Hot Saturday… Storms By Late Sunday… Friday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx @wvua23

fgjddk.png

Good Friday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out very mild this afternoon, with all of west and central Alabama getting close to the 90 degree mark. It’s a breezy afternoon, with south winds transporting moisture northward ahead of Sunday’s rain/storm event.

Expect temperatures to remain very mild tonight, with a low near 70. Highs on Saturday will approach 90, under a partly sunny sky. There is a small chance of a stray afternoon storm on Saturday, but most areas will remain dry.

DMA Severe Risk Tonight.png

There are lots of questions being asked about Sunday. Here’s the latest… It sure looks like most of the day will be dry, with a breezy south wind. By 4pm, a line of strong to severe storms will start to move into extreme west Alabama. Based off our latest computer model data, the environment supports a slow moving squall line, with very heavy rain and a few areas of damaging strait line winds. All of west and central Alabama has the potential to experience strong gusty winds, very heavy rain and intense lightning, but the higher risk of a storm producing damaging wind over 60mph will be west of I-65.

There is a low end risk of a spin-up tornado over west Alabama, but this event doesn’t support a big tornado risk. We’ll need to carefully watch trends over the next 24 hours to make sure that doesn’t change, but I feel confident that this is mainly a heavy rain and strong wind risk. Some computer model data suggests our area could get 1 to 4 inches of rain Sunday late afternoon into late Sunday night. See the map above for the time-line for your area…

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Hot Days Ahead… Strong to Severe Storms on Sunday… Thursday Update – 5:45pm #alwx @wvua23

aaaaaaadddd.png

Good Thursday afternoon! I wrote a long post looking back at the 6 year anniversary of the April 27, 2011 tornado outbreak. The link is below…

https://sky7weather.wordpress.com/2017/04/27/6-years-ago-today-a-day-that-changed-my-life-alwx-wvua23/

Our local weather has turned out beautiful this afternoon after a stormy night for much of Alabama lastnight. Storms are long gone now, with no issues expected for today through Saturday. Upper level ridging will build in on Friday and Saturday, sending temperatures into the upper 80s; in-fact, we may reach 90 on Saturday. There is a small chance of an isolated shower or storm both Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon.

On Sunday, a very deep upper air trough to the west of Alabama will gradually become negatively tilted, sending lots of energy in the atmosphere our way. Wind shear and uplift will greatly increase across west and central Alabama by Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening. As instability increases during the day on Sunday, we’ll have to carefully watch radar trends. There is a chance our area could deal with a round of strong to severe storms beginning during the early to mid afternoon hours over west Alabama and extending into the early overnight hours for east Alabama.

Based off the current setup, it appears a long squall line will move across the area from west to east, with the primary risk being damaging strait line winds and perhaps a few isolated tornadoes. If the storms remain in a line, the tornado risk will be somewhat lower, with mainly a risk of strong strait line winds. The main risk will be over west Alabama, to the west of I-65. Heavy rain may also become an issue depending on how fast storms progress east. We’ll need to carefully watch for any flash flooding potential. Given the ground is rather dry, it would take a lot of rain to cause flash flooding…

Storms are gone by sunrise Monday morning, with slightly cooler air. Highs will top out in the lower 70s on Monday.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

6 Years Ago Today… A Day That Changed My Life! #alwx @wvua23

Above is a clip of our coverage before we lost power due to the massive Tuscaloosa tornado. We were in a building called Reese Phifer Hall on the University of Alabama campus. UA campus has a very protected power supply, so until that point, we never invested in a back-up generator. There was never a need for one because the power source was very secure. We lost power on April 27th, as the tornado was tracking into the Forest Lake area of Tuscaloosa. The tornado destroyed 4 power substations in Tuscaloosa, so to say the least, that took our power supply. We were brushed by the tornado as it tracked through town. The core of the tornado missed us by 0.90 miles, but inflow winds were estimated at 80 mph at our TV Station. Fortunately, in the new Digital Media Center, we have a backup generator. In the event of power failure, we will have the ability to remain on air now…

It was 6 years ago today, when a horrible tornado outbreak changed my life. It’s a day that affected so many people on so many ways. Not only did a powerful tornado hit the city of Tuscaloosa, Alberta City and Holt, but 62 tornadoes tracked across the state. Many people lost their home, including myself. I lived in a neighborhood behind Big Lots and Hobby Lobby. I was so fortunate because I survived the storm, and so did all of my close friends and family. Numerous friends of mine did lose their home or apartment, but they made it out with their life, and that’s what’s most important in the end.

The days leading up to the big outbreak were more than concerning, they were downright frightening. We had a dangerous squall line move through that morning, which left many without power. When the sun came out early that morning, many folks though the severe weather was over, but the worst was yet to come. The sun added to the instability. The instability was a disastrous ingredient thrown into strong wind shear. Shear and instability are the ingredients that aren’t good to have together.

Every storm was producing large tornadoes, and the chance of tornadoes in one area was higher than I’ve ever seen before. Since the Tuscaloosa/Birmingham tornado affected me personally, I’ll focus on that tornado. Understand, there were 62 tornadoes that day that led to the largest single day tornado outbreak in Alabama’s history and nearly the most deadly. So many people were affected outside the large cities, in small towns scattered across the state.

The first tornado of the afternoon round hit downtown Cullman just after 3pm. After seeing video and hearing reports of what just happened in that area, Daniel Sparkman and I knew this really was going to be as bad as expected. A small supercell storm had just produced a large tornado in a large town; it was a disaster already.

At about 4pm, we started eyeballing a storm that was located in east Mississippi. This storm had a path directly towards Tuscaloosa. It was producing a tornado as it crossed the state line. Once it moved into Tuscaloosa County, we got the report of a wedge tornado with this storm. That was frightening! We knew this would become a disaster for the city of Tuscaloosa, Holt and Alberta City. We got the first glimpse of the tornado from our Tuscaloosa towercam when it was 20 miles away. It was at 5:13pm, when the tornado moved into the southwest side of Tuscaloosa. The warning system was as good as it gets for the storm, yet the tornado was so large, it was simply un-survivable in spots. Be sure to watch the video above from our severe weather coverage. It’s amazing that we stayed on air as long as we could. The main thought going through my mind at the time was warn as many as we can before we get hit. I thought the tornado was going to make a direct hit on our TV station. We were very close! Fortunately, the tornado just missed us to the south by 0.90 miles. Aka. Less that one mile…

After the tornado hit and we and lost power, I knew we had no way to broadcast on television. My main concern was getting to my house, where my roommate and WVUA Director, Jonathan Newman, was at the time. I had no idea what to expect, but I feared the worst. I parked my truck on the side of McFarland BLVD less than 10 minutes after the tornado hit. Rescue personal wasn’t even on the scene just yet. The sound of store and car alarms and police sirens filled the air. The smell of mud, tree sap and natural gas was so strong, it would nearly choke you. The sight of people climbing out of a pile of wood and brick was a sight I’ll never forget. When I got to my house, Jonathan was standing in the front yard. I was so relieved when I saw he was ok and so were my neighbors. Some of my neighbors had injuries, but they were not life-threatening. Unfortunately, that was a different story only 200 yards away, where several people didn’t survive the storm. More than 50 people died in Tuscaloosa alone and over 250 people died in the state of Alabama, making it one of the most deadly tornado outbreaks in US and state history. Below is a picture of my house the day after the tornado hit.

This event changed my life, and I’ll never look at storms the same way. Severe weather will continue to happen at times, and that’s a part of life we will have to live with. I don’t think we will ever see an event nearly the magnitude of this one. It only takes one tornado, so please take every warning serious.

Above is a map across our area that shows the tornado tracks and ratings on April 27th. This map tells a big story!

Map Source: NWS Birmingham

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

3am Weather Update: Storms Weakening & Moving East…

agaaaaaaaaa.png

At 3am, good news… storms are not severe in our area across west or central Alabama. While some areas are dealing with intense lightning and heavy rain, we have had no major reports of damage tonight and storms are gradually weakening. Storms will end from west to east through the pre-dawn hours over west Alabama and will come to an end for the I-65 corridor by 5 or 6am, then clearing our east Alabama counties by 8am. Severe weather for the rest of the morning is unlikely especially for the I-20 corridor and points north. There could be an isolated damaging wind gust or small hail along or south of HWY 80 to the east of Demopolis before 5am, but that risk will end by 5am…

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

2:15am Thursday Radar Update #alwx @wvua23

ahaaafaaa.png

At 2:15am, a batch of rain and storms across west Alabama continue to lift northeast across the area. There are no current warnings across west or central Alabama, but some storms are strong. Storms are lined up from Butler to Linden to Greensboro to Tuscaloosa, with a broken batch of showers and storms to the north of I-20.

There could be an isolated damaging wind gust or small hail over the next couple of hours to the south of I-20 and to the west of I-65. Storms area-wide are producing periods of heavy rain and intense lightning. By 5am, storms will be pushing east of I-65. I don’t expect any severe weather warnings after 5am this morning… Rain will come to an end over west Alabama over the next hour or two, then rain ends in east Alabama, east of I-65 shortly after sunrise this morning.

So far, there are no significant damage reports from the storms. Hopefully, we’ll get through this without issues this morning.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

1:25am Thursday Radar Update… Storms Moving East… #alwx @wvua23

gaaffffffff.png

At 1:25am Thursday, we’ve got a line of strong storms from Haleyville to Tuscaloosa to Eutaw to Cuba and moving east. There is one severe storm over southern Sumter County that may be producing damaging wind and quarter size hail. I haven’t seen any major damage issues at this point, and hopefully, we’ll make it through this event without any big problems.

It sure looks like the risk of anything becoming severe over the next few hours will be to the south of I-20. The main risk through 6am will be from isolated wind damage, quarter size hail and a brief spin-up tornado. The best chance of a spin-up tornado will be along and south of HWY 80 from Demopolis to Selma and points south between now and 6am. After 6am, all severe weather issues should be over for central and west Alabama…

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

1am Thursday Radar Update #alwx @wvua23

gaggggggg.png

At 1am, a broken line of strong to severe storms lined up from Cuba in Sumter County northward to Eutaw to Fayette to Haleyville and is moving east. There is a severe storm near Eutaw and another severe storm approaching Cuba and York in southern Sumter County.

Storms continue to bring the risk of isolated damaging winds, hail and a brief spin-up tornado. The main risk of a storm becoming severe will be south of I-20 and to the west of I-65. While there is a chance a storm could produce a damaging wind gust outside of that area, the higher risk area is over west Alabama to the south of I-20. Storms will push east of I-65 by 5am and will exit east Alabama into Georgia by 8am.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott