Friday Afternoon Forecast Update – 2pm

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Good Friday afternoon to you! A few scattered storms are developing on radar as of 2pm, as temperatures continue to heat up. The best chance of scattered storms today will occur over west Alabama, where there is a 30% chance of rain at your house. Storms won’t last long today, as they will be rather small and are moving north at 30mph. There is lots of tropical moisture in the atmosphere over Alabama, so any showers that develop will produce heavy rain. The risk of rain will die out after 8pm this evening.

Saturday will feature weather much like today. We can expect partly cloudy skies, with the risk of afternoon storms. The chance of rain across all of west and central Alabama stands at 30 to 40% on Saturday, so not everyone will see rain. If you have an outdoor event, have a backup plan incase a passing storm moves over your area. Much like today, storms won’t last long in one spot.

A cold front will arrive on Sunday, which will bring a good chance of rain and storms. I don’t expect rain all day or any severe weather issues, but rain is possible at any time during the day. The best chance of rain and storms will occur during the afternoon, but I can’t rule out some morning rain, especially along and north of I-20. Highs will reach the middle 80s on Sunday.

Skies become sunny on Monday and Tuesday as dry air moves in from the north. Highs will warm into the middle 80s on Monday and upper 80s on Tuesday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Hot Temps…Few Storms…Thursday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4:50pm

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Good Thursday afternoon! It has turned out to be another hot summer-like day, with highs near 90 in many spots across Alabama. Just to the west of Alabama, scattered to numerous thunderstorms have developed over Mississippi this afternoon. Most of the action is west of us, but isolated storms have formed over southwest Alabama. The best chance of isolated storms will occur over west Alabama between now and 8pm. The chance of rain is at about 30% over west Alabama, and all storms will fizzle out after 8pm. If a storm moves over your area, it won’t last long at all.

A strong storm system continues to cause severe weather problems over the Plains today. Today is one of several days of active severe weather. While this system is moving our way, it will be much weaker once it reaches Alabama on Sunday. Between now and then, we’ll have more of a typical summer pattern. There is a 30% chance of rain each afternoon between lunch and 8pm through Saturday. Most areas will stay dry and rain won’t last long. If you have an outdoor event planned between now and Saturday, keep in mind a pop up storm is possible, but an all day washout will not happen.

As the cold front moves into northwest Alabama on Sunday, the coverage of showers and storms will increase. Rain chances stand at 60% on Sunday, so most areas will get a downpour. Even on Sunday, activity will be scattered and mainly after lunch. I do not expect rain all day on Sunday, but an hour or two of your day may include some rain and thunder. I don’t expect severe weather issues on Sunday. Expect highs to reach the middle 80s on Sunday and Monday, with lows in the upper 60s. The cold front will pass through the area and dry conditions will take over on Monday and Tuesday. Skies will also become mostly sunny by early next week and remain mostly sunny through mid-week. Highs will warm into the lower 90s by Tuesday.

As for tropical weather… We’re watching what’s left of Pacific system Barbara. The circulation made landfall in southern Mexico yesterday and has weakened over land during the overnight hours. There is a chance this system could re-develop sometime next week, as the environment improves over the Gulf of Mexico. Some model data develops a tropical storm or tropical depression and moves it towards the Gulf Coast states by next weekend. We’ll keep an eye on it…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Hot Days, Isolated Storms… Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Update… – 4:45pm

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Good Wednesday afternoon! Our weather has turned out hot again today, with highs reaching the lower 90s for many areas. As moisture continues to increase and temperatures reached the 90 degree mark this afternoon, isolated storms have developed. As of 4:40pm, isolated storms were mainly located in west Alabama. These storms are moving northwest and will die out after sunset. If you happen to get rain at your house this evening, it won’t last long.

With a south wind bringing in lots of tropical moisture and hot afternoon temperatures, we can expect isolated storms to develop each day this week and into the weekend. The best chance of isolated storms will occur between lunch and 9pm. Skies will remain partly cloudy through Saturday. Expect highs to reach the upper 80s or lower 90s on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Lows at night will fall into the upper 60s. Conditions will remain mostly dry and very muggy during the overnight hours. On Saturday, we’ll notice much of the same weather. A few isolated storms will develop after lunch, with a rain chance at around 30% at your house or event.

We’re watching a big storm system west of Alabama this afternoon, which is producing a severe weather and tornado outbreak across the central Plains. This system will gradually weaken and will reach Alabama on Sunday. I do not expect any severe weather issues once the system reaches the area, but scattered storms are expected at any point on Sunday. Highs will top out in the middle to upper 80s on Sunday, due to extra clouds and scattered storms. If you have outdoor events planned on Sunday, have a backup plan.  

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Hurricane Barbary made landfall this afternoon in southern Mexico. Barbara will quickly weaken as it moves over land during the next 24 hours. The storm will move into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Thursday, but wind shear and dry air will keep the system from re-developing into anything well organized. Most model data keeps this system very week or has it dying out over the southern Gulf. We’ll keep an eye on it…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Pacific Tropical Storm Barbara Moving Into the Gulf? Interesting Setup… Wednesday Update – 12pm

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Good Wednesday midday to you! We’re watching Tropical Storm Barbara as it makes its track north today. The storm is forecasted to become a hurricane before making landfall sometime tonight along the southern Mexican coast. Barbara will spend about 24 hours over land before moving into the Bay of Campeche  on Thursday or Thursday night. Model data is now showing the storm surviving the track across land and moving into the southwest Gulf of Mexico. A few models try to bring the storm towards the central Gulf Coast in 4 to 5 days.

Here’s the deal… There is some wind shear and dry air over the Gulf of Mexico. If the system makes it into the gulf, it will battle these harsh elements. Plus, the water temperatures are not very warm. Sure, the gulf is above the standard 80 degrees for tropical development, but the layer of warm air isn’t that deep, and a strong, damaging hurricane needs a deep layer of very warm water and water temperatures well over 80 degrees. The bottom line, we don’t have to worry about this storm becoming a damaging hurricane and making a big problem for the gulf coast. We’ll watch it in the coming days, and update you on the track and intensity. At this time, I’d say there is a fair chance of it re-developing into a tropical depression or a very weak tropical storm in the Gulf late in the week or over the weekend.  I would not cancel a beach trip over this system for sure… At this point, we still don’t know where it’s going to end up or if it will survive at all.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Summer-like Days Ahead… Tuesday Forecast Update – 5:30pm

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Good Tuesday afternoon! Our weather has turned hot this afternoon, with most areas reaching the upper 80s. Some spots may touch 90 before cooling after sunset. The risk of rain is very low today, but a tiny shower or two has developed over south and southwest Alabama this evening. As sun sets, instability will drop off and the risk for a lone shower will die out. Look for lows to fall into the middle 60s tonight.

A surface high off the east coast will continue to bring us a south wind for much of the week and into the weekend. This means warm and moist air will move north into Alabama. While our weather was hot today, conditions will become very humid through the rest of the week. We can expect highs to reach the lower 90s Wednesday through Saturday, with a small chance of an isolated storm or two. Rain chances are only at 10%, so don’t expect a wash-out.

A weakening cold front will reach Alabama on Sunday, and rain chances will increase into the good range during the day Sunday. At this time, rain chances stand at 40%. I don’t expect an all day soaking rain, but scattered storms are possible at any time. Models hint at some dry air moving in on Monday and Tuesday of next week, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

We will be keeping an eye on the tropics late next week, as model data has been showing a tropical low developing in the Gulf. Since the water temperatures are only marginal for tropical development and wind shear is forecasted over the area, if anything develops late next week, it will remain weak. Most data keeps it away from Alabama and moves the low up the east coast. We’ll watch it…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Hot and Humid Days Ahead…Isolated Storms… Monday Afternoon Forecast Update – 3:40pm

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Good Monday afternoon! The heat is back on this Memorial Day, with most areas in the upper 80s to around 90. The lack of humidity over the weekend is starting to change as a south wind develops. Warm and moist air will gradually increase as a south wind continues across the area. One sign of increasing moisture is the developing cumulus clouds this afternoon. Each day this week, we’ll notice the afternoon cumulus, with the risk of an isolated shower or storm.

If you have plans outdoors this evening, get ready for mild and muggy conditions. Temperatures will gradually fall into the lower 80s at 7pm and lower 70s at 10pm. Skies will become clear as the evening and overnight moves along. Lows will reach the low 60s before sunrise Tuesday morning. Tuesday will feature a mostly sunny to partly cloudy sky, with hot and hazy conditions. Humidity will really start to increase during the day on Tuesday, as dewpoints reach the upper 60s. Heat index values will warm into the middle 90s, while the actual air temperature hits the upper 80s or lower 90s. A passing afternoon or two is possible on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, but the risk of rain is only at 10%.

Highs will warm into the lower 90s each afternoon for mid-week and into the weekend. Lows will reach the upper 60s starting Thursday morning. Each day will stand the low risk of isolated afternoon storms, but many of you will not see rain.

The weekend will bring slightly higher rain chances, but I still expect most spots to stay dry. The risk of rain over the weekend only stands at 20 to 30% at this time, and I see no evidence of higher rain chances than that. Skies will become partly cloudy, with the best chance of scattered weekend storms happening between noon and 6pm.  

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Staying Dry This Week, and Warm! – Sunday Evening Forecast Update 8:10 PM

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What a wonderful Sunday across west Alabama…lots of sunshine and warm temperatures. We’re even still enjoying the relatively low humidity as well, which is uncommon for late May. I’m expecting more of the same for your Memorial Day Monday as well…with highs in the upper 80s. There might be a few more clouds around thanks to a weakening upper-level disturbance, but no rain should result from this system.

A strong upper-level ridge will anchor itself across the southeastern United States for most of the upcoming work week. What this will mean for our forecast is warm afternoons and lots of dry weather. Surface high pressure over the western Atlantic will allow for a southeasterly flow to be established across the area, which will mean increasing moisture each day. This will mean increasing moisture/humidity in the air over the coming days, which is more common for this time of the year. I’ve tried to find any chances of rain throughout the week, but I just don’t see any overwhelming evidence to introduce any rain chances in the forecast. A stray shower is possible Wednesday – Friday afternoon, but again, it isn’t worth mentioning in the overall forecast.

The GFS and Euro continue the idea of a frontal boundary trying to work its way in here toward the late weekend. The GFS is a bit more bullish on rain chances versus the Euro, but this idea has been advertised for a couple days now, so I think it’s prudent to include at least small rain chances in the forecast by Sunday. Looking into next week, the GFS tries to stall the front and this would mean an increased chance of rain by Monday into Tuesday, but the Euro dissipates the boundary and leaves us dry. We’ll have to wait and see and watch future model runs to see which one ends up being more correct!

Enjoy your Memorial Day Holiday, and the fabulous weather expected along with it!

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac