Very Mild Temps Continue… Showers & Storms Thursday…. Tuesay Update – 4:25pm #alwx @wvua23

7 Day Forecast - Offset Lows - PM.png

Good Tuesday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out very warm and very muggy this afternoon, with a combination of high air temperatures and high dewpoints. A few spotty showers continue across portions of central Alabama this afternoon, but most areas are currently dry. The risk of a spotty shower will diminish this evening, with skies remaining partly to mostly cloudy. Temperatures tonight will bottom off in the lower 60s.

We’re getting lots of questions about a risk of strong to severe storms on Thursday. After looking over tons of model data over the past 24 hours, I have noticed a trend that could prevent any severe weather issues in our area Thursday evening into Thursday night. The model image above is the 12z GFS, valid late Thursday night.

A surface low and upper air trough axis will be in a rather favorable position for a risk of strong to severe storms in Alabama, however, there is also a favorable setup for development of widespread thunderstorms near the coast. If you keep up with weather in Alabama and have through the years, you know widespread storms on the coast block the inflow of unstable air needed for severe weather in central Alabama. A large cluster of storms will suck the energy out of the atmosphere and basically leave our portion of central Alabama in rain with no severe weather.

Will this happen Thursday night? Based off our latest computer model data, there is excellent agreement in a Gulf Coast cluster of storms Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. Confidence in this scenario is high, so the risk of severe weather in central Alabama looks low at this time. At best, if storms develop in our portion of central Alabama, they could produce gusty winds and isolated areas of small hail, but widespread severe weather would not happen. Keep in mind, if the storms are not on the coast, that would put us into a higher risk of strong to severe storms. Fortunately, I don’t see any evidence of our risk increasing at the moment.

Late Thursday afternoon into the pre-dawn hours Friday morning, have a source of weather information incase the setup and risk change. I will say this… if you see a big cluster of storms near the Louisiana to Alabama Gulf Coast Thursday afternoon, consider that a positive sign that central Alabama will deal with a very limited or non-severe risk…

Temperatures will drop into the low and middle 70s on Friday, with a gradual decrease in clouds. Expect lower 50s at night Friday night and Saturday night. By Sunday, we’ll warm to near 80 degrees, with a partly cloudy sky.

More storms arrive on Monday, and we’ll need to watch for the potential for any strong to severe storms. It’s interesting to note that models suggest a very similar setup Monday that we will deal with on Thursday. A cluster of storms may form on the coast on Monday, limiting the risk of anything severe in our portion of central Alabama… More on this as we get closer.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Thoughts on Thursday EVE/Night Storms… Tuesday Update – 12:30pm #alwx @wvua23

gfs_6hr_precip_se_12.png

Good Tuesday midday! We’re getting lots of questions about a risk of strong to severe storms on Thursday. After looking over tons of model data over the past 24 hours, I have noticed a trend that could prevent any severe weather issues in our area Thursday evening into Thursday night. The model image above is the 12z GFS, valid late Thursday night.

A surface low and upper air trough axis will be in a rather favorable position for a risk of strong to severe storms in Alabama, however, there is also a favorable setup for development of widespread thunderstorms near the coast. If you keep up with weather in Alabama and have through the years, you know widespread storms on the coast block the inflow of unstable air needed for severe weather in central Alabama. A large cluster of storms will suck the energy out of the atmosphere and basically leave our portion of central Alabama in rain with no severe weather.

Will this happen Thursday night? Based off our latest computer model data, there is excellent agreement in a Gulf Coast cluster of storms Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. Confidence in this scenario is high, so the risk of severe weather in central Alabama looks low at this time. At best, if storms develop in our portion of central Alabama, they could produce gusty winds and isolated areas of small hail, but widespread severe weather would not happen. Keep in mind, if the storms are not on the coast, that would put us into a higher risk of strong to severe storms. Fortunately, I don’t see any evidence of our risk increasing at the moment.

Late Thursday afternoon into the pre-dawn hours Friday morning, have a source of weather information incase the setup and risk change. I will say this… if you see a big cluster of storms near the Louisiana to Alabama Gulf Coast Thursday afternoon, consider that a positive sign that central Alabama will deal with a very limited or non-severe risk…

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Showers will Continue… Forecast update 7pm #alwx @wvua23

7 Day Forecast - Offset Lows - PM.pngThis morning started off warm! Temperatures at the start of the day in the mid 60s in Birmingham, low 60s in Tuscaloosa. With a mostly clear morning and early afternoon temperatures reached into the 80s for the afternoon. Tuscaloosa almost beat its record high for this day at 83 with the record being 85.

Clouds began to move in during the afternoon for mainly northern Alabama and they’ve seen the greatest rain today. Severe thunderstorms have come in with this trough, however the greatest threat and damage we’ve seen so far has been from hail produced by these storms. Severe weather possibilities continue this evening with a decreased risk as you move later into the night and early Tuesday morning. Tomorrow expect some scattered showers throughout the day. These will be very light rain and be short-lived.

Wednesday a ridge will move in bringing warmer dry air with a good amount of sunshine and temperatures in the 80s. This nicer weather will be short as another trough quickly moves in Wednesday night with storms on Thursday. These storms have the chance to become severe with large hail, strong winds, and a possible tornado.

Friday afternoon the moist air will start clearing and temperatures will be nice in the mid 70s to make for a nice start to the weekend.

By Sunday another storm system will make its way in the area.

Danielle Davis

Twitter: @DanielleDavisWX

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued for Etowah and Cherokee Co… until 8:15pm #alwx @wvua23

regional_temp_640 (12).JPGThe National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
Etowah County in northeastern Alabama…
Cherokee County in northeastern Alabama…

* Until 815 PM CDT

* At 712 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Boaz to Gadsden Mall, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD…Golf ball size hail.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

* Locations impacted include…
Gadsden, Rainbow City, Hokes Bluff, Centre, Cedar Bluff, Little
River Canyon National Preserve, Forney, Centre Municipal Airport,
Attalla, Glencoe, Sardis City, Leesburg, Walnut Grove, Reece City,
Sand Rock, Gaylesville, Cherokee Rock Village, Aurora, Cornwall
Furnace Park and Blanche.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Etowah Co… until 7:15pm #alwx @wvua23

regional_temp_640 (11).JPGSevere Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
619 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
Etowah County in northeastern Alabama…

* Until 715 PM CDT

* At 618 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Susan Moore to near Inland Lake to near Steele,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD…Quarter size hail.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include…
Gadsden, Rainbow City, Boaz, Hokes Bluff, Attalla, Glencoe, Sardis
City, Altoona, Walnut Grove, Reece City, Aurora, Gadsden Mall,
Noccalula Falls, Neely Henry Lake, Southside, Ridgeville, Gadsden
Steam Plant, Mountainboro, Rockledge and Cobb City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page.

My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott
Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.
Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued for Marion and Winston Co… until 6:45pm #alwx @wvua23

regional_temp_640 (10)The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
Northeastern Marion County in northwestern Alabama…
Northern Winston County in northwestern Alabama…

* Until 645 PM CDT

* At 601 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Haleyville,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD…Quarter size hail.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include…
Haleyville, Addison, Sardis, Brushy Lake, Needmore, Moreland,
Inmanfield, Ashridge, Bear Creek, Weiss, Posey Field Airport,
Upshaw, Pebble, Upper Bear Creek Reservoir, Delmar, Sipsey River
Rec Area, Grayson, Addison Municipal Airport and Bankhead National
Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for St. Clair Co… until 6:30pm #alwx @wvua23

regional_temp_640 (9).JPGThe National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
Central St. Clair County in Alabama…

* Until 630 PM CDT

* At 553 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Odenville,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD…Quarter size hail.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include…
Rainbow City, Odenville, Margaret, Ashville, Ragland, Steele,
Branchville, Neely Henry Lake, Logan Martin Lake, Alabama
International Dragway, Wattsville and Neely Henry Dam.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott