Good Wednesday afternoon to you! It has been another nice and dry day, but temperatures are approaching hot levels this afternoon. Many spots have reached the lower to middle 80s under a partly cloudy sky. While moisture levels have been low over the past several days, you’ll notice an increase in humidity over the next couple of days as dewpoints rise.
A storm system passing north of Alabama will have no impacts locally due to a strong ridge across the south. The ridge is blocking the storm system from getting anywhere near Alabama. A moist south flow has developed ahead of the front and is allowing dewpoints to increase. Due to higher moisture content at surface, temperatures won’t be able to get as cool as recent nights. Look for lows to fall into the upper 50s to lower 60s through early next week.
The upper level disturbance that was expected to bring a good chance of scattered storms on Saturday has really fizzled out on our latest model data. That being the case, I’ve brought down the rain chances on Saturday to 30%. This means we’ll see more sun, warmer temperatures and drier conditions. There’s still a chance for isolated showers or storms, but most spots will stay dry and rain won’t last long at all. Look for highs to reach the lower 80s through the weekend. As the surface low and upper level disturbance moves well north east of Alabama, skies will become mostly sunny by Sunday, with highs in the middle 80s. Lows at night will remain in the upper 50s to lower 60s through next week.
There are big questions in the forecast for the Monday/Tuesday time frame. Right now model data is showing a large storm system developing and moving our way. This system is still questionable in our model data, so updates will likely be needed. There is a chance we may have to put severe wording in the forecast early next week.
The beach forecast is looking pretty nice along the Alabama Gulf Coast through the weekend. Look for a chance of scattered to isolated showers and storms, but rain chances will remain near or below 30%. Afternoon highs will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s, with lows in the 60s. This forecast is for the Gulf Shores and Destin Areas.
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WVUA Chief Meteorologist