Showers & Storms Ahead…Monday Afternoon Forecast Update #alwx @wvua23

Good Monday afternoon! Our local weather has been wet for many areas at times today, with scattered to numerous storms moving from south to north across the state. While it has not been a steady all day rain, many communities have dealt with a few passing downpours randomly through midday and into the afternoon. I expect scattered showers to remain possible through the overnight hours.

As a surface front stalls across northern Alabama Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll maintain a good chance of occasional showers and storms. Storms will dump heavy rain in a short period of time due to the high amounts of tropical moisture available. Given the uplift and soupy air in place, there could easily be a few overnight or morning showers, but the higher rain chance will arrive during the afternoon and evening hours.

Rain chances remain at 70% to 80% through Thursday, before the risk of showers and storms will decrease some by Friday and over the upcoming weekend. Models are in fair agreement that the front will stall near I-20 Friday and over the weekend, with a better chance of a few scattered showers happening south of I-20, with more isolated to limited chances to the north. Temperatures will remain rather hot, with highs in the upper 80s.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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Wet, Slightly Cooler – Sunday Forecast Update @wvua23 #ALwx

As we finish the first full day of fall, the temperatures still aren’t feeling autumn-like. We hit a high temperature in Tuscaloosa of 93 degrees. I expect a slight cool down as we head into this upcoming week, but that will be caused by mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.

Monday and Tuesday’s showers and storms look to be widely scattered, with higher coverage in the afternoon. Rainfall totals will likely be around a quarter of an inch under heavier showers.

By Wednesday, the rain coverage increases with widespread rainfall likely. This trend will continue into Thursday. These higher rain chances will help keep temperatures in the mid 80s. As we head into the weekend, it looks like the moisture will back off and we’ll see clearing and drying conditions. Temperatures will creep back up to near 90.

Join us live on WVUA 23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10 P.M. and weekends at 10 PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Jacob Lanier
Twitter: @JacobLanierWx
Facebook: Meteorologist Jacob Lanier

 

Fall begins, but warm & rain ahead for this week – Saturday Forecast Update @wvua23 #ALwx

Fall begins Saturday at 8:54 PM CT, with tomorrow as the first full day of Fall. It certainly doesn’t feel like it, with highs this week reaching the mid to upper 90s.

Rain showers earlier this afternoon helped cool down game day here in Tuscaloosa. Towns that stayed dry though reached the mid 90s today. Tomorrow I expect the same with some isolated showers possible, but high temperatures in the low 90s.

Monday the pattern changes, with a stalled front fueling daily showers and storms. These will be scattered in nature with some locations staying dry. However, I think that most places will see measurable rainfall this week at some point. The good news is that these showers and clouds will keep temperatures slightly cooler in the upper 80s. This is still at or above average for this time of year.

By the end of the week, rain chances go away and temperatures return to around 90 degrees. As of now, no break in this above normal temperature pattern is expected within the the next week or two.

Join us live on WVUA 23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10 P.M. and weekends at 10 PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Jacob Lanier
Twitter: @JacobLanierWx
Facebook: Meteorologist Jacob Lanier

TGIF… Rainy conditions come back into the forecast, but cooler temperatures come with the rain… Friday Forecast Update – 6:30 PM #alwx @wvua23

Good Friday evening everyone. We saw another hot day here in central Alabama, along with sunny conditions. The heat will stick around tomorrow as well, so 90s for Saturday. We could see a passing thunderstorm move through, but the majority of the area will stay dry. Sunday will be a carbon copy of today with hot temperatures and sunny conditions with that slight chance to see a passing thunderstorm.

As for the week ahead, we have a low pressure system sitting off to our west that will be sweeping its way eastward, along with a cold front that switches stationary on Sunday.

The beginning of the week is when we will see the effects of the low pressure system and front move through, with rainy conditions and a slightly cooler temperature into the upper 80s. The rain continues all the way until Thursday, and by Friday, our high temperature is in the mid 80s! The drop in temperatures will be a nice change to see here, even though we are about 10 degrees above average for this time of year.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6, and 10 PM and weekends at 10 PM for the very latest on your news, weather, and sports.

Emily Owen

eowen@wvua23.com

Twitter: @EmilyOwen_WX

Facebook: Emily Owen

Fall Begins Saturday… Higher Rain Chances Ahead… Thursday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx @wvua23

Good Thursday afternoon! Today is nearly identical to yesterday’s weather. We’ve got a good supply of sunshine with very hot afternoon temperatures. At 4pm, most areas were in the middle to upper 90s. We do note Jasper made it to 102 this afternoon. Expect a gradual fall in temperatures tonight, with a low in the lower 70s.

Friday will be a hot day, but temperatures will be a good 5 to 7 degrees cooler than today. Expect a high in the lower 90s, with a better chance of scattered afternoon storms.

Over the weekend, the best chance of scattered storms will continue over northwest Alabama. The risk of rain for I-20 is at 30%, but if you live northwest of Fayette, your chance of scattered storms is higher this weekend. I do not expect an all day type of rain over northwest Alabama this weekend, but there will be a better chance of a passing downpour. Rain chances will increase by the middle of next week, as a surface front approaches from the northwest.

Models are in better agreement of cooler air coming in by the end of next week. We could see highs drop into the lower 80s, with 50s possible at night at the end of next week, but there is still some uncertainty in the airmass.  We’ll fine-tune the numbers and thoughts as we get a little closer.

The tropics have really calmed over the past few days, with no action approaching the US at this time…

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Hot Weather For Now… Scattered Storms Return Soon… Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Update #alwx @wvua23

Good Wednesday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out very hot again this afternoon, with many areas reaching the upper 90s; in-fact, Jasper reached 100! Temperatures today are a good 10 to 12 degrees above average. Expect a slow fall in temperatures this evening, with lower 70s late tonight.

Thursday will feature another very hot afternoon, with a high near 98! The risk of rain is only at 10% for the afternoon hours. Many spots will remain rain-free. Expect a mostly sunny sky, with a few puffy cumulus developing by afternoon.

Friday through the weekend will feature a better chance of scattered, mainly afternoon storms. A weak surface front will approach from the northwest, and uplift from that front will enhance the pop up afternoon storms. The risk of rain is only at 20 to 30% through the weekend, so I don’t expect a widespread rain event. Saturday is the 1st day of fall! We’ll notice a better coverage of scattered storms by Monday and Tuesday.

Models are in better agreement of cooler air coming in by the end of next week. We could see highs drop into the lower 80s, with 50s possible at night at the end of next week, but there is still some uncertainty in the airmass.  We’ll fine-tune the numbers and thoughts as we get a little closer.

The tropics have really calmed over the past few days, with no action approaching the US at this time…

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Very Hot Days for Now… Scattered Storms Return by Late Week/Weekend… Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Update #alwx @wvua23

Good Tuesday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out very hot again this afternoon, with temperatures 8 to 11 degrees above average for mid September. At 4pm, most areas were in the middle to upper 90s. Expect a gradual cool off tonight, with lows dropping into the lower 70s.

Wednesday will feature another very hot afternoon, as highs reach the middle to upper 90s by the afternoon. Heat index will top the 100 degree mark after lunch. The risk of rain is very low, but I’ve got a 5% risk of one or two tiny storms somewhere on radar during the afternoon. I wouldn’t count on rain…

Moisture levels will increase by Thursday through the weekend, and the upper level ridge will weaken some. This will allow for a slightly better chance of a few pop up afternoon storms. I don’t expect a widespread rain by any means, but don’t be surprised if you see a quick afternoon storm.

By the middle of next week, models continue to hint at the chance of a cold front pushing through the area. If this indeed does happen, it could be our first taste of fall for the season.

The tropics have really calmed over the past few days, with no action approaching the US at this time…

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott