Hot Days Now… Increasing Rain Chances Ahead… Wednesday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Wednesday afternoon! Our local weather is hot and humid this afternoon, with a heat index over 100 in many spots. A few isolated storms have fired up on radar north of Tuscaloosa, but most areas will not get rain today. Temperatures will gradually cool into the 70s by 11pm tonight, under a mostly clear sky.

Upper air ridging will continue to bake Alabama on Thursday and Friday, with an air temperature in the middle 90s. Heat index could reach 100 to 105 in many areas. Models continue to suggest the ridge will weaken and the risk of scattered storms will increase ahead. Look for the risk of scattered storms to bump up to 30% on Friday. On Saturday and Sunday, a weak upper air trough over the east will influence our local weather and help to increase the number of scattered storms. While it will not rain all day and some of you will miss the rain this weekend, there is a fairly good chance you’ll see atleast one passing downpour. The best chance of getting a storm this weekend will be during the afternoon and evening. With an increase in the number of storms and weakening upper air ridge, I expect air temperatures to drop into the upper 80s to low 90s for afternoon highs.

The risk of scattered storms will remain elevated through early next week, with highs in the low 90s. Heat index will approach 100 during the afternoon.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Hot Weather Continues…Tuesday Forecast Update, 4 p.m. #wxal @wvua23

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Good Tuesday afternoon! Most remained dry with just a few parts across Alabama seeing a very isolated shower. Most remained near the Gulf Coast. Here in central Alabama most remained dry (besides a few isolated showers that are developing late afternoon), but cloud cover did increase. Despite that increase, it was a very hot afternoon with heat indices approaching (or exceeding like in Jasper) 100°. Tonight, we will continue to remain dry with partly cloudy skies. Tomorrow will be similar to today with a VERY low chance of an isolated shower and very warm temperatures. More areas tomorrow will likely break the 100° mark for heat index values. That said, make sure you take precautions if you will be outside for extended periods of time. Take lots of breaks and drink plenty of fluids.

The rest of the work week will be fairly stagnant, weather-wise. We keep this trend of just very isolated showers and extremely hot weather! Every day will see heat index values into the 100’s, so make sure you are staying aware of how long you remain outside.

As we head into the weekend, rain chances will start to increase. The increase in rain will help to provide a little relief with temperatures, but any big relief looks out of sight. It will help to bring highs back to the low 90’s by next work week though. Despite rain chances increasing, they will continue to remain scattered; however, plan on a very heavy downpour if you find yourself caught in one.

Looking at the tropics, tropical storm Don has weakened some as it moves into the Caribbean and will continue to lose strength as it moves toward the northwest. It will produce significant rainfall amounts for Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago when it makes landfall with the islands. Just behind Don is a second tropical wave we are keeping eyes on right now for development. Thankfully, it looks like the same weather conditions that are weakening Don will prevent any serious development of this wave, or at least for now.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Reggie Roakes

Facebook: Meteorologist Reggie Roakes

Twitter: MetRoakes

Instagram: Reggie Roakes

Severe T-storm Warning for Blount Co Until 6:30pm Monday #alwx @wvua23

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BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
603 PM CDT MON JUL 17 2017

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
Central Blount County in Alabama…

* Until 630 PM CDT

* At 603 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Nectar, or
near Cleveland, moving southwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD…60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include…
Oneonta, Blountsville, Cleveland, Dallas, Locust Fork, Fairview,
Hayden, Nectar, Rosa, Blount Springs, Bangor, Easley, Chamblees
Mill, Remlap, Fowler Spring and Clear Springs.

Hot Days Ahead! Monday Forecast Update – 4:35pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday afternoon! As of 4:30pm, a few scattered showers and storms continue to move west or southwest across the state. Not everyone will get rain this afternoon or evening, but where storms do develop, they will drop heavy rain in a short period of time. Expect storms to fade away after sunset, with conditions becoming very muggy tonight.

Upper level ridging will build into the area on Tuesday and continue nearby through Saturday. With high dewpoints and strong ridging over the area, I expect a dangerous combination of heat and humidity. This will be the hottest stretch so far this summer, with afternoon highs in the middle to upper 90s. Heat index will reach 105 in many areas beginning on Wednesday and lasting through Saturday. Rain chances will only remain at 10% through the end of the week, with only a small chance of an isolated shower or storm during the afternoon.

Sunday and Monday, there is evidence of an approaching upper air trough. This will help to increase rain chances and reduce the heat a tad.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Tropical Storm Don forms in Atlantic… Monday Update – 4:15pm #alwx @wvua23

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Tropical Storm Don Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052017
500 PM AST Mon Jul 17 2017

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating the area
of low pressure located east-southeast of the Windward Islands has
found a small, but well-defined surface circulation and a small
area of tropical-storm-force winds over the eastern semicircle of
the circulation.  The associated convection is not particularly
well organized, but there is a curved band located to the north
of the center and a couple of bursts have formed closer to the
small circulation center this afternoon. Based on these data,
advisories are being initiated on a tropical storm, the fourth of
the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. Don is currently within a
low shear environment and over warm water, so some strengthening is
possible tonight and Tuesday. Once the system enters the eastern
Caribbean Sea, strong upper-level westerly winds and strong
low-level easterly flow are likely to cause the small circulation to
open up into a trough.  As a result, dissipation is forecast within
72 hours.

Don is moving westward or 275/15 kt. The tropical storm is forecast
to move quickly westward within the strong trade-wide flow for the
next few days.  The NHC track is along the southern edge of the
guidance envelope, closest to the HFIP corrected consensus
prediction.

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/2100Z 11.2N  52.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
12H  18/0600Z 11.5N  55.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
24H  18/1800Z 11.8N  58.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
36H  19/0600Z 12.0N  62.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
48H  19/1800Z 12.2N  67.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
72H  20/1800Z…DISSIPATED

Severe T-storm Warning for Jefferson & Shelby Co Til 3:45pm Monday #alwx @wvua23

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BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
313 PM CDT MON JUL 17 2017

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
North central Shelby County in Alabama…
East central Jefferson County in Alabama…

* Until 345 PM CDT

* At 313 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Lake Purdy,
or near Mountain Brook, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD…60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include…
Birmingham, Hoover, Vestavia Hills, Homewood, Pelham, Mountain
Brook, Irondale, Leeds, Barber Motorsports Park, Shops Of Grand
River, Greystone, Samford University, Highland Lakes, Cahaba
Heights, Alton, Fowler Lake, The Summit, Lake Purdy, Meadowbrook
and Mount Laurel.

The week is beginning to look sunny and hot! Forecast update 8 pm #alwx @wvua23

7 Day -SHELTON STATE Forecast - Offset Lows - PM.pngHeavy rainfall fell this morning in central  Alabama and as we moved into the afternoon some areas saw a few isolated thunderstorms. This evening has started to clear nicely though. The heat was a large concern for many this afternoon though with highs in the 90s and feels like temperatures in the 100s for some areas like Jasper. Right now it has cooled off a bit though and it feels like the mid to low 70s.

Some light showers will develop in more southern counties tomorrow morning but by later in the afternoon few will see some isolated thunderstorms while other areas may just see some light rain. The mains concern will be lightning and flooding for areas that have seen lots of rain over the past several days. Always remember when you see standing water when driving turn around don’t drown!

Rain will clear Monday evening and good news, Tuesday rain chances will begin to decrease! By Wednesday you can expect to see more sunshine in the day and less rain in the afternoon. This trend will continue all the way through Sunday to make for a beautiful weekend. But beware if you plan to spend days outside. Highs for this week will be moving into the mid to upper 90s and those feel like temperatures are likely to reach into the 100s. You are in summer in Alabama which means we have a lot of moisture in the air with dewpoints reaching in the 70s so expect hot and humid days to continue.

Danielle Davis

Twitter: @DanielleDavisWX

Facebook: DanielleDavisWX