Good Monday afternoon to you! I had a great time speaking to the Senior Citizen Group at Stillman College today! I’ll show video of the visit on WVUA-TV news at 5, 6, and 10pm. After a cold start to the day, it’s warmed up nicely this afternoon. Many spots started off in the 20s; in-fact, Tuscaloosa started at 28 degrees. Most locations are well into the 60s this afternoon, under a sunny sky. The deep upper air trough that brought the chilly weather this weekend is progressing east and in a hurry. This will allow warmer air to move in from the west and southwest. Plus, an area of high pressure is shifting east of Alabama. This setup will allow a south wind to transport warm air in from the Gulf of Mexico.
We’ll have one more chilly night before lows warm up a bit. Expect temperatures to fall into the upper 30s area-wide. Some of the cooler spots and valleys may reach light frost criteria late tonight. Highs will warm into the lower 70s tomorrow afternoon, which is way above average. Tuscaloosa’s average high is only 57 degrees this time of the year. A fast moving upper air disturbance will bring clouds in from the southwest. Skies will quickly become mostly cloudy on Tuesday, but we should stay dry. As the disturbance moves over central Alabama on Wednesday, showers will increase. Most data keeps the heavier rain south of HWY 80, but I expect most spots to pick up between a quarter and half an inch between Wednesday morning and Thursday morning. Cool air won’t be found behind this system; in-fact, many spots will warm back into the lower 70s on Friday and Saturday. The clouds and a little rain should keep us in the 60s all day on Wednesday and Thursday.
Thursday is Groundhog Day. It’s too early to know if the groundhog will see it’s shadow or not. I expect a mostly cloudy sky Thursday morning, so there’s a good chance the shadow won’t be seen.
A deep trough will develop and cut off into an upper level low over the weekend. This will occur west of Alabama, which will place all of Alabama under a southwest flow aloft. This means unsettled weather will become likely over the weekend, as upper level energy moves our way. I don’t expect rain all weekend, but you will need the rain gear from time to time. Temperatures will remain mild through Saturday, due to a warming south wind. Highs will remain in the upper 60s to lower 70s through Sunday. Lows at night will remain in the lower 50s over the weekend.
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WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott