Storms on Thursday… Dry Weekend Ahead… Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Update

7 Day Forecast - Offset Lows - PM.pngGood Wednesday afternoon! Our local weather turned out very mild across our area this afternoon, with temperatures reaching into the lower 80s. Conditions remain rain-free, and I don’t expect any problems for the Trick-Or-Treaters this evening. Temperatures will remain mild, with 70s overnight. A breezy south wind will develop and increase across the area.

Lots of questions about Thursday’s storms…

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A line of strong to possibly a couple becoming severe will reach the west Alabama state line close to 5am Thursday morning. The line will be slowly weakening as it progresses east across our area Thursday morning. The strong leading edge of the storms will likely be approaching I-65 by 9 or 10am, then reaching the Georgia state line around midday. Rain will continue for a few hours after the intense part of the line passes your area, but any severe issues in one spot will be very short lived, less than 30 minutes.

The main risk of storms becoming severe along the line will be to the south of Demopolis/Selma/Montgomery, but there is a low end risk as far north as the Tennessee state line. In terms of what type of severe weather… I expect the main risk to be in the form of strong gusty winds with the leading edge of the line. The tornado risk is very low, but I can’t rule out an isolated spin-up, mainly in areas south of HWY 80. Technically, all of our area is in risk for an isolated tornado, but the chance of anything spinning up north of Demopolis/Selma/Montgomery is low due to very limited surface based instability. If that thought changes, I’ll reflect that in future updates.

We will have updates on social media as well as the weather blog. Go to wvua23.com and click weather and select weather blog. Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott Twitter: @RichardWVUA23

If we have a tornado warning in our coverage area, we will go on air and online non-stop. If a tornado watch is issued, expect top and bottom of the hour cutins on TV and online.

Drier and cooler air will take over on Friday and Friday night. Some spots north of I-20 could stay in the 50s all day Friday. We’ll drop into the 40s Friday night.

Our next system to bring rain will arrive on Monday and Tuesday of next week. At this time, severe weather appears unlikely.

Richard Scott
Chief Meteorologist
WVUA 23 | Box 870172 | Tuscaloosa, AL 35487-0172
O: 205-348-8005|
Email: rscott@wvua23.com
Website: http://www.wvua23.com
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott
Twitter: @RichardWVUA23

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Wednesday Morning Thoughts on Severe Risk Thursday AM… #alwx @wvua23

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Good Wednesday morning! Here’s a quick update on the risk of strong to perhaps a few severe storms Thursday morning.

Above is a graphic that shows the time-line and risk areas on a map, so check that for your specific area.

A line of strong to possibly a few severe storms will reach the west Alabama state line close to 4am Thursday morning. The line will be slowly weakening as it progresses east across our area Thursday morning. The strong leading edge of the storms will likely be approaching I-65 by 10am, then reaching the Georgia state line around midday. Rain will continue for a few hours after the intense part of the line passes your area, but any severe issues in one spot will be very short lived, less than 30 minutes.

The main risk of storms becoming severe along the line will be to the south of Demopolis/Selma/Montgomery, but there is a low end risk as far north as the Tennessee state line. In terms of what type of severe weather… I expect the main risk to be in the form of strong gusty winds with the leading edge of the line. The tornado risk is very low, but I can’t rule out an isolated spin-up, especially south of HWY 80. Technically, all of our area is in risk for an isolated tornado, but the chance of anything spinning up north of Demopolis/Selma/Montgomery is low due to very limited surface based instability. If that thought changes, I’ll reflect that in future updates.

We will have updates on social media as well as the weather blog. Go to wvua23.com and click weather and select weather blog. Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott Twitter: @RichardWVUA23
If we have a tornado warning in our coverage area, we will go on air and online non-stop. If a tornado watch is issued, expect top and bottom of the hour cutins on TV and online.
Richard Scott
Chief Meteorologist
WVUA 23 | Box 870172 | Tuscaloosa, AL 35487-0172
O: 205-348-8005|
Email: rscott@wvua23.com
Website: http://www.wvua23.com
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott
Twitter: @RichardWVUA23

Thoughts on Strong to Severe Storms Thursday… Tuesday Afternoon Update #alwx @wvua23

DMA Severe Risk 2.pngGood Tuesday afternoon! We’re about to move into our fall tornado season, and just in time, we’re looking at a risk of strong to severe storms.

A sharp shortwave trough will help to kick off a deepening surface low northwest of Alabama Wednesday night into Thursday. This will pull deep tropical moisture northward into Alabama and help to increase uplift and wind shear over our area.

A line of storms will move into far west Alabama around 5am Thursday morning, then shift east through the morning. The leading edge of the line of storms will pass through Cullman, Jasper, Tuscaloosa, Demoplis areas between 7am and 10am. Storms will impact east Alabama, east of I-65 between 10am and 2pm, as they continue the east path across our area. Keep in mind, rain will continue for several hours after the strong to severe part of the line has passed east of you.

In terms of the risk types, I expect a chance of damaging winds and possibly some flooding with the line. There is a low end tornado risk, especially south of I-20 where instability will be higher.

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Rain amounts will range from 1-2 inches for most of central Alabama, but there appears to be a hot spot where rain amounts could exceed 2 to 3″ over west Alabama to the south of Vernon and Fayette. Rain amounts will be a tad lower the further east you go towards the Georgia boarder.

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As always, we will have updates on social media as well as the weather blog. Go to wvua23.com and click weather and select weather blog. Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott   Twitter: @RichardWVUA23

If we have a tornado warning in our coverage area, we will go on air and online non-stop. If a tornado watch is issued, expect top and bottom of the hour cutins on TV and online.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Warm Days For Now… Storms on Thursday… Monday Afternoon Forecast Update #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday afternoon! Our local weather turned out nearly perfect for a fall day. Temperatures started off in the upper 40s to lower 50s this morning, with an afternoon high in the mid to upper 70s. Skies remain clear this evening, with a fast drop in temperatures. Expect a low in the lower 50s for many areas.

Tuesday will feature a rapid warm-up, as highs approach the lower 80s. Skies remain sunny on Tuesday.

Halloween day will feature an increase in clouds. Highs will approach the lower 80s during the afternoon. A breezy south wind will transport moisture northward allowing for the increase in clouds. Models continue to be in great agreement that the main rain chance will hold off until very late Wednesday night or Thursday morning. At this point, any Wednesday evening Halloween plans look good. Temperatures will be mild, with 70s after sunset through midnight.

Thursday’s weather will be messy. A line of strong to potentially severe storms will arrive early Thursday morning over west Alabama, then move east through the day. There’s great upper air support and wind shear, but instability will be lacking with this setup. We’ll need to watch for trends carefully, but I’m adding a low end risk of damaging wind and perhaps an isolated tornado or two to the forecast Thursday morning into the midday hour. Rain amounts will range 1-2″ with this event.

The upcoming weekend will feature dry and seasonal weather. Don’t forget about the time change in the pre-dawn hours of Sunday morning. You’ll set you clock back one hour before you go to bed Saturday night.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Warmer Temperatures and Mid-Week Showers – Sunday Afternoon Forecast Update #alwx @wvua23

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Good Sunday afternoon everyone! It was a pleasant day here in central Alabama with temperatures in the mid 70s and sunny skies! Tonight our temperatures will drop into the lower 50s, with clear skies. Enjoy the sunshine for the next couple of days because by the time we reach Wednesday, we’ve got some rain in our forecast.

Monday will be a carbon copy of today, with temperatures in the mid 70s and sunny conditions all throughout the day. We will remain dry as well. For Tuesday, temperatures soar into the low 80s, with the sun shining all day as well. Tuesday and Wednesday look to be the hottest days of the week.

Halloween starts off dry but rain will be moving into central Alabama just in time for trick-or-treating, so make sure to pack the umbrella as you’re headed out for the night. A cold front passes through Alabama Wednesday night into Thursday, and will drop our temperatures just a little into the 60s, and Thursday looks to be the wettest day of the week as well. We will dry out just in time for the weekend.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10 PM and weekends at 10 PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Emily Owen

eowen@wvua23.com

Facebook: Emily Owen

Twitter: @EmilyOwen_WX

Warmer Weather Heading Our Way – Saturday Afternoon Forecast #alwx @wvua23

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Well good Saturday afternoon! Our weather started off kind of gloomy today and very chilly with winds around 5-10 mph today. Eventually the sun decided to peak out today and we warmed up close to 65 degrees for today. For tonight, temperatures will be in the upper 40s, so if you haven’t yet, tonight would be a good night to knock the dust off of the heater! Expect mostly clear conditions as well for tonight.

For Sunday, a beautiful but warmer day is in store for us with temperatures in the upper 70s. Some places could even see the low 80s tomorrow! Sunny conditions all day tomorrow as well. The sunny conditions will persist into Wednesday, but we introduce rain chances Wednesday night so heads up to all of you trick-or-treaters out there, you might see a small rain shower.

The rain chances will continue into Thursday as well as a slight cold front will be sweeping through the state of Alabama, but it won’t be dropping our temperatures down drastically. By Friday we’ll be in the mid 60s, and start to dry out as we head towards next weekend.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6, and 10 PM and weekends at 10 PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Emily Owen

eowen@wvua23.com

Facebook: Emily Owen

Twitter: @EmilyOwen_WX

Dry Weekend Ahead… Warmer Temps By Sunday! Friday Afternoon Forecast #alwx @wvua23

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Good Friday afternoon! Our local weather started off damp across our area, but drier air continues to take over this afternoon. Only a few areas of drizzle continue but mainly in east Alabama. Expect a mainly cloudy sky tonight, with temperatures dipping into the upper 40s.

We’ll include a slow return of sunshine on Saturday, with a high in the middle 60s. A breezy west wind will continue on Saturday.

Sunshine is back on Sunday, with a high in the upper 70s. Some spots could push 80 degrees on Sunday. We’ll remain mild through Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. The next rain chance will come late Wednesday into Thursday of next week, which may  be an issue for the Halloween plans. If the forecast changes, we’ll update you.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott