Rain Total Map for February 2013… Thursday Update 10pm

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Good Thursday evening! Today is the final day of February is passing, as we move into the month of March. It’s safe to say we’ve had a lot of rain this month. The map above shows rain totals across Alabama during the entire month of February.

The higher amounts occured over south Alabama, with totals between 15 and 20 inches just south of HWY 80. Most spots reported 6 to 9 inches of rain along I-20. Notice how rain totals are lower over extreme north Alabama, with only 2 to 4 inches across the Tennessee Valley. Over the month, we had several rounds of very heavy rain, which caused some river and creek flooding from time to time.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Cold Air Ahead…Snow Flurries on Saturday…Thursday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4pm

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Good Thursday afternoon! Temperatures are about 10 degrees cooler than this time yesterday, as a chilly airmass takes over today. Clouds are gradually increasing this afternoon, and you’ll notice skies becoming cloudy later tonight, as lows fall into the lower 30s. The air over our area will remain dry, so I don’t expect any precipitation tonight. With a good deal of clouds on Friday, temperatures will struggle to reach the upper 40s. Friday will be a cold winter-like day, with the chance of a sprinkle or two.

The airmass will continue to cool a bit by Friday night, with a low near 30 degrees. A few snow flurries are expected along and north of I-20 late Friday night, with snow flurries and snow showers becoming more likely for all of west and central Alabama Saturday morning. While many of you will see some flakes flying around on Saturday, I don’t expect snow accumulations or road issues. Highs will top out in the lower 40s on Saturday. Since the air just above the ground is forecasted to become very cold on Saturday, snow flakes will be able to reach the ground, even with above freezing temperatures. As lift from the upper air trough moves east of Alabama, snow flurries will end by late afternoon on Saturday.

Temperatures will reach the upper 20s Saturday night, with skies becoming clear. Highs will struggle to reach the middle 40s on Sunday, despite a sunny day. Temperatures will become very cold Sunday night, with a low near 22. A quick warming trend will put temperatures back in the 50s for highs on Monday and Tuesday.

Our next storm system will bring some showers on Tuesday, with highs in the 50s. There’s a small chance of a few snow flakes Tuesday night, but confidence is still pretty low. We’ll continue to update the forecast for you. Forecast models show a nice warming trend by Thursday and Friday of next week.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

 

Cold Air Ahead, Some Snow Showers on Saturday… Wednesday Night Forecast Update – 10pm

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Good Wednesday evening! After a warmer day today, with highs in the lower 60s, cold air will gradually take over for the rest of the week and into the weekend. Lows will fall into the upper 30s tonight, with a partly cloudy sky. We’ll continue to notice a cloud and sunshine mix through the day on Thursday. Highs will reach the lower 50s. As the upper air trough deepens across the south, temperatures will continue to drop.

Friday will turn into a cold day, with highs in the upper 40s. Clouds will thicken up as some uplift moves into the area. A few sprinkles are possible on Friday, but I don’t expect widespread rain at all. A few snow flurries are possible north of Hamilton and Cullman Friday afternoon and evening, but that activity will stay north of our area.

An upper air low will move through the base of the trough on Saturday. Uplift from that feature will bring the risk of snow flurries and snow showers on Saturday. Most spots will see some flakes flying around on Saturday, but I don’t expect anything to stick. It will not snow all day, but some flakes will fly across all of west and central Alabama at some point on Saturday.

Temperatures will stay very cold through the weekend, with highs in the 40s on Saturday and Sunday. Lows will fall into the upper 20s Saturday night and lower 20s Sunday night. We’ll notice a gradual warming trend on Monday and Tuesday, with highs in the upper 50s. Showers are possible on Tuesday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Snow Showers on Saturday… Accumulations Unlikely… – Wednesday Update 2:15pm

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Good Wednesday afternoon! The upcoming weekend forecast has many folks excited about a brush of winter weather. We’re getting late in the season for snow events to continue, so this may be our last shot to see some snow before temperatures warm this spring. Above is the RPM, valid for 9am Saturday morning. This is a radar simulation off the forecast model. If this is a correct solution, all of west and central Alabama would be dealing with on and off snow showers; even as far south as Jackson, AL. While you see lots of blue, snow, the precip will be rather light and spotty.

Why I don’t expect snowfall accumulations… First, this event will be happening in early March, when the sun angle is higher. Melting will occur faster with a higher sun angle in March, rather than a much lower sun angle in January. Next, surface temperatures will remain above freezing. Most spots will be in the upper 30s to around 40 when the snow falls on Saturday, so that will cause melting. Since temperatures just above the ground will be well below freezing, snow flakes will be allowed to reach the ground level, even with temperatures at the ground level above freezing. I’ve seen it snow as warm as 45 with a setup like this. Next, there’s not enough moisture to create a heavy snow event. To offset melting, you must have heavy snow for it to stick this time of the year. Finally, it will not snow constantly on Saturday. Instead, we’ll deal with convective snow showers. This means, you’ll see a burst of light snow at your house for 10 to 15 minutes, then it will stop for a while. Similar to summer showers, these snow showers will come and go at a fast speed. The sun may even peak out between snow showers.

The bottom line… This will not be a big deal at all, but many of you will see lots of snow flakes flying around on Saturday. It will be a lot of fun to see and will be harmless due to no roadway impacts. I wouldn’t be shocked if a burst of snow puts a dusting down in areas north of I-20, but that dusting will melt within a few minutes.

Time-frame… Snow showers and flurries will start in northwest Alabama Friday night and continue on and off all day on Saturday. Snow showers will end just after sunset on Saturday.

We’ll watch this system just incase any surprises develop. You never know with this setup…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

 

Dry Weather This Week…Snow Showers on Saturday… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4pm

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Good Tuesday afternoon! Our weather has turned dry after a soaking rain yesterday evening and lastnight, but our weather is chilly and dry. Temperatures remained in the 40s along and north of I-20 all day, with lower 50s being reported south of the interstate. Skies remain mostly cloudy this afternoon, but skies will gradually clear out late tonight and on Wednesday. While clouds will continue to move overhead from time to time, atleast we will see some sun.

Lows will fall into the upper 30s tonight, under a partly cloudy sky. With some sun at times on Wednesday, most spots will warm into the upper 50s. A few 60 degree temperatures are possible by mid afternoon. A surge of colder air takes over on Thursday and Friday, with afternoon highs falling into the lower 50s and lows dropping below freezing. A deep upper level low will pass over Alabama on Saturday, which will mean for an interesting early March forecast.

Snow showers will become likely on Saturday, as the cold core upper level low passes over Alabama. This feature will bring lift and a batch of cold air. I don’t expect snow accumulations at this time, but we’ll have to keep an eye on this feature. Upper level lows can be tricky to forecast, so it’s worth keeping an eye on. At this time, we can expect snow flurries and snow showers at times on Saturday.

We will go dry on Sunday, with lows in the upper 20s Sunday morning and highs in the upper 40s Sunday afternoon. A warming trend takes over on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s. Our next system will move in on Tuesday, with the risk of a few showers.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Rain Tonight…Dry and Cold Weather Ahead! Monday Eve Forecast Update – 10:30pm

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Rain will continue at times on this Monday night, with a soaking expected. Areas south of I-20 may pick up about an inch of rain, while areas along and north of I-20 pick up 1/2 an inch. Look for some thunder, but I don’t expect severe weather issues. Dry weather will take over just in time for our Tuesday morning plans. Above is the radar image as of 10:30pm.

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The forecast will become rather cool on Tuesday, with afternoon highs in the lower 50s. A light shower or two can’t be ruled out on Tuesday, but most spots will stay dry. Skies remain mostly cloudy on Tuesday, but skies will go sunny on Wednesday. Temperatures will fall into the upper 30s Wednesday morning. Highs will warm into the upper 50s on Wednesday.

Temperatures go down-hill on Thursday and Friday, with highs in the lower 50s. A sharp upper air trough will build into the south on Saturday, and highs will struggle to reach the middle 40s. A few snow showers or snow flurries are possible on Saturday. I don’t expect any issues with that, and amounts will be too light for anything to stick. We’ll keep an eye on it.

A gradual warming trend takes over by early next week, with highs in the upper 50s on Monday. A hard freeze is expected Saturday night and Sunday night, with lows in the upper 20s.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

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Severe Weather Just West of Alabama…Lots of Rain Tonight!… Monday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4pm

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Good Monday afternoon! Notice lots of rain on radar just west of Alabama, as of 4pm. This large batch of rain and thunderstorms will start in southwest Alabama (Marengo and Sumter County) between now and 6pm. Rain will continue to spread northeast and will include the Tuscaloosa and Birmingham areas after 6pm.

Much of Mississippi is under a tornado watch this evening until 10pm. The risk of severe weather is a little higher over Mississippi, where isolated tornadoes are possible. The storms should drop below severe limits once they reach west Alabama. We’ll keep an eye on radar incase a storm or two reaches severe limits. A large complex of rain along the coast is really protecting west and central Alabama from a big severe weather risk. The storms are blocking the inflow of unstable air into our part of Alabama. Some heavy rain is possible at times, but flooding issues will remain south of I-20. Keep an eye out on flooding conditions along and south of HWY 80 tonight.

The rain will move out just before sunrise Tuesday morning, but chilly and cloudy conditions will stick around for our Tuesday plans; highs will reach the lower 50s on Tuesday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com