Storms should reach far west Alabama sometime around noon, then exit east Alabama into Georiga by 8pm. The line of storms will be capable of producing gusty winds, brief heavy rain and intense lightning. Small hail will be possible, with a few isolated areas of damaging strait line winds. The risk of tornadoes appears really low, but I can’t rule out a spin-up somewhere on the line.

Please understand, these things can change. We’re close enough and models have been consistent enough for my confidence to be high on the outcome, however, we always want you to be alert going into an event like this incase something changes. We will be watching radar and providing updates for you through the event. If there is a tornado warning issued, you can tune into WVUA for live, non-stop coverage. Also, you can go to wvua23.com, click weather and hit the weather stream option to watch us non-stop online as well.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Rain Monday…Severe Weather Wednesday?…Sunday Evening Update 5:35p.m.

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Good Sunday evening! We started off very chilly this morning but this afternoon turned out great weather wise. Tonight, expect not so chilly conditions. Clouds are going to start sliding in overnight, blanketing in our warmer temperatures from this afternoon. Around midnight, we can start to expect rain to arrive on the western edge of the state. Rain will gradually progress from west to east throughout Monday, making for a dreary start to the work week. Areas behind the rain can expect cool conditions; however, areas in east and southeast Alabama may get some warmer conditions, into the lower 70’s, before rain arrives (probably closer to lunch time). Monday night, the chance for showers will continue as a warm front start to lifts from our south, meaning cloud cover and Gulf air will both aid in keeping the night’s temperatures on the mild side.

Tuesday, the lifting warm front will provide the chance for more showers, as well as a few thunderstorms. Wednesday, though, holds the greatest chance for storm activity. An approaching cold front to our west will bring storm activity Wednesday afternoon. Atmospheric conditions currently seem more conducive enough to get some severe weather sparked. The greater chance will be for everyone north of the I-20 line. As of now, exact timing isn’t available yet; plan on activity to start for west Alabama around 2-5 p.m. Stay posted with us on any changing updates.

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After the storms Wednesday night, cooler air funnels in behind the front, meaning a cooler Thursday. Temperatures will remain cooler for the remainder of the work week. The weekend looks to have some increasing cloud cover throughout as a new chance for rain develops and currently takes aim to arrive Monday the following week.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Reggie Roakes
Facebook: Meteorologist Reggie Roakes
Twitter: MetRoakes
Instagram: Reggie Roakes