Rain Chances Increase by Mid-Week – Sunday Evening Forecast Update 9:20 PM

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As expected, the rain coverage today was much less than previous days. The highest moisture content has shifted south and east of our area. An upper level trough of low pressure was beginning to dig southward from the Ohio River Valley toward the Lower Mississippi River Valley today. Some relatively drier air has filtered in thanks to the northwesterly flow at the surface, and consequently, we saw decreased rain chances today and I think that trend will continue into tomorrow and some of Tuesday as well.

By Tuesday afternoon, the upper level trough of low pressure is expected to have become well established along the Mississippi River. Meanwhile, a strong high pressure center over the western Atlantic will be “battling” so to speak. A more southeasterly flow will develop by Tuesday evening into Wednesday, and this will bring in higher moisture content into the area. As a result, we’ll see higher rain chances for the daytime hours of Wednesday, but I think the highest rain chances unfortunately will hold off until the end of the week.

By Independence Day Thursday, the axis of highest moisture should be collocated with the right-rear quadrant of an unseasonably strong jet streak associated with the trough of low pressure in the upper levels. This juxtaposition of this moisture and lift will spell likely/high rain chances for Thursday lasting into Friday. I don’t think it will rain all day both days, but periods of showers and storms will be each day. Given the saturated moisture profiles expected, some localized/isolated flooding issues may arise, but organized flooding is not expected.

By the first part of the weekend, the aforementioned high pressure center will be more ‘winning the battle’ and as a result we will see decreasing rain chances and higher temperatures. Come Sunday, we should see temperatures returning to the low 90s with just an outside chance at a few showers or storms during the afternoon and evening hours.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac

A Temporary Break in the High Rain Chances – Saturday Evening Forecast Update 9 PM

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The frontal boundary responsible for our bouts of rain and thunderstorms finally pushed south of our viewing area earlier this evening. If you live south of I-20, you may have had a downpour or two in your backyard this afternoon, but the rain showers for our viewing area have diminished. As a result, we’ve had some drier air beginning to filter in behind the front; the dew point temperature has dropped at least 10 degrees from this time last night!

We have a trough of low pressure beginning to carve itself out over the eastern third of the country. Strong high pressure remains over the western Atlantic and another strong high pressure center remains anchored over the 4-corners region. This high pressure has helped places like Death Valley and Las Vegas get well into the 100s – 123 in Death Valley and 114 in Las Vegas! This relatively amplified pattern is actually unusual for this time of the year; usually, the primary storm track / jet stream / is located near the Canadian border. I think we will have a few showers possible tomorrow across northwestern sections of the area, and maybe along the far southern fringes of our area as well. I think some drier air will filter in for the I-20 corridor, thereby decreasing rain chances for that area.

As we head into Monday, I’m expecting mainly the same sort of setup; however, I do think we will have the chance of a stray shower area-wide for Monday, even though the rain chances remain fairly low at 30%. By Tuesday and Wednesday, the trough of the eastern third of the country will actually retrograde, or move westward. This will allow a southwesterly flow to develop aloft, as well as allow a more southerly flow at the surface to advect higher moisture into the area. There remains some discrepancies as to exactly where the highest convergence zones will set up during the mid to late week, but I do think there’s at least a 50% chance of rain and storms each day from Wednesday – Saturday with highs remaining in the mid to upper 80s.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac

Friday Night Forecast Update – 10:20pm

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Good Friday evening! After two rounds of strong to severe storms across Alabama, our weather has gone quiet as of 10:25pm. Storms have ended across all of west and central Alabama, but we are still expecting a lone storm or two on radar tonight. Most areas will stay rain free. Expect lows in the lower 70s.

The weekend forecast is looking better, as rain chances remain low. We can expect a mostly sunny sky on Saturday, with a 30% chance of a stray storm or two. Most areas will stay dry, but don’t be shocked if a quick shower or storm moves over your area. Rain chances will drop to 20% on Sunday, as skies remain partly cloudy to mostly sunny. An upper air trough will settle into the area over the weekend and early next week, so afternoon temperatures will remain a little below average. Expect highs in the upper 80s for much of next week, with lows in the 60s over the weekend and early next week.

An upper air disturbance will move into the area from the north and will bring the risk of scattered showers and storms on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. I don’t expect a soaking or a washout, but a downpour or two is possible. Rain chances increase to 40% on Wednesday and Thursday. If you have an outdoor even planned for Thursday, Independence Day, have a backup plan incase a storm moves over your event…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Hale County Until 8pm Friday

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
HALE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 715 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WEDGEWORTH…OR NEAR EUTAW…AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
GREENSBORO…WEDGEWORTH…SAWYERVILLE…GREENSBORO MUNICIPAL
AIRPORT…ARCOLA…NEWBERN…HAVANA AND HARPER HILL.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Greene, Pickens, Sumter Until 7:30pm Friday…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
SOUTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA… NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 636 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PANOLA…OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALICEVILLE…AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…EUTAW…PANOLA…NEW WEST GREENE…EMELLE…WEST GREENE…MANTUA…
GAINESVILLE AND UNION.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Tuscaloosa Co Until 6:15pm Friday…

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… SOUTHWESTERN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 529 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JENA…OR 13 MILES SOUTH OF GORDO…AND  MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…  ROMULUS…RALPH…FOSTERS AND FOSTERS BOAT LANDING.

THIS INCLUDES…INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 62 THROUGH 68…

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

Scattered Storms Developing… Few May Become Severe… Radar Update – 5:25pm

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As of 5:20pm, we’re watching new storms form on a cold front across west Alabama. The cold front is moving through Lamar, Winston and Cullman County at this point. As the front continues to track south, storms will continue to develop ahead of the front over the next few hours. If a storm moves over your area, expect intense lightning, heavy rain and gusty winds. The risk of severe weather is fairly low, but a storm or two may reach severe limits. The best chance of storms now through 12am will occur west of I-65 and south of Fayette. If a storm moves over your area, it will not last that long…

By the way, the SPC has placed south and west Alabama under a severe thunderstorm watch until midnight. This includes areas south and west of Tuscaloosa, but doesn’t include Tuscaloosa…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua