Cooler Days Ahead… Warmer Next Week… Thursday Forecast Update – 3:50pm #alwx

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Good Thursday afternoon! Clouds have really thickened up this afternoon across the area, and scattered showers and storms have formed on radar. Expect the risk of scattered storms to gradually come to an end overnight tonight, as colder air takes over. With temperatures in the 70s this afternoon, it feels nice! Expect a drop in temperatures shortly after sunset across northwest Alabama, and later tonight across central and southern Alabama. A sharp cold front will send lows in the lower 40s tonight. A few showers are possible behind the cold front late tonight, but most areas should be dry by sunrise.

Friday will feature cool temperatures and a breezy north wind. Highs will only reach the upper 50s on Friday, with a mostly cloudy sky. Some sun is possible, but I don’t expect a totally sunny day. Lows will fall into the middle 30s Friday night, with a light frost for some areas. Same deal for Saturday night, as temperatures dip into the middle 30s. Highs will top out in the middle 50s on Saturday, with a partly sunny sky. A few sprinkles are possible, so keep that in mind if you’re going to the Tuscaloosa Regional Air Show. Highs will reach the middle to upper 60s on Sunday, with more sun than clouds.

We’re back in the 70s next week, with a chance of showers on Monday, with a few showers still possible on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Mild Now… Chilly Air Soon… Wednesday Forecast Update – 4:35pm #alwx

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Good Wednesday afternoon! It has turned out to be a mild day across Alabama, with all locations reaching well into the upper 70s. A few areas have approached 80 this afternoon… Clouds will gradually increase this evening and tonight, with lows in the upper 50s. I don’t expect any rain tonight, but that will change tomorrow as a cold front moves through the area.

We’ll start off Thursday morning dry and mild, with temperatures warming into the middle 70s. Showers and a few storms will become likely during the afternoon and evening hours, as the cold front passes through. I don’t expect any severe weather issues with this setup. Temperatures will turn colder Thursday night, with lows in the lower 40s. Highs will only top out in the 50s on Friday and Saturday! Skies remain mostly cloudy on Friday, then partly cloudy on Saturday. Lows will dip into the middle 30s Friday night and Saturday night, with a light frost possible for some areas north of I-20. If you have planted your garden or have new plants outdoors, be sure to keep a close eye on the temperature trends. If we get any colder, then a frost would become possible for more portions of our area.

If you’re going to the Tuscaloosa Regional Air Show on Saturday, expect chilly conditions. After a cold start to Sunday, we should warm into the upper 60s after lunch. We’re back in the 70s on Monday and Tuesday…A few showers will become possible on Monday, as a weak cold front stalls near our area or just south of our area.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Mild Days… Some Rain… Much Cooler Air Soon! Tuesday Forecast Update – 4:45pm #alwx

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Good Tuesday afternoon! It has been another quiet weather day across Alabama, with sunshine for some and cloud cover for others. Areas generally near or north of I-20 has experienced plenty of sun today, with highs in the 70s. Areas south of I-20 have had a hard time reaching the mid 60s due to mostly cloudy skies. Expect a partly to mostly cloudy sky for most areas tonight, as lows fall into the middle 50s. Some patchy fog is possible overnight tonight.

Wednesday and Thursday will feature warm days with highs in the 70s, and lows in the 50s. As a cold front moves into the area on Thursday, showers and a few storms will become likely between 1pm and midnight Thursday night. Much cooler air will take over on Friday and Saturday, with highs in the 50s. We’re watching temperatures very close for Friday night and Saturday night, as some areas may experience a light frost. The best chance of frost will be north of I-20, but anyone in central Alabama needs to pay attention to the lows both nights, if you have plants outdoors or have planted flowers/gardens already. I’ve got a low near 34 Friday night and Saturday night, but understand some areas will be warmer and some areas will be colder. We’ll have a tough time clearing on Friday and Saturday, but some sunshine intervals are possible.

If you’re going to the Tuscaloosa Regional Air Show on Saturday, expect chilly conditions. After a cold start to Sunday, we should warm into the upper 60s after lunch. We’re back in the 70s on Monday and Tuesday…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Record Breaking Quiet Start to 2015 Severe Weather Season… Monday Update – 6pm #alwx

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You may have noticed how quiet the severe weather season has been across our area so far this year, but this is not only happening in Alabama, this is happening across the entire US. Above is a map from NOAA… this shows the number of tornado and severe thunderstorm watches issued this month, and that number is 0! Here’s a post from the Storm Prediction Center:

NORMAN, Okla. During a month when severe weather typically strikes, this March has been unusually quiet, with no tornado or severe thunderstorm watches issued by NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center so far. And, National Weather Service forecasters see no sign of dramatic change for the next week at least.

“We are in uncharted territory with respect to lack of severe weather”, said Greg Carbin, SPC’s warning coordination meteorologist. “This has never happened in the record of SPC watches dating back to 1970.”

Since the beginning of 2015, the SPC has issued only four tornado watches and no severe thunderstorm watches, which is less than 10 percent of the typical number of 52 tornado watches issued by mid-March. The approximately 20 tornadoes reported since January 1 is well below the 10-year average of 130 for that time period.

There is no one clear reason to explain the lack of tornadoes, Carbin said. “We’re in a persistent pattern that suppresses severe weather, and the right ingredients — moisture, instability, and lift — have not been brought together in any consistent way so far this year.”

Forecasters expect a change soon, however. April and May are typically the busiest months for severe weather and tornadoes. Patterns can change in a few days, Carbin said, and it’s important to be prepared for severe weather when it occurs.

Analysis of the ten lowest and ten highest watch count years through the middle of March reveals little correlation to the subsequent number of tornadoes through the end of June. For example, early 2012 was particularly active with 77 watches issued through mid-March. The subsequent period through the end of June was unusually quiet for tornadoes with about 130 fewer EF1 and stronger tornadoes occurring than what would normally be expected. On the other hand, 1984, with a relatively low watch count of 28 through mid-March, became more active and by late June had about 100 EF1 and stronger tornadoes above the long-term mean of 285.

Mild Days Now… Cooler Air by Friday… Monday Forecast Update – 4:55pm #alwx

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Good Monday afternoon! Most of the area has dealt with mostly cloudy skies all day, with a few peaks of sunshine at times. Temperatures have leveled off in the upper 60s to lower 70s depending on where you live. Expect cooler temperatures tonight, with most areas falling into the upper 40s. Some fog is possible tonight, so drive careful if you have travel plans late tonight or early Tuesday.

Temperatures will warm nicely on Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs in the middle 70s on Tuesday and upper 70s on Wednesday. While a lone shower or two is possible on Wednesday, most of the state will remain dry. Expect lows in the 50s Tuesday night and Wednesday night. Skies will remain partly cloudy both days before becoming mostly cloudy on Thursday. A few showers will pass through the area Thursday evening, as a cold front arrives.

Cooler temperatures will take over on Friday and Saturday, with highs in the upper 50s on Friday, then middle 50s on Saturday. We’ll notice a partly to mostly cloudy sky on Friday, becoming mostly sunny on Saturday. We’ll drop into the upper 30s Saturday morning and middle 30s Sunday morning. There’s no doubt it’s going to be a close call for a frost and freeze for parts of north Alabama, and maybe even central Alabama Saturday morning and Sunday morning, so if you’ve planted, keep an eye on the latest numbers. Right now, it appears any frost threat will stay north of I-20, but it needs to be watched…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Rain Continues Over Night…Temporary Dry Spell Early Mid Week… Sunday Night Update — 6:30 pm

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Good Sunday evening! Today we’ve remained a little cooler thanks to all the clouds that have been dropping all the rain. That rain will become more scattered throughout the night as the low moves east across South Alabama. Tonight we should have cool temperatures despite thick cloud cover and scattered showers. For our Monday we start the day off finishing pushing out the showers in the morning. By the afternoon we dry out, but we do not get the clouds out for our Monday.

Tuesday we start to see a few glimmers of the sun that starts to heat things up during the day. Temperatures will return to the low 70’s Tuesday afternoon with partly sunny conditions. Wednesday the same thing happens and temperatures continue to increase; however, clouds increase Wednesday night and a cold front starts to bring the next possibility of showers. Thursday and Friday, the cold front passes through the state bringing the next round of rain, while cooling things down. Thursday night going into Friday we start to notice that temperature drop which will help keep things cool for the weekend.

The weekend becomes very nice after the front passes through Friday. Sunshine returns on Saturday with few clouds to obstruct it. Things on Saturday may be cool, but with ample amounts of sunshine coming in things will warm up through the days Saturday and Sunday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to pcrank@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like my weather page on Facebook: facebook.com/PeterCrankweather or by searching WVUA Peter Crank. You can find me on Twitter by searching Peter Crank or @crankyweather. Another great way to get weather updates!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank
WVUA Staff Meteorologist
Twitter: crankyweather

Soggy Sunday… Saturday Forecast Update — 8pm

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The rain has returned and will be sticking around for the next 24 hours or so. All of this rain is moving east as a low pressure slowly track along the Gulf Coast. Central Alabama could see 1-3″ of rain out of this system as our wet start to spring continues.

Rain overnight tonight will help our temperatures up just a bit, we’ll bottom out in the low and mid 50’s across the area. Unfortunately, those rain showers continue for Sunday and temperatures will not warm very much. Expect highs in the upper 50’s for most, with a few locations reaching the low 60’s under moderate rainfall throughout the day.

The rain will slowly die down and move east late Sunday night, with a leftover shower possible Monday morning. Temperatures Sunday will be cooler, down into the upper 40’s and near 50°. The clouds will be slower to leave, and the sunshine will somewhat difficult to find on Monday, although with drier conditions, we will warm into the upper 60’s.

We’ve got one solidly sunny and dry this week between more rain showers, and that is on Tuesday. Partly sunny conditions with temperatures back into the low 70’s will be nice, but then rain returns Wednesday afternoon and evening with temperatures back into the mid 70’s. This rain is ahead of the next major system that will swing through Thursday. Temperatures will be mild in the low and mid 70’s ahead of it, and a few thunderstorms could develop as the system moves through.

Cooler air settles back in after the front moves out. Temperatures on Friday will be in the low 60’s and Saturday’s high could be in the 50’s despite seeing a fair amount of sunshine.

A good thing about the rain for Sunday and Monday is that the pollen counts will be very low on Sunday, and only moderate on Monday; however, by Tuesday, those pollen counts will soar, especially the Elm and Juniper tree pollen.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to pcrank@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like my weather page on Facebook: facebook.com/PeterCrankweather or by searching WVUA Peter Crank. You can find me on Twitter by searching Peter Crank or @crankyweather. Another great way to get weather updates!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank
WVUA Staff Meteorologist
Twitter: crankyweather

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