Hot Wednesday… Storms on Friday… Cooler Weekend! – Tuesday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx

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Good Tuesday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out hot today, with temperatures reaching the upper 80s in many locations. The good news is that dewpoints are lower today, so humidity isn’t much of a factor. As an upper level ridge continues to build over the area through Wednesday, some areas will reach 90 degrees during the afternoon on Wednesday, before cooling into the upper 60s Wednesday night. We will remain dry through Wednesday.

A deepening upper air trough and storm system to our west will send a cold front into the state early on Friday. Expect a few pop up afternoon storms on Thursday, but most areas will remain dry on Thursday. The risk of rain on Thursday is at 30%. As strong uplift and deep tropical moisture move into Alabama on Friday, expect a round of showers and storms to pass through the state. Some storms could grow strong to severe, but widespread severe weather isn’t expected at this time. The main risk with the strongest storms would be strong strait line winds or large hail. Understand, the risk of severe weather for any one spot is low. As the cold front passes through Alabama on Friday, storms will exit the area during the afternoon hours. Rain totals will vary from a half inch in some areas to 1 inch in other areas. Unfortunately, some spots may miss the rain during this event… There’s a fair chance most stadiums will be rain free Friday night, but any slow down in the progression of the front may cause some issues. If you are going to a local high school football game, keep checking back in for any forecast changes.

The coolest air so far this season will arrive on Saturday and Sunday, with highs in the 70s on Saturday, with a good supply of sun. Lows will drop into the lower 50s or upper 40s Friday night and upper 40s Saturday night! Highs will rebound to near 80 on Sunday, with a good supply of sun.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Hot Days Ahead… Some Rain… Then, Cooler Air… Monday Forecast Update – 3:30pm #alwx

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Good Monday afternoon! Clouds have stuck with us for much of the day, as a weak low pressure tracks to our southeast today. Drier air will win the battle this evening, and skies will gradually become clear. A stray shower or two is still possible south of I-20 this evening, but most areas will remain dry today. If you have plans outdoors this evening or tonight, temperatures will gradually fall into the upper 70s at 7pm, lower 70s at 10pm and 60s by midnight. Conditions will feel rather nice after sunset this evening.

Summer wants to return on Tuesday and Wednesday, as upper level ridging builds into the area. Temperatures will reach the upper 80s on Tuesday and Wednesday, with a few spots reaching the 90 degree mark over west Alabama. Skies will remain mostly sunny both days, with no organized rain chance for our area.

A deep upper air trough will progress east on Thursday and Friday, with a good batch of showers and storms along a strong cold front. A few scattered storms are possible Thursday afternoon, with the best chance of storms arriving Thursday night and on Friday. Most of west and central Alabama will pick up some decent amounts of rain with this feature, unlike our previous weekend rain bust. This system will bring lots of uplift into a tropically moist environment, which will allow rain to develop. With some instability involved, there could be a few strong storms, but severe weather is unlikely at this time. Rainfall amounts will vary, but if you get a stronger storm in your area, you could get an inch of rain.

Cooler air will take over on Saturday and Sunday, with highs in the upper 70s on Saturday and lower 80s on Sunday and Monday. There’s a good chance areas northeast of Birmingham will only top out in the 70s on Sunday and Monday too! Saturday morning temperatures will start off in the upper 50s, but Sunday morning temperatures will range from the lower 50s south of I-20 to possibly upper 40s north of I-20! Expect a good dose of sunshine on Saturday and Sunday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Clouds Linger into the Start of the Work Week… Sunday Forecast Update — 7:15pm

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Good Sunday evening to you all! A significantly drier day across Alabama than was anticipated, the system expected bring lots of rain and moisture up from the gulf is still chilling down along the coast. The longer the system sits to our south, the less likelihood there is of West Central Alabama receiving the rain we need.

Tonight, a few showers could slide north, although the best opportunity for this to occur is in eastern Alabama where the system is sending most of its moisture currently. Temperatures could drop a little lower tonight than expected, but we should still remain in the mid to upper 60s tonight.

Monday’s forecast is staying relatively constant; although the best chances for rain will certainly be off in eastern Alabama. A few showers could mosey on through west central Alabama Monday morning before the clouds and rain slowly work east and north. Conditions will be similar to what we saw today across the area, highs in the low to mid 80s, depending on cloud cover, with those few showers scattered about.

Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday will be quite warm for this time of year. Plenty of sunshine for the middle part of the week means temperatures will soar back into the upper 80s each afternoon; although Wednesday being the best chance we have at breaking 90°.

Another potent cold front is gathering strength up in Canada right now, and looks to be swinging into the South, Thursday night through Friday. For us here in Alabama, we could see a few storms spark Thursday evening ahead of the cold front, but our best chances for rain will be Friday as the main core of the energy and lift will swing through. Behind the cold front is some very nice weather. Saturday and Sunday’s highs may not make it to 80 even with full sunshine and lows could be approaching the 50° mark.

We are still 5-6 days out on this cold front, and given the fact that the indications 24 HOURS ago were for lots of rain today, let’s not get our hopes up too high just yet about fall weather next weekend.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank

WVUA Staff Meteorologist

Twitter: crankyweather

16 Years Ago… A Look Back at Hurricane Georges — Sunday, September 28th

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16 years ago today, Hurricane Georges drifted into the MS Gulf Coast and then began to slowly slide east across the gulf coast bringing huge amounts of rainfall to South Alabama and all along the coastline.

There was one fatality associated with Hurricane Georges and the freshwater flooding it caused in Mobile, AL.

The images below detail the storm’s characteristics as it came ashore near Biloxi, MS on Monday morning, September 28, 1998.

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Above is the infrared heat signature off of Hurricane Georges as it came ashore early that morning.

Below, is the associated radar image.george_ref5

Here is an overview of the storm from the National Weather Service in Mobile, AL and Pensacola, FL.

“Hurricane George formed on September 15, 1998 as a tropical depression 300 miles south southwest of the Cape Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic. Georges strengthened to a hurricane on September 17th and reached Category 4 intensity on September 19th. Georges tracked across Puerto Rico, the island of Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba from the evening of the 21st through the 24th. The track over the mountainous terrain weakened Georges to a Category 1 hurricane. However, Georges began to intensify as it moved north of the Cuban coast and tracked west northwest toward the Gulf of Mexico.

Hurricane Georges made landfall in Key West, FL on the morning of the 25th as a Category 2 hurricane. The hurricane maintained Category 2 intensity as it tracked through the Gulf of Mexico, making landfall near Biloxi, MS on the morning of September 28th with maximum winds of 110 mph and a minimum pressure of 964 mb. After landfall, Georges moved very slowly across southern Mississippi and weakened to a tropical depression by the morning of the 29th when the center was about 30 miles north northeast of Mobile, AL. The storm dissipated near the northeast Florida/southeast Georgia coast by the morning of October 1, 1998.”

Due to slow movement along the Gulf Coast, many areas were inundated with rainfall. The map below shows the various totals from along the Gulf Coast, and into Central Alabama. Nearly 25″ of rain were recorded in a few places in Florida and Southeastern Alabama.

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Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank

WVUA Staff Meteorologist

Twitter: crankyweather

Soggy Sunday… Saturday Forecast Update — 7pm

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Good Saturday evening! Today has been quite warm, with a fair amount of sunshine, and some extra moisture ahead of the rain tomorrow, things felt a bit humid out there this afternoon.

The clouds will increase from the south throughout the rest of the evening, into the overnight hours. The rain that is currently just offshore in South Alabama will work north tonight. I would anticipate that by daybreak we will see those showers moving into Central Alabama. The latest indications are for the main center of the rainfall to be between Birmingham, Montgomery, and Atlanta, GA. Within that triangle, nearly 2 inches could fall. Areas further west will see amounts closer to an 1″, and the further north toward Huntsville, total rainfall amounts drop to near 0.5″. These totals are for the rainfall over the next 48 hours, which means the rain and cloud cover will remain with us from Saturday night through Monday afternoon. Temperatures will be cooler for our day on Sunday in the upper 70s thanks to the clouds and rain.

As the rain tapers off Monday afternoon, temperatures will warm into the low 80s with the possibility of a few peeks of sunshine. Tuesday through Thursday look mainly dry with temperatures slightly above average for late September-early October in the mid 80s. Lows each night will be in the lower 60s.

Another cold front is trying to make an appearance next Friday, bringing with it another round of cooler and drier air. If all holds relatively true to what the models are indicating now, we could see some sunshine and cool air across the deep South Saturday afternoon and evening. The potential for lows back into the 50s is plausible for Saturday night into Sunday. The cold front would swing through just in time for great tailgating and football weather for Alabama as they play Ole Miss in Oxford, MS.

The Tropics remain quiet as we pass from the peak hurricane season into the waning months of hurricane activity in the Atlantic.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank

WVUA Staff Meteorologist

Twitter: crankyweather

Dry Start To Weekend, Soggy End… Friday Forecast Update — 3:45pm

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A good Friday evening to you! After such a beautiful week, the start to the weekend is feeling a bit summery, and by the end it will be quite soggy.

Tonight, the clouds we see this afternoon will hang around, keeping the sky partly clear overnight tonight. Temperatures will be mild in the mid 60s tonight. Saturday will start off similar to today, partly cloudy, and warm in the low-mid 80s. The cloud cover will increase late in the day ahead of a large batch of rain coming north and east. The rain will start to spread over central Alabama late Saturday night/early Sunday morning (midnight-6am range). Temperatures overnight Saturday will only reach the upper 60s thanks to the cloud cover and impending rain.

Sunday will be quite wet. Current indications are for 1-2″ of rain to fall over central Alabama on Sunday. A few rumbles of thunder may occur within the soggy shield of rain, but for the most part, this will just be a rainy event. Some flash flooding could occur as we have been fairly dry over the summer and the heavy rain could flood some areas before the ground has time to soak it all. Sunday will be a cool day with the rain and cloud cover. High temperatures will likely be in the upper 70s, although someone could hit 80 Sunday afternoon.

Sunday night into Monday will remain on the rainy side, although we will see clearing Monday afternoon and evening. Total rainfall anticipated out of this system is between 1″ and 3″! The rain may come all at once, but it is much needed rain for many parts of central Alabama that are under a slight to moderate drought. Temperatures will remain mild through Monday, with a high in the low 80s.

Most of the work week will be mild in the mid 80s and dry; however, another frontal system will approach Thursday night/Friday morning, bringing us some chances for more rain Friday into the weekend.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank

WVUA Staff Meteorologist

Twitter: crankyweather

Dry Now, Soaking Rain Ahead… Thursday Forecast Update – 4:50pm #alwx

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Good Thursday afternoon! Skies remain mostly sunny today, with temperatures reaching the middle to upper 80s in our area. The air remains dry, so conditions are comfortable for now. Big changes are expected as the weekend moves in, so enjoy the nice weather while it lasts. Temperatures will drop into the lower 60s tonight, with a mostly clear sky.

Clouds will steadily increase on Friday and Saturday, but I don’t expect any rain through Friday night. If you’re going to the local high school football games, expect dry and comfortable conditions. Temperatures will drop into the lower 70s during the games.

As moisture levels increase ahead of a storm system on Saturday, I can’t rule out a few pop up showers or storms. The risk of rain is still low on Saturday, but rain chances will quickly increase Saturday night and on Sunday. There’s a good chance rain will fall for most of the day on Sunday, with a soaking expected. While there will be breaks in the rain, keep the umbrella handy Saturday night, Sunday and on Monday. The heavier rain will move east of Alabama early Monday morning, but a few pop up showers are still possible on Monday. Highs will top out in the 70s on Sunday and lower 80s on Monday.

We’ll become mild and mostly dry on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, with highs in the lower to middle 80s, with lows in the lower to middle 60s.

The tropics are quiet…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua