Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4:15 PM

A good Tuesday to you! Hot is the word for the day, with upper 90s area wide. It’s possible that triple digits will be felt in parts of centralAlabamaover the next couple of days, as an intense summer ridge builds over our area. With high dewpoint temperatures, it feels even hotter, with heat index values getting even closer to 100 degrees, if not a few degrees higher than that on Wednesday and Thursday.

Other than a stray afternoon shower or storm, many of us will not see rain over the next few days. A ridge of high pressure often brings a layer of warmer temperatures aloft to our state, so that caps the atmosphere and keeps storms from developing. For good thunderstorm development, you want hot surface temperatures and really cold temperatures above the surface, which creates instability. As highs get closer to 100 degrees and moisture continues to increase, I can’t rule out that stray afternoon storm. The chance of rain in your neighborhood is about 5 to 10%, so don’t expect rain at all. If you do get a shower or storm, it won’t last more than 10 minutes.

The ridge will hang tough through the weekend, so if you have outdoor plans, be sure to drink plenty of water and wear lots of sunscreen. Skies will remain mostly sunny. Any clouds over the next few days will be in the form of fair weather cumulus clouds. Lows at night will bottom out in the upper 60s to lower 70s. The chance of an afternoon storm will continue through early next week.

We’ll be watching the seabreeze boundary each afternoon, as that will serve as a focal point for showers and storms during the afternoon hours. Typically, the seabreeze stays well south ofTuscaloosa, but places along and south of USHWY80 will have a better chance of a quick shower and storm.

Wednesday is the first day of June, which is the beginning of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. NOAA is predicting a very active season this year, so all eyes will be on the tropics through November. The last day of the season is on the last day of November. So far, there are no signs of tropical development.

Be sure to join me tonight on WVUA-TV at 4, 5, 6 and 10 for the very latest on your forecast.

Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by weather@wvuatv.com.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Welcome Megan Parry! Tuesday Update 4pm

My name is Megan Parry and I am one of the new summer weather interns here at WVUA.  I moved from Irvine, Californialast August to pursue my life long dream of being a weathergirl.  I earned my undergraduate degree in Environmental Science at the Universityof California, Irvineand am now half way through the graduate program at MississippiStateUniversityfor broadcast meteorology.  As cliché as it sounds, I knew I wanted to be involved with the weather after I saw the movie, Twister, while I was living inDeSoto,Texas.  What job could be more exciting then being a storm chaser?  Every year during tornado week I was excited to see what storms would head our way.  I moved toSan Diego when I was ten and then moved toIrvine for college and was deprived of weather for 14 years.  Once I graduated I got a job with the California Environmental Protection Agency as an environmental scientist, but after almost two years of working there my childhood dream returned to me and it was time for me to pursue my career goals. I packed up my life and moved toStarkville,Mississippi where within the first week I experienced over ten thunderstorms!  I have one year left in the program, and thus far, moving out here has been one of the best decisions of my life.

 

Megan Parry

WVUA weather intern

Memorial Day Forecast… Updated Monday at 4:45pm

I hope you are having a wonderful Memorial Day! There’s not doubt that our weather has turned hot and fast. Temperatures are in the middle 90s this afternoon, and we can expect even warmer weather over the next few days. A strong ridge is positioned over the southeast, and it’s forecasted to stay put through the end of the week.

Skies will stay partly cloudy to mostly sunny over the next 5 day 7 days. There could be one or two showers, but the chance of rain is less than 20%, so many of us will not see rain. I think the best shot of getting any rain will be from the sea-breeze. During the summer, some afternoons are cooled off by a sea-breeze boundary. As the land heats up and the ocean stays rather cool, a difference in pressure sets up, forcing a boundary of cooler air northward. Showers and storms normally fire up along this boundary, which does even more to cool us off. Typically, this only happens in extreme southAlabama, but the boundaries can make it as far north asTuscaloosa. I doubt Tuscaloosa will get any organized rain over the next 5 days, but places along and south ofHWY80 could get these afternoon storms.

Our forecast will remain hot and humid through next weekend, with a high in the middle to upper 90s. Heat index values will top 100 degrees at times on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Each day will start off sunny, with a few afternoon clouds and that stray shower or two. So far, there are no signs of heavy rain or storms over the next 7 days.

The tropics remain quiet, but the gulf is heating up and we’re getting into our Atlantic Hurricane Season. Usually,Alabamaisn’t impacted by anything major until later in the summer or early fall.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV at 5, 6, and 10. Have a great Memorial Day!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Sunday Night Forecast Disucssion – 9:30 p.m.

Looking at current surface analysis, surface high pressure currently centered off the South Carolina coastline has continued to suppress any cloud cover across Central Alabama today, and drier are has mixed down to the surface from the mid levels of the atmosphere. Temperatures climbed into the lower 90s across our area today and hot conditions will look to persist into the foreseeable future. Upper level high pressure will begin to dominate the eastern part of the Southeast early in the week.

Models are consistent with the upper high currently contered over western North Carolina to move northward into eastern Kentucky and western Virginia on Monday. The high then elongates south and westward by Tuesday morning, in response to a trough trying to move eastward into the upper high. The placement of the high will actually allow a weak easterly flow to set up across the Southeast and Atlantic moisture will allow the chance of showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday afternoon.

Upper high pressure remains in control through the rest of the week with hot temperatures persisting through the remainder of the period. Most locations should reach into the mid 90s by Thursday afternoon with possibly upper 90s in a few spots with only isolated showers and thunderstorms possible during the peak heating of the day. 

Daniel Sparkman
dsparkman@wvuatv.com
WVUA Weather

Thursday Evening Forecast Discussion – Posted at 5:15pm

A good Thursday afternoon to you! After the storms move out this evening, skies will go clear late tonight and conditions will cool off a little. Lows will drop into the lower 60s tonight. The cold front moving through Alabama isn’t a true cold front. The airmass behind it isn’t that cool. In-fact, the airmass will warm over the weekend as a ridge builds back into the southeast.

Highs will top out in the middle and upper 80s on Friday, but the humidity won’t be that bad. Skies could start off cloudy Friday morning, but sun will quickly return during the mid morning hours. The ridge will start to nose into Alabama Friday evening and over the weekend. Highs will top out in the lower 90s on Saturday and Sunday. As moisture increases, humidity will become rather high. This will put our heat index values into the middle and upper 90s in spots, especially on Monday. If you have plans outdoors for Memorial Day Weekend, expect a summer-like feel to the air. The only thing missing will be afternoon storms. I don’t expect any rain over the weekend or early next week.

The ridge gets even stronger by the middle of next week, and temperatures will respond to that by increasing. Highs will be closer to 95 degrees on Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will remain mild at night, with upper 60s each night of next week.

Be sure to join me tonight at 6 and 10 for the latest on your forecast. Have a great evening!

Look us up on facebook and twitter by weather@wvuatv.com

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Nasty Storms In West Alabama… Thursday Update at 4:04pm

Storms are becoming severe in west Alabama, as this line gets a little out of hand. These storms are moving east at about 20 MPH, so they are moving into the Tuscaloosa area. If this line holds together, we can expect strong winds and hail with these storms. Also, there will be a lot of cloud to ground lightning. Once the storms move into your area, they will last about 1 hour or less.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Severe T-storm Warning for Greene and Pickens Until 4:30 PM

BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
353 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTH CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
  SOUTH CENTRAL PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 353 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BENEVOLA…  OR 7 MILES EAST OF ALICEVILLE…AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…  BENEVOLA…MANTUA AND PIONEER.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com