Thursday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4:45 PM

A good Thursday to you! It’s the last day or March, as April begins tomorrow. Its felt a little more like the end of February than the end of March, with many places staying in the 50s today; in-fact, Birmingham stayed in the 40s for much of the day. Some sun made a return earlier, but an upper air disturbance is bringing in more clouds this afternoon. Rain is showing up over parts of Arkansas and western Mississippi, but this disturbance will be weakening, so our rain chances will remain fairly low. Some of us will get a little light rain after dark, but rain totals will be less than 1/10th of an inch.

Sunshine will return tomorrow afternoon, as the upper air disturbance moves eastward and out of our area. Temperatures will begin a gradual warming trend tomorrow afternoon. Highs should top out somewhere in the middle 60s. Temperatures will remain cool at night, with 40s expected tonight, Friday night and Saturday night. As ridging builds in from the southwest, temperatures will continue to warm over the weekend. Highs will top out in the lower 70s on Saturday with a sunny sky. Low 80s are possible on Monday, with increasing clouds again. A strong south wind will transport lots of moisture and heat in here on Sunday and Monday. This will be just in time for a big storm system that’s due in here on Tuesday.

As for Tuesday’s storm system, there is a risk of severe storms. This is several days out, so things could change. The big questions include timing and strength of the low. If this activity comes in here Tuesday afternoon, during peak heating hours, we could have a significant April severe weather outbreak. If the storms arrive during the early morning hours, then the severe weather threat will be bit lower. With many of our severe weather ingredients coming together, I think we’ll have some big issues with active severe storms. The main threats include large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. We’ll fine-tune the forecast through the weekend. Make sure you go through your severe weather plans now, so you’ll be ready to act in the case of severe storms.

A quick pop of cooler air arrives on Wednesday and Thursday, but the cooler air will be short lived. The trough responsible for bringing storms and cooler air will be progressive and will quickly push eastward.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV today at 5, 6, and 10 for the latest on your forecast. Have a great day!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Update – 3:30 PM

A good Wednesday to you! Its felt a little more like winter today, with light showers and mist for much of the day. A cold front moved through last night, and has brought cooler air to the state. The big storms from last night are long gone, with severe weather over parts of Florida. As a couple of upper air impulses work through from the northwest, a few showers are possible through Friday night. The good news is the weekend will be great, with an increase in sun and temperatures.

Skies will remain mostly cloudy tonight, with a low in the lower 40s. Some clearing is possible at times, but skies will generally stay mostly cloudy through Friday night. Highs on Thursday warm into the lower 60s. Some places north of Tuscaloosa will stay in the 50s all day, with a breezy northwest wind. Winds will continue to be gusty on Friday as well, with lower 60s expected on Friday. The big eastern US trough will be moving out on Friday, and warmer air will be soon to follow. Sinking air will allow for clearing skies Saturday morning, with plenty of sun Saturday afternoon and on Sunday. Highs will top out in the lower 70s on Saturday, but lower 80s are possible on Sunday. It will still be chilly at night, with a start in the 40s both Saturday and Sunday morning.

Another big storm system arrives on Tuesday, with the threat of some severe weather. We’ll keep an eye on that system, as some models give us a big threat of severe weather. Fortunately, we have several days to watch it. Temperatures will back down into the upper 70s on Monday and Tuesday, due to more clouds.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV today at 4, 5, 6, and 10 for the latest on your forecast. Have a great day!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Severe T-storm Warning for Lamar, Fayette, Pickens until 11:15 PM

BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1012 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…WESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA… SOUTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA… NORTHERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT

* AT 1008 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF COLUMBUS…AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…  MILLPORT…VERNON…FAYETTE…KENNEDY…ASHCRAFT CORNER…BELK…
  BLOOMING GROVE AND BLUFF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Discussion – 3:30pm Update

A good Tuesday to you! Our forecast will include a good bet for rain and storms late this evening and tonight. Showers and storms will gradually increase as a surface and upper level impulse spins up to our west. Rain will become heavy at times tonight and early on Wednesday. Some storms could grow strong to severe, with hail being the primary concern. The storms will have a potential to produce a lot of lightning, so don’t be outdoors when a storm approaches your neighborhood.

A surface low will track across southern Mississippi and Alabama, which is in the best spot to keep the main severe weather threat well to our south. The hail producing storms around here will be elevated and not surface based, which takes out the tornado threat. Temperatures will be fairly mild tonight, with upper 50s expected. A light breeze will make it feel cooler once the rain arrives. As the surface low shifts southeast of Alabama after lunch tomorrow, the rain chance will start to move east of us. There will still be a lingering shower or two through the evening hours. As another disturbance will move in Thursday evening and Friday morning, but data has been trending downward in the rain chance with this feature. Right now, I’ve got a 40% chance of rain on Thursday and a 30% on Friday. Not everyone will see rain, but there could be some light showers around parts of the state. Temperatures will cool into the upper 50s or lower 60s on Thursday and Friday, but it won’t last long. A nice warming trend will begin over the weekend.

With plenty of sun on Saturday, temperatures could easily reach the lower 70s on Saturday and lower 80s on Sunday. Another cold front will move into the area Monday night and on Tuesday. This will bring another chance of rain early next week.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV tonight at 4, 5, 6, and 10 for the very latest. Have a great evening!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Monday Afternoon Forecast Discussion – 4:40 PM

A good Monday to you! Many of us woke up to lightning and small hail last night, as storms rolled across our area. A severe storm moved right over Tuscaloosa at about 1am, which brought large hail to parts of the area. I had nickel sized hail at my house on the east side of Tuscaloosa. Conditions this afternoon are much quieter, but cool. Temperatures made it into the upper 50s in many spots across west and central Alabama, but where the sun is out, temperatures are well into the 70s. To find the sun and 70s, you have to travel into deep south Alabama.

Clouds will hang tough tonight and on Tuesday, with cool temperatures tonight. I think we will see atleast some sun tomorrow and temperatures should modify into the middle to upper 60s. If you see a little more sun, then your temperature may get closer to 70 degrees. Showers start to build back into the area tomorrow evening and tomorrow night. Much like last night, some storms will become strong to severe, with large hail being the main threat. Showers and storms will continue through Wednesday, but the activity should taper off from west to east during the evening hours. Highs will top out in the upper 60s on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. A cold front will bring some cooler air into our area by Wednesday night, with temperatures down in the 40s. Highs will top out in the lower 60s on Friday as a push of even cooler air rolls into our area. An upper air disturbance will move into our area on Friday, which will bring more rain as early as Thursday night. The rain will gradually move out during the day on Friday. A fairly deep trough will move through the eastern US and southeast, which will pop us with some cooler air on Friday and Friday night. Temperatures will fall into the upper 30s to lower 40s by Saturday morning.

It looks like the trough will quickly move out in time for the weekend, which will allow for our temperatures to modify into the upper 60s on Saturday and middle 70s on Sunday. We’ll have full sunshine on Saturday and Sunday. There’s some hint of another cold front moving through next Monday. We’ll fine tune your forecast as we get closer.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV tonight at 5, 6, and 10 for the very latest. Have a great evening!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Sunday Evening Forecast Discussion – 9:30 p.m.

Isolated strong to severe storms are possible overnight across all of  West Alabama. The threats will include pea to quarter size hail, gusty winds, and brief heavy downpours.

Another storm system is expected to impact the area Tuesday night and may impact the area through Thursday. There are still some timing and strength questions to overcome, but models agree that there is a chance of severe weather. At this time hail and damaging winds appear to be the threats. We will keep you updated as the week goes on.

Tune in tonight for WVUA News at 10 to get the latest on the storms that will be rolling through our area tonight.

Daniel Sparkman
WVUA Weather

Significant Weather Advisory Lamar, Fayette – 8:52 p.m.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
851 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

FAYETTE AL-LAMAR AL-
851 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL LAMAR AND NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT…

AT 851 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SULLIGENT TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF ABERDEEN…AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS…ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE…
SULLIGENT…
VERNON…
FAYETTE…
CREWS…
BEAVERTON…