One Day More… Saturday Forecast Update — 7:45pm

sevenday_640

Good Saturday evening! Temperatures warmed nicely this afternoon into the low 60’s under a good amount of sunshine as some high clouds filtered in this afternoon and evening.

Tonight, the clouds will continue to thicken, keeping temperatures warmer overnight tonight in the low 40’s. Sunday morning will start off mostly dry, but the rain will quickly move across the state from west to east. We could see up to an inch of rain on Sunday. Temperatures will remain warm for Sunday as the cold front is still well to our west. We’ll top out in the low to mid 60’s Sunday afternoon.

The rain will slowly taper off Sunday night into Groundhog Day morning as the cold front pushes the rain east, some chilly air and a cold wind will move into Central Alabama. The low Monday morning will likely occur after dawn, in the mid-morning as the chilly air and cold wind push in. Monday afternoon will see clearing, but it will feel quite cold. Temperatures will struggle to the low and mid 40’s with a steady breeze out of the northwest making things feel colder.

Punxsutawney Phil will likely not see his shadow up in Pennsylvania Monday, which potentially could be good news for those who like warmer weather, although ultimately, the matter of his prediction is dependent on whether or not he remains above ground. Current forecast for Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania is cloudy with snow showers. We’ll see what his thoughts are come Monday.

Monday night through Wednesday will be calm, with mostly clear skies throughout as the winds slowly shift from the northwest to the southeast. Temperatures will recover some, back into the mid 50’s Wednesday as more clouds filter in from the southwest.

There is some uncertainty on whether or not we will see rain Wednesday night into Thursday; however, I believe we’ll some showers late Wednesday night into Thursday with a decent amount of cloud cover. For now, we’ll keep the rain chance in for both days as two systems (one in the Gulf, and one in the Great Lakes) move toward the Atlantic seaboard.

We clear out by Friday with some short-lived chilly air, but plenty of sunshine is in the forecast for Saturday as temperatures return to the 50’s.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.
Peter Crank
WVUA Staff Meteorologist
Twitter: crankyweather

Rain by Late Weekend… Friday Forecast Update – 3:30pm #alwx

Warnings_965

Good Friday afternoon! It has turned out to be a beautiful, yet cool winter day across Alabama. Temperatures have reached the mid 50s for areas near and south of Tuscaloosa, with lower 50s to the northeast of Tuscaloosa. Expect a rapid drop in temperatures this evening and tonight. We’ll fall into the lower 40s by 7pm, then upper 30s at 10pm and the freezing mark shortly after midnight. Lows on average will fall into the upper 20s to near 30, with middle 20s possible along HWY 278. Expect a thick frost at sunrise Saturday morning.

We’ll start the day off with some sun, but clouds will rapidly increase through the day. Expect highs to reach into the upper 50s on Saturday, but I don’t expect any rain during the day. As a surface low forms to our west and moves just north of the area on Sunday, rain will quickly spread into the area during the day on Sunday. While I don’t expect it to rain all day on Sunday, there could be some rain at any point. Highs will reach the upper 50s on Sunday, with a few areas south of I-20 topping the 60 degree mark.

Colder air will then take over on Monday and Tuesday. We’ll only reach the middle 40s on Monday, with a slow decrease in clouds. Monday will be a raw winter day, with a breezy north wind. As winds go calm Monday night, a moderate freeze is expected. Lows will dip into the middle 20s along and south of I-20, with lower 20s in spots north of I-20.

Our next storm system will impact the area on Wednesday, with a soaking rain. It will be a chilly rain, but all indications are that it will be too warm for wintry weather with this feature. Another surge of cold air will move in on Thursday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Cooler Tomorrow… Late Weekend Rain… Thursday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx

Warnings_965

Good Thursday afternoon! What a nice winter day across the state! Temperatures have warmed into the 60s area-wide this afternoon, with low 70s near and south of Tuscaloosa. With periods of sunshine and a southerly wind, temperatures were allowed to warm a bit this afternoon. A weak cold front is passing through Alabama now, and temperatures will start to fall in our area this evening and tonight. There’s a small chance of a quick shower this evening, but most areas will not get rain. Expect temperatures to fall into the middle 50s by 7pm, lower 50s at 10pm and 40s at midnight. Skies will remain mostly cloudy through midnight, with a decrease in clouds by sunrise.

Friday will feature cooler temperatures, but extreme cold air isn’t expected. Look for a good dose of sunshine on Friday, with a high in the low to mid 50s. Some areas north of I-20 could stay in the 40s all day. Expect lows below freezing Friday night, with upper 20s to lower 30s. Widespread frost is expected Saturday morning.

Clouds will quickly increase on Saturday as another storm system moves towards Alabama. I expect Saturday to remain dry, but rain will move in on Sunday. As a surface low tracks over north Alabama on Sunday, rain will move across the state, but I don’t expect rain non-stop from daylight to dark. Rain will be possible at any time during the day, so keep the umbrella handy. Highs will approach 60 on Sunday, especially south of I-20. Colder air will move in Sunday night, but the rain should be out of here before any frozen precip would become possible. Monday will feature much colder air, with highs in the 40s and lows in the upper 20s Monday night.

Another storm system will move into the area on Wednesday. Clouds will increase on Tuesday, with a high near 50. Rain is likely at times on Wednesday, with a soaking expected. Wintry weather is not expected, as temperatures will remain well above freezing. Even colder air will likely take over late next week…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Nice Now… Cooler Air Ahead… Wednesday Forecast Update – 5pm #alwx

Warnings_965

Good Wednesday afternoon! Our local weather included sunny skies and very nice conditions for a late January day. Temperatures will gradually drop back into the upper 40s by 7pm, middle 40s at 10pm and lower 40s at midnight. Expect a clear sky overnight, but we should stay above the frost and freeze temperature tonight. Thursday will feature a warmer day as a cold front approaches from the northwest. Highs will reach the middle 60s in many areas, with an increase in clouds. A stray shower or two will be possible on Thursday as the cold front moves through.

Temperatures will drop a bit on Friday and Saturday, with highs dropping back into the lower 50s. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days, with a higher coverage of clouds on Saturday. I don’t expect rain on Friday, but a passing shower is possible on Saturday. Lows will fall  into the lower 30s Friday night.

A weak storm system will pass over Alabama on Sunday, with a good chance of occasional rain. Temperatures will top out in the upper 50s in most areas on Sunday, with a few low 60s possible if the warm front can move into the area from the south.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Looking Back at the Snow Disaster of January 28, 2014… Wednesday Update – 3:45pm #alwx

snow_totals

Here’s a look back at the winter weather disaster that impacted much of Alabama on the day of January 28, 2014. Thousands of people were stranded on the roads as the snow fell and quickly caused roads to become blocks of ice. It was a bad combination of very cold air, heavy snow, and tons of traffic thrown into the wintry weather at it’s peak. Schools and businesses let out at the same time, causing a rapid increase in traffic. This occurred at the peak of the snow, causing traffic to stop on all roads and interstates in our area. With people stranded in their cars, many hiked in the snow to get to shelter for the night, as temperatures were dangerously cold. Here’s a great re-cap of the event from the National Weather Service in Birmingham:

The Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coast states were impacted by a rather significant winter storm during the period of January 28-30, 2014. Central Alabama had it’s encounter with the system on Tuesday, January 28th, when freezing rain and snow fell across much of the area. Below is a recap of the event across NWS Birmingham’s county warning area.

The snow event on Tuesday, January 28, 2014, really began two days earlier on Sunday the 26th. On that Sunday afternoon, it was nearly unfathomable that conditions were going to be so radically different in just a mere 48 hours. Temperatures were near 60 degrees in the northern sections of Central Alabama, while further south, it was even warmer with temperatures rising into the middle 60s in the Montgomery area. This led to the first forecast problem, the warmer ground and especially the warmer road temperatures.

As we went into Monday, a major change was taking place as yet another Arctic front was headed south across the area. Most of the region warmed rapidly during the morning through the mid afternoon hours, but just a few hours after sunset most locations had dropped well into the 20s with really dry air diving southward. In fact, several dewpoints registered in the negative digits. This drier air only served to re-enforce the already problematic forecast by making it difficult to determine exactly how long it would take to moisten the atmosphere on Tuesday. The issue of just how far north the winter precipitation would fall was also a huge concern considering the extrememly low dewpoints that were in place across portions of the area.

By early Tuesday, it was apparent that a lot of moisture was moving into the area, and those negative dewpoints were quickly rising. Meanwhile, the surface temperatures were dropping in conjunction with the heavy precipitation, and most surface temperatures were struggling to get past 20 degrees! This caused huge forecast headaches because the atmosphere had moistened so quickly that snow up north and sleet and freezing rain south were already beginning to reach the ground several hours earlier than anticipated. The next forecast issue was the colder than forecast surface temperatures that were allowing the snow ratios to be nearly 20:1, almost unheard of in Alabama. (Typically snow to liquid ratios are around 10:1 in our part of the country.) Thirdly, even though there was a lot of dry air across the northern half of the state, the snow rates were just heavy enough to allow snow to accumulate further north than originally forecast. Finally, and the worst impact of all – those warm temperatures from Sunday and early Monday allowed the first layer of snow to melt on contact and refreeze as a sheet of ice on all the roadways in the 20 degree weather. This led to all of the traffic nightmares across the entire area and people being stranded for many hours Tuesday!

In the end, Alabama State Troopers responded to 731 vehicle accidents across the state during the period Tuesday through Friday (Jan 28th-31st). Sadly, there were nine deaths attributed to accidents that occurred due to the icy road conditions. Snowfall totals across Central Alabama ranged from zero in the far northwest to 2-3 inches in a corridor from Chilton County northeast to Randolph County.  Prior to the snowfall, some counties in the southeast half of the state reported up to 0.25 inches of ice accumulation.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Nice Weather Now… Some Weekend Rain… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx

Warnings_965

Good Tuesday afternoon! With lots of sunshine today, some areas have warmed into the lower 60s across west and central Alabama. After a cold start to the day, it has turned out to be a nice late January day, but we’ve got more cold temperatures in the forecast overnight tonight, as most areas dip just below the freezing mark.

Temperatures will fall quickly after sunset, with most areas in the upper 40s at 7pm, upper 30s at 10pm and lower 30s by midnight. We can expect a frost and light freeze overnight tonight, under a clear sky and calm wind. Conditions will turn out nice on Wednesday, with ample sunshine and a mild day. Highs will approach 60 degrees in many areas on Wednesday, with middle 60s possible for some on Thursday. A cold front will pass through Alabama on Thursday, and we’ll notice the return of some cloud cover. We’ll call it partly sunny on Thursday, with a small chance of a stray shower or two.

Chilly air will return on Friday and Saturday, but we’ll only drop to our average high in the lower to middle 50s. With a developing storm system west of Alabama, I still expect a partly sunny sky on Friday, becoming mostly cloudy on Saturday. Friday and Saturday should be mostly dry, but a stray shower is possible on Saturday.

An area of low pressure will track across the state on Sunday, bringing a soaking rain with it. Look for most of Sunday to be a wet day for the state, with highs in the 50s. A surge of chilly air will move in on Monday and Tuesday of next week…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

A Tad Warmer Ahead… Rain This Weekend… Monday Forecast Update – 5pm #alwx

Warnings_965

Good Monday afternoon! After a cloudy and cold start to the day, this afternoon turned out pretty nice. Skies are sunny as of 4:45pm, and we will remain mostly clear overnight. Temperatures will get rather cold tonight, with a freeze in some areas. Temperatures may dip into the lower 30s in some locations overnight, under a clear sky. Expect temperatures in the lower 40s at 7pm, and upper 30s at 10pm.

If you’ve been keeping up with the news over the past few days, you’ve likely heard of the blizzard that’s beginning to impact the northeast. Coastal sections from near New York City to Boston to the coastline of Maine will experience blizzard conditions, with snow fall in feet! This will be a major disruption to travel for the next few days. Travel into the affected areas is highly discouraged tonight through Wednesday…

Tuesday and Wednesday will be very similar days, as high pressure moves over the area. Expect lots of sun both afternoons, with highs reaching the upper 50s. We’ll start off in the 30s both Tuesday and Wednesday morning, with a light freeze possible Wednesday morning. Expect temperatures to warm into the lower 60s on Thursday, as clouds increase ahead of a cold front. A stray shower is possible Thursday, but I expect most areas to stay dry.

Cooler air will take over on Friday, with a high in the lower 50s. Skies will remain partly sunny on Friday, then becoming mostly cloudy on Saturday. At this point, rain is unlikely on Saturday, but I can’t rule out a little rain late in the day. Expect a soaking rain on Sunday, with highs in the lower 50s. Overnight lows will remain above freezing, so no wintry weather impacts are expected.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua