Wednesday Discussion Update/Severe Weather Threat

Good Afternoon! As expected the clouds have increased and we are now looking at overcast skies. Moisture is lifting into the state in response to a very aggressive area of low pressure quickly getting its act together back over the Plains States, near the Oklahoma Panhandle. A warm front in advance of this developing system is now lifting through Louisiana and this boundary will move through our area by sunrise tomorrow. As the moisture lifts into Alabama, look for showers to become likely along with some thunderstorms late tonight. Some of the storms could grow strong, with gusty straight-line winds and large hail. The dewpoints will really climb behind this warm front. Right now dewpoints are in the 30s locally, but these values are in the 60s near Vicksburg, Mississippi. As this moist air moves over Alabama, this will serve as prime fuel for thunderstorms tomorrow. Temperatures will also make a recovery into the upper 70s and will even further destabilize this atmosphere, especially if we have some morning sunshine.

A strong core of winds rotating over the state will help initiate some severe thunderstorms tomorrow starting around noon. These cells could produce damaging straight-line winds, large hail, and even that possibility of tornadoes. Our area has been placed under a moderate risk for severe weather tomorrow and that threat may be upgraded to a high risk. I urge you to stay tuned as we monitor this developing weather situation. If any of the storms tomorrow look suspicious we will immediately break into programming to keep you ahead of the bad weather. Tomorrow night a cold front will shift across the area and there is a chance that this could bring more strong to severe thunderstorms. So look for the threat to continue into the early evening hour’s tomorrow night. Big improvements will take place on Friday, with sunshine making a return. A colder air mass will gradually work into the state this weekend. Highs will be in the 50s, with lows at or just below freezing. Be sure to join us tonight for more details and have a plan in place for tomorrow, just in case warnings are issued.

Wes Wyatt
Chief Meteorologist WVUA-TV

Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Update

A friend on mine was leading the severe weather coverage for the local NBC affiliate in Little Rock, AR over the weekend. He was talking about touring the areas impacted by the tornadoes Saturday night. The area hardest hit was in and around the town of Dumas, which is on highway 65, just south of Pine Bluff. This severe weather event is being named the “Dumas Disaster”; however, some are now calling it the “Miracle in Dumas.” Three EF-2 tornadoes and one EF-3 tornado touched down in central and eastern Arkansas Saturday night. There were nearly 30 injuries, and 3 serious, in the town of Dumas. The good news is that there were no fatalities, and considering some of the damage, that’s where the term “miracle” comes in. One report I heard about was a two-story occupied house completely leveled. Also, I heard about debris being thrown around such as a sheet of tin roofing wrapped three times around a light pole. Thankfully, things weren’t nearly as bad here. In fact, the weather so far this week has been about as good as it can get in Alabama. We’ve had lots of sunshine today, which allowed us to warm into the comfy low 70s. Tonight as skies clear, lows will be dropping to near 39-degrees.

Tomorrow we will have an increase in clouds and this will be in response to a surge of warm/moist air lifting in from the Gulf. This will cause a rapid increase in clouds by the early evening hours tomorrow and tomorrow night look for showers to arrive. There could be a couple of thunderstorms pop-up late tomorrow night. A storm system organizing to our west will force the surge of unstable air into Alabama. Look for highs in the upper 70s on Thursday and it’s going to be slightly on the humid side, with a gusty south wind. Thunderstorms will break out ahead of a cold front and move through just after lunchtime on Thursday. Some of these storms may grow severe. Be sure to stay with us as we monitor things. We’re already under a slight risk outlook for severe weather on Thursday and this was issued by The Storm Prediction Center.

After the storms pass, temperatures will gradually take a tumble to near 49-degrees by Friday morning. A cooler push of air will lag behind and this will reach us on Saturday. Basically, old man winter is still around and he will send us some chilly conditions for the weekend. Highs for both Saturday and Sunday will be in the 50s, with lows near freezing. Look for a gradual warm-up starting on Monday of next week.

Join us tonight for more details!

Wes Wyatt
Chief Meteorologist WVUA-TV

A Cold Picture

image_067.jpgEven though February is going out on a warm note, it sure came in on a very cold note. This was not only the case for us, but for much of the country. I’ve had some pictures I wanted to share with you. These were sent in from a viewer, Jonathan Lankford in Birmingham. Jonathan was kind enough to share these pictures he took while traveling through Delaware. The first image shows lots of snow along interstate leading into Dover and the second image shows snow piled up in a parking lot in Wilmington. Even though we haven’t seen a big snow this year, winter isn’t over yet and there are more cold times ahead. Remember if you ever have a picture you want to send, our email is wxpics@wvua7.com

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Monday Afternoon Forecast Discussion Update

What a nice day! The sky was about as blue as it can get across the area today and temperatures were quite pleasant. Due to dry air in place, temperatures will drop off quickly after sunset and we will have lows in the upper 30s. It still won’t be quite as cold as it could be due to some light winds. A weak disturbance will pass to our north tonight and this will cause the winds to pick-up. In the wake of this feature, look for a light northerly breeze to develop by late tonight and into the day tomorrow. It’s still going to be beautiful tomorrow, with lots of sun and highs near 70-degrees.

Things go downhill starting on Wednesday as a warm front lifts in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will be in response to a large storm system over the Plains States. Clouds will increase on Wednesday, with an easterly wind becoming southerly Wednesday night. Look for showers to arrive and become heavier overnight. There could be some thunderstorms as the warm front lifts in and some of these elevated storms could produce some large hail or gusty straight-line winds.

We will catch a break in the rain early on Thursday and it’s not out of the question a little sunshine could break through the clouds. There will be a muggy southerly wind in place, with highs in the upper 70s. A cold front associated with this same storms system will swing through late Thursday afternoon and into Thursday night. This is when we could deal with a round of rain and strong thunderstorms…We will monitor things closely and keep you posted. As the heavy storms and rain move through, dry air will quickly follow, with cooler conditions on Friday. Look for highs near 59-degrees on Friday, with mostly sunny skies returning.

Be sure to join us at five, six, and ten for more details!

Updated By: Chief Meteorologist Wes Wyatt

Mostly Clear and Cool….

Well, things hace certianly changed from last night after that severe weather outbreak we saw last night.  Tonight, skies will be clear with calm winds and an overnight low of 36 degrees.  Tomorrow, we will see a beautfiful day with lots of sunshine as high pressure remians in place.  Conditions will be quite pleasant with an aftenroon high of around 67 degrees and an overnight low of 40.  Our next chance for showers moves in on Wednesday afternoon with another chance for severe weather on Thursday.  We will keep you posted on the latest developments on this storm.  Have a great night!

Updated by:  Michael White

Tornado Warning For Sumter and Greene Counties!

1149 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
  NORTHERN GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA
  NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 1230 AM CST

* AT 1144 PM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 20 MILES WEST OF
  CLINTON…OR ABOUT 16 MILES NORTH OF LIVINGSTON…MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS WILL BE NEAR…
  CLINTON BY 1205 AM CST

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING…IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
ON THE WEB WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX (SUBMIT A STORM REPORT)
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT…LON 3290 8832 3278 8829 3294 8779 3315 8784

Tornado Warning For Pickens County

1106 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
  PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ALICEVILLE

* UNTIL 1130 PM CST

* AT 1102 PM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES WEST OF
  COCHRANE…OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALICEVILLE…MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS WILL BE NEAR…
  ALICEVILLE BY 1115 PM CST
  CARROLLTON BY 1120 PM CST
  GORDO AND 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF REFORM BY 1130 PM CST

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR…IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND…OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM…MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING…DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE…SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES…EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE…LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
ON THE WEB WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX (SUBMIT A STORM REPORT)
CALL 1-800-856-0758.