Rainy Weekend Ahead…Friday Evening Update 9p.m.

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Good Friday evening! It was a lovely day across central Alabama with cool temperatures and clear skies across the state. Tonight, we will start to see clouds start to develop ahead of a disturbance that will arrive this weekend. With increasing clouds, lows will be a little warmer in the upper 40’s for most thanks to cloud cover preventing heat escape.

Saturday starts dry in the morning, but clouds will still thickening. As we go into the afternoon, showers will traverse from west to east, with parts of west Alabama receiving their rain first, then east Alabama getting their rain closer to sunset. Overall, it looks like a good day to stick inside. Sunday will continue the opportunity for showers: unlike Saturday, rain will be much more widespread and cover much more of the state. Rain totals from the weekend will likely approach near 2 inches for some locally independent areas. Highs will be a little cooler thanks to cloud cover keeping sunshine out that would normally help warm things up.
Next work week looks to start off with still more much needed rain. A secondary low that will develop off the first system arriving this weekend will bring more precipitation to the state. Increased dew points Monday evening will likely aid in the production of a few thunderstorms to mix in with the showers. That system will take a little time to move out of the state, providing the opportunity for a few isolated showers for Tuesday. Wednesday will see partly sunny skies. Zonal flow and still present moisture will aid in cloud development: precipitation no longer looks favorable do develop for the day so rain chances have been dropped. Thursday we start to watch for a huge trough to dig into the south. With it, MUCH cooler temperatures will arrive, likely the coolest we’ve seen so far going towards winter. Model disagreement is at a large with precipitation chances for Thursday with the entering of that trough. Currently going to keep rain chances low and will alter as we get closer to time. Friday will be COLD! Highs in the mid 40’s are predicted now, but we could see those dropped lower in the coming days. Winds from the north will be very strong after the passing of the trough so wind-chill will be low.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Reggie Roakes

Facebook: Meteorologist Reggie Roakes

Twitter: MetRoakes

Instagram: Reggie Roakes

9 Tornado Paths Found So Far… 5:30pm Thursday Update #alwx @wvua23

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Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
518 PM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 11/29/16 TORNADO EVENT – UPDATE #7…

…SURVEY TEAMS CONFIRMING ADDITIONAL TORNADO TRACKS…

.UPDATE…

Added Powell Creek tornado.

We now stand at 9 confirmed tracks. We are still deliberating
the damage reports we have documented in Lamar and Marion
counties from the storm that began around midnight at the
Lamar County Airport and moved northeastwards to northeast
of Brilliant. It appears there may have been a series of
touchdowns along this path, but we want to ensure we make
the best possible assessment of the damage before we publish
anything. The maximum intensity of any of the damage we are
looking at is EF-1.

We will provide additional information as soon as possible.

.OVERVIEW…

A slow moving, but robust weather system produced several
incidents of severe weather across northwestern portions of
Central Alabama late yesterday and overnight…north of
Interstate 20/59 and west of Interstate 65. Preliminary
indications are that there are between 5 and 10 potential tornado
tracks across the far northwestern counties of Marion, Winston,
Pickens, Lamar, Fayette, and Walker counties. Additional potential
tornado tracks were put down in the pre-dawn hours in Hale County,
and then in Lee and perhaps Chambers county just after noon.

.BUNCOMB CREEK TORNADO (PICKENS COUNTY)…

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    95 mph
Path Length (Statute):  5.3 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   600 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 29 2016
Start Time:             715 pm CST
Start Location:         5 NE Ethelsville AL
Start Lat/Lon:          33.4521 / -88.1502

End Date:               Nov 29 2016
End Time:               725 pm CST
End Location:           4 S Millport AL
End Lat/Lon:            33.4959 / -88.0771

.TWIN TORNADO (MARION COUNTY)…

Rating:                 EF-0
Estimated Peak Wind:    75 mph
Path Length (Statute):  10.6 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   150 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 29 2016
Start Time:             729 pm CST
Start Location:         3 N Gu-Win AL
Start Lat/Lon:          34.0002 / -87.8754

End Date:               Nov 29 2016
End Time:               743 pm CST
End Location:           2 WSW Lake Buttahatchee AL
End Lat/Lon:            34.0990 / -87.7381

.FLYNN TORNADO (FAYETTE COUNTY)…

Rating:                 EF-0
Estimated Peak Wind:    65 mph
Path Length (Statute):  0.3 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   50 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 29 2016
Start Time:             804 pm CST
Start Location:         3 SW Fowlers Crossroads AL
Start Lat/Lon:          33.7722 / -87.6959

End Date:               Nov 29 2016
End Time:               804 pm CST
End Location:           2 SW Fowlers Crossroads AL
End Lat/Lon:            33.7758 / -87.6940

.SUMMARY…Brief touchdown along AL Hwy 120 in the Flynn Rd area.

.CHICKEN FOOT ROAD TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    100-105 mph
Path Length (Statute):  0.4 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   100 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 29 2016
Start Time:             804 pm CST
Start Location:         5 E Haleyville AL
Start Lat/Lon:          34.2498 / -87.5383

End Date:               Nov 29 2016
End Time:               806 pm CST
End Location:           5 ENE Haleyville AL
End Lat/Lon:            34.2546 / -87.5344

.ASHRIDGE TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating:                 EF-2
Estimated Peak Wind:    125 mph
Path Length (Statute):  3.2 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   300 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 29 2016
Start Time:             806 pm CST
Start Location:         2 S Ashridge AL
Start Lat/Lon:          34.1946 / -87.4701

End Date:               Nov 29 2016
End Time:               812 pm CST
End Location:           1 ENE Ashridge AL
End Lat/Lon:            34.2356 / -87.4471

SUMMARY…This track has been updated based on additional
damage surveyed today.

.ARLEY/HELICON FD TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    105 mph
Path Length (Statute):  4.5 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   300 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 29 2016
Start Time:             854 pm CST
Start Location:         1 ESE Arley AL
Start Lat/Lon:          34.0784 / -87.1943

End Date:               Nov 29 2016
End Time:               900 pm CST
End Location:           5 NE Arley AL
End Lat/Lon:            34.1240 / -87.1401

.COUNTY ROAD 66 TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    110 mph
Path Length (Statute):  3.0 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   100 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 29 2016
Start Time:             1020 pm CST
Start Location:         6 NNE Arley AL
Start Lat/Lon:          34.1550 / -87.1572

End Date:               Nov 29 2016
End Time:               1025 pm CST
End Location:           0 E Nesmith AL
End Lat/Lon:            34.1747 / -87.1110

SUMMARY…This tornado continues into Cullman County.

.POWELL CREEK TORNADO (MARENGO AND HALE COUNTIES)…

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    90 mph
Path Length (Statute):  13.0 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   250 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 30 2016
Start Time:             510 am CST
Start Location:         5 WSW Faunsdale AL
Start Lat/Lon:          32.4238 / -87.6652

End Date:               Nov 30 2016
End Time:               532 am CST
End Location:           1 SSE Newbern AL
End Lat/Lon:            32.5710 / -87.5296

.LABLOCKEE TORNADO (LEE AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES)…

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    90 mph
Path Length (Statute):  3.2 miles
Path Width (Maximum):   300 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             Nov 30 2016
Start Time:             1235 pm CST
Start Location:         5 E Camp Hill AL
Start Lat/Lon:          32.7956 / -85.5591

End Date:               Nov 30 2016
End Time:               1240 pm CST
End Location:           3 E Waverly AL
End Lat/Lon:            32.7352 / -85.5164

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies
tornadoes into the following categories.

EF0…Weak……65 to 85 mph
EF1…Weak……86 to 110 mph
EF2…Strong….111 to 135 mph
EF3…Strong….136 to 165 mph
EF4…Violent…166 to 200 mph
EF5…Violent…>200 mph

Note:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS
Storm Data.

Tornado Tracks Found from Past System… Update from National Weather Service Thursday… 4:15pm #alwx @wvua23

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Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
401 PM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

…NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 11/29/16 TORNADO EVENT – UPDATE #7…

…SURVEY TEAMS CONFIRMING ADDITIONAL TORNADO TRACKS…

.UPDATE…

Added Twin and Flynn tornadoes.

In addition to these 8 confirmed tracks, we will be adding:

A track of perhaps multiple touchdowns from Lamar County
airport to north of Brilliant.
One track in Marengo and Hale County

The suspect area we were investigating revealed no damage. As
of this statement,we have at least 10 tornadoes confirmed. We
are reviewing the long track from Lamar to Marion County to
assess if it was one long track or multiple touchdowns. We
will provide additional information as soon as possible.

.OVERVIEW…

A slow moving, but robust weather system produced several
incidents of severe weather across northwestern portions of
Central Alabama late yesterday and overnight…north of
Interstate 20/59 and west of Interstate 65. Preliminary
indications are that there are between 5 and 10 potential tornado
tracks across the far northwestern counties of Marion, Winston,
Pickens, Lamar, Fayette, and Walker counties. Additional potential
tornado tracks were put down in the pre-dawn hours in Hale County,
and then in Lee and perhaps Chambers county just after noon.

.BUNCOMB CREEK TORNADO (PICKENS COUNTY)…

Rating: EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind: 95 mph
Path Length (Statute): 5.3 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 600 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 29 2016
Start Time: 715 pm CST
Start Location: 5 NE Ethelsville AL
Start Lat/Lon: 33.4521 / -88.1502

End Date: Nov 29 2016
End Time: 725 pm CST
End Location: 4 S Millport AL
End Lat/Lon: 33.4959 / -88.0771

.TWIN TORNADO (MARION COUNTY)…

Rating: EF-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 75 mph
Path Length (Statute): 10.6 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 150 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 29 2016
Start Time: 729 pm CST
Start Location: 3 N Gu-Win AL
Start Lat/Lon: 34.0002 / -87.8754

End Date: Nov 29 2016
End Time: 743 pm CST
End Location: 2 WSW Lake Buttahatchee AL
End Lat/Lon: 34.0990 / -87.7381

.FLYNN TORNADO (FAYETTE COUNTY)…

Rating: EF-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 65 mph
Path Length (Statute): 0.3 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 50 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 29 2016
Start Time: 804 pm CST
Start Location: 3 SW Fowlers Crossroads AL
Start Lat/Lon: 33.7722 / -87.6959

End Date: Nov 29 2016
End Time: 804 pm CST
End Location: 2 SW Fowlers Crossroads AL
End Lat/Lon: 33.7758 / -87.6940

.SUMMARY…Brief touchdown along AL Hwy 120 in the Flynn Rd area.

.CHICKEN FOOT ROAD TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating: EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind: 100-105 mph
Path Length (Statute): 0.4 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 100 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 29 2016
Start Time: 804 pm CST
Start Location: 5 E Haleyville AL
Start Lat/Lon: 34.2498 / -87.5383

End Date: Nov 29 2016
End Time: 806 pm CST
End Location: 5 ENE Haleyville AL
End Lat/Lon: 34.2546 / -87.5344

.ASHRIDGE TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating: EF-2
Estimated Peak Wind: 125 mph
Path Length (Statute): 3.2 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 300 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 29 2016
Start Time: 806 pm CST
Start Location: 2 S Ashridge AL
Start Lat/Lon: 34.1946 / -87.4701

End Date: Nov 29 2016
End Time: 812 pm CST
End Location: 1 ENE Ashridge AL
End Lat/Lon: 34.2356 / -87.4471

SUMMARY…This track has been updated based on additional
damage surveyed today.

.ARLEY/HELICON FD TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating: EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind: 105 mph
Path Length (Statute): 4.5 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 300 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 29 2016
Start Time: 854 pm CST
Start Location: 1 ESE Arley AL
Start Lat/Lon: 34.0784 / -87.1943

End Date: Nov 29 2016
End Time: 900 pm CST
End Location: 5 NE Arley AL
End Lat/Lon: 34.1240 / -87.1401

.COUNTY ROAD 66 TORNADO (WINSTON COUNTY)…

Rating: EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind: 110 mph
Path Length (Statute): 3.0 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 100 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 29 2016
Start Time: 1020 pm CST
Start Location: 6 NNE Arley AL
Start Lat/Lon: 34.1550 / -87.1572

End Date: Nov 29 2016
End Time: 1025 pm CST
End Location: 0 E Nesmith AL
End Lat/Lon: 34.1747 / -87.1110

SUMMARY…This tornado continues into Cullman County.

.LABLOCKEE TORNADO (LEE AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES)…

Rating: EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind: 90 mph
Path Length (Statute): 3.2 miles
Path Width (Maximum): 300 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Nov 30 2016
Start Time: 1235 pm CST
Start Location: 5 E Camp Hill AL
Start Lat/Lon: 32.7956 / -85.5591

End Date: Nov 30 2016
End Time: 1240 pm CST
End Location: 3 E Waverly AL
End Lat/Lon: 32.7352 / -85.5164

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies
tornadoes into the following categories.

EF0…Weak……65 to 85 mph
EF1…Weak……86 to 110 mph
EF2…Strong….111 to 135 mph
EF3…Strong….136 to 165 mph
EF4…Violent…166 to 200 mph
EF5…Violent…>200 mph

Note:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS
Storm Data.

Dry and Cooler Ahead… Weekend Rain… Wednesday Forecast Update – 5:20pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Wednesday evening! It has been a tragic 30 hours across Alabama, with numerous tornadoes across north Alabama and atleast 3 fatalities. The latest word from the National Weather Service has found 4 tornado paths across our northwest Alabama counties, but more tornado paths are yet to be surveyed, so that number will increase.

Cool and stable air has taken over and the severe weather risk has ended. Sunny skies will take over on Thursday and Friday, as a surface high builds in from the northwest. Expect a high in the upper 50s to near 60 on Thursday and Friday. Lows will dip into the upper 30s tonight and lower 30s Friday morning. A frost and freeze is possible for portions of north and central Alabama Friday morning.

Clouds increase on Saturday, with a good chance of a few showers Saturday night. Highs will only top out in the upper 50s on Saturday and Sunday, with rain becoming likely and widespread on Sunday and that may continue into Monday as well. Models suggest our area could get 2 to 5 inches of rain with this next event, which will continue to help pull us out of the drought. At this time, I do not see a risk of severe weather…

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

10am Wednesday… Severe Risk Has Ended for Our Area… #alwx @wvua23

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Quick update… The severe weather risk has ended for our area across west and central Alabama. There are showers and storms at 10am across much of central Alabama, but these remain well below severe levels. Rain will end from west to east during the late morning and early afternoon, as cool and stable air takes over…

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

7am Wednesday Radar Update – #alwx @wvua23

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At 7am , a batch of very heavy rain and storms was located in a line from Oneonta to Tuscaloosa to Livingston. This line is slowly sinking southeast and will likely dump a good inch or two of rain as it tracks along and then southeast of I-59. Rain amounts over northwest Alabama are impressive, with radar estimates over 4 to 5 inches in many spots. Flooding is occurring in some areas across the northwest side of the state.

We’re maintaining a low end risk of isolated tornadoes through mid morning for areas along and ahead of the leading edge of the storms. While the tornado risk is much lower than it was yesterday evening and lastnight over northwest AL, I can’t rule out a quick spin-up tornado across central and east Alabama through mid morning. Areas to the northwest of the leading edge of the storms is in good shape, as the severe risk has ended for those areas to the west of Livingston, Tuscaloosa, Jasper and Cullman.

Keep in mind, we go live non-stop on TV on WVUA (Channel 23 on Satellite, check your listing for WVUA/WUOA on your local cable service channel) during tornado warnings. You can go to wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click on Live severe weather stream to watch from your computer or smart phone.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and Facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

6am Wednesday Radar Update #alwx @wvua23

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At 6am, a long line of rain and storms continues to shift east across our area, with storms in a line from Oneonta to Jasper to Samantha to Meridian. There are a few cells out ahead of the main line that have shown signs of weak rotation, but there are no warnings at this time. Storms continue to weaken a bit with the line, compared to the significant severe weather issues we experienced much of the night over northwest Alabama.

There is still a tornado watch for much of central and portions of west Alabama through mid morning. The tornado watch have been trimmed back in our northwest Alabama counties and that trimming will continue as the line of storms slowly moves east. The line has dumped an incredible amount of rain over northwest Alabama, with radar estimates over 4 inches in many spots. There are some flooding issues in that zone where the heavy rain has continued much of the night.

The line of storms will impact the I-59 area around 7 to 9am, with locally heavy rain and gusty winds. I can’t rule out a spin-up tornado, but the risk is low. Areas around Anniston to Rockford will deal with the storms after 9am.

Keep in mind, we go live non-stop on TV on WVUA (Channel 23 on Satellite, check your listing for WVUA/WUOA on your local cable service channel) during tornado warnings. You can go to wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click on Live severe weather stream to watch from your computer or smart phone.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and Facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott