Tricked by Mother Nature… Halloween Forecast Update — 7:45pm

Sevenday_640

Happy Halloween! The weather played a trick on us today with light rain this morning and afternoon transitioning into some very heavy rain at times with embedded thunder and lightning. Thankfully, no severe weather here in Central Alabama today. If you have any plans late tonight for Halloween, be aware that the rain will likely continue overnight, although there may be a break in the rain later. Don’t forget! Daylight Saving Time ends tonight at 2am. Turn those clocks back one hour before you head to bed!

The showers and thunderstorms will continue for us on Sunday. There maybe a few breaks in the rain throughout the day, but the end to the rain won’t arrive until Monday. Temperatures for Sunday will be similar to today. The rain will finally taper off Monday and we will begin to see the sky clear Monday afternoon and evening, expect the afternoon high to be a bit warmer on Monday, back into the low and mid 70’s. Plenty of sunshine returns for Tuesday, and temperatures respond positively to the sun, we will reach the mid and upper 70’s Tuesday afternoon.

Clouds will filter back into our sky Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, ahead of the next system that will try to bring us rain next Saturday. We’ll keep an eye on this to see how they progress, but Tuesday through Friday look dry at this point. Temperatures will be warm, reaching the upper 70’s by Wednesday and morning lows will be mild in the upper 50’s.

The tropics are quiet.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to pcrank@wvua23.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like my weather page on Facebook by searching WVUA 23 Peter Crank. You can find me on Twitter by searching Peter Crank or @crankyweather. Another great way to get weather updates!

Join us live on WVUA 23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10 P.M. for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank
WVUA Staff Meteorologist
pcrank@wvua23.com
Twitter: crankyweather

Soggy Weather for Trick-or-Treaters — Saturday, October 31, 5pm Update #alwx

Radar

Heavy showers and thunderstorms are drenching West Alabama right now, and will continue to move northeastward, bringing soaking rains to much of Central Alabama. Some gusty winds are possible in addition to the heavy rain and thunder. Might be wise to stay inside and enjoy the night indoors as this rain moves through.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to pcrank@wvua23.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like my weather page on Facebook by searching WVUA 23 Peter Crank. You can find me on Twitter by searching Peter Crank or @crankyweather. Another great way to get weather updates!

Join us live on WVUA 23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10 P.M. for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank
WVUA Staff Meteorologist
pcrank@wvua23.com
Twitter: crankyweather

Wet Weather Ahead… Friday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx @wvua23

Sevenday_640

Good Friday afternoon! It’s a beautiful Fall day across the state, with plenty of sunshine and mild afternoon temperatures. We started off in the 40s this morning, but dry air and a surface high over the area have allowed temperatures to warm fast today. High level clouds are already moving into the area, and that’s signs of upper level moisture approaching from the west. As the atmosphere saturates over the next 24 hours, clouds will really thicken up across the area. Temperatures will drop into the 50s tonight, and with thick cloud cover on Saturday, temperatures will struggle to reach the 70 degree mark.

First off, tonight will be dry. Local high school football will have no issues with rain. Temperatures will dip into the 50s by the 10pm end to the games. Skies will gradually become partly to mostly cloudy overnight.

Halloween day will feature a cloudy sky, with temperatures in the 60s most of the day. Showers will gradually spread into far west Alabama during the early to mid afternoon. Heavier rain will reach the west Alabama state line sometime just before sunset. Most outdoor events will stand a high chance of getting rained on Saturday evening and Saturday night. Rain could become heavy at times with thunder. Severe weather is not expected. As the slow moving upper level low moves east, rain chances will remain high on Sunday, with occasional rain and thunder. Rain totals will approach 1 to 4 inches across much of central Alabama. Some of you will get about an inch of rain, while other areas get nearly 4 inches. It depends on where the heaviest rain axis sets up. Models still differ on where that zone is going to occur. Rain chances will end on Monday, as the low moves to the east. We’ll go dry for much of next week. Temperatures will remain mild Tuesday through Thursday, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80.

Time change is happening before sunrise Sunday morning. Before you go to bed Saturday night, don’t forget to set that clock back one hour. Standard time begins at 2am Sunday morning.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Nice Friday… Wet Weekend… Thursday Forecast Update – 4:15pm #alwx @wvua23

Sevenday_640

Good Thursday afternoon! After a few showers lastnight and a gloomy start to the day, this afternoon has turned out beautiful. Temperatures have warmed well into the 70s today, which is close to average for late October. As drier air moves in tonight, temperatures will dip into the middle to upper 40s for lows. Friday looks great, as an area of high pressure moves over the area. Skies remain sunny on Friday, with a high in the lower to middle 70s.

Halloween: As an upper air trough moves in from the west, moisture will pool across the area. As uplift from the trough moves in, rain will become widespread sometime Saturday afternoon and continue through Sunday. Some rain could be heavy with thunder, but severe weather appears unlikely at this time. Periods of rain and thunder will continue through the day on Sunday, which will drive rain amounts upwards of 1″ – 4″ across Alabama. Understand, rain amounts will be uneven. Some of you will get a large amount, approaching 4 inches, while some of you only get about an inch out of the event. Models are having a hard time on the start/stop point, so keep checking back with us for any sudden changes.

Drier weather starts to move back in on Monday, and we’ll go dry for much of next week. Temperatures will remain mild Tuesday through Thursday, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80.

Time change is happening before sunrise Sunday morning. Before you go to bed Saturday night, don’t forget to set that clock back one hour. Standard time begins at 2am Sunday morning.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Isolated Showers Tonight… Dry Friday… Storms Return This Weekend… #alwx @wvua23

Sevenday_640

Good Wednesday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out nice this afternoon, after the gloomy and damp start to the day. As drier mid level air advected into the area this afternoon, skies have become partly cloudy. We are watching a cold front to the northwest of Alabama. As the front moves through the state late tonight, a few showers and maybe a thunderstorm will move across our area. Some areas will miss the rain, but don’t be shocked if you get a quick hitting shower or storm overnight. By sunrise tomorrow morning, any showers left on radar should be in far east Alabama or Georgia. Highs will remain in the 70s on Thursday. Expect increasing sunshine through the day, with a really nice afternoon setting up.

Temperatures will get rather chilly Thursday night, with lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Skies will remain sunny on Friday, and the weather Friday night will be perfect for local high school football. Expect a surface high overhead to create light to calm winds.

A deep upper air trough and surface low will form to the west of Alabama on Saturday. As moisture rapidly pools ahead of the system, we can expect clouds to increase on Saturday. By early evening, showers and storms will work into west Alabama, which is a problem for most outdoor Halloween plans Saturday evening and night. While the timing could still change some, there is increasing confidence rain will arrive sometime between 2pm and 7pm in west Alabama, then spread east. Severe weather is not expected at this time. Showers and storms will continue at times on Sunday, with a high in the lower 70s. Models now suggest Monday and Tuesday will be mostly dry, as the system dampens out a bit.

Time change is happening before sunrise Sunday morning. Before you go to bed Saturday night, don’t forget to set that clock back one hour. Standard time begins at 2am Sunday morning.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Showers Tonight… Dry Mid-Late Week… Rain Next Weekend… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx @wvua23

Sevenday_640

Good Tuesday afternoon! It has been a really gloomy day across the state, with light showers and windy conditions. Temperatures have held in the 60s all day. Clouds will remain thick tonight, as a weak surface low tracks across the area. Uplift with that feature will continue to produce spotty showers and drizzle overnight. Additional rain amounts will be really light tonight and early Wednesday. Drier air will take over Wednesday afternoon, with decreasing clouds. Highs will reach the lower 70s on Wednesday and Thursday. Here’s rain totals so far from our weather checkers:

Coker – 1.38″

Lake Tuscaloosa – 1.24″

Holt Lake – 1.00″

Fosters – 1.25″

Dayton – 2.25″

Jasper – 1.70″

Akron – 1.50″

Childersburg – 1.47″

Black Creek – 1.71″

Myrtlewood – 2.00″

Butler – 5.00″

Sylacauga – 1.23″

Coaling – 1.25″

Taylorville – 1.07″

Winfield – 3.25″

Tuscaloosa – 1.28″

Birmingham – 1.01″

Anniston – 1.16″

A weak cold front will move through early Thursday morning. There could be some isolated showers along the front, but that should occur during the night-time hours Wednesday night. Expect lows to dip into the upper 40s Thursday night. Thursday and Friday will feature plenty of sunshine as a surface high moves over the area.

Clouds quickly increase ahead of our next storm system. Rain will become likely Saturday night and continue at times on Sunday and Monday. Models are in great agreement on the timing and coverage, so I’ve increased the risk of rain. It will be a close call Saturday evening for the Halloween plans, as rain could begin in west Alabama as early as sunset. Given that’s several days out, my hope is that slows down just a bit. Sunday and Monday could be wet at times, with a healthy rain event for the state. Some models suggest our area could get anywhere between 1 and 4 inches of rain.

Time change is happening before sunrise Sunday morning. Before you go to bed Saturday night, don’t forget to set that clock back one hour. Standard time begins at 2am Sunday morning.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Showers Continue… Nice After Wednesday… Monday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx @wvua23

Sevenday_640

Good Monday afternoon! As expected, a big mass of rain has moved across the state in response to a surface low over Louisiana and deep tropical moisture from the remnants of Patrica. As of 4pm, numerous batches of light to moderate rain continue to track northward across the state, and this trend will continue through Wednesday morning. Keep in mind, there will be breaks in the rain this evening, tonight and on Tuesday. When the rain is falling in your area, it will likely be in the form of light to moderate rain, with a few quick heavy rain intervals. Temperatures will slowly drop into the 60s tonight, under a cloudy sky. A gusty east breeze will continue through Tuesday, as a fairly deep surface low tracks closer to the state and a strong surface high remains northeast of Alabama. The pressure gradient has really increased the wind today; in-fact, conditions along the gulf coast have mimicked tropical storm conditions, however, the low is non-tropical.

Drier air will take over Wednesday morning, and the risk of showers will greatly decrease. Some sun is possible after lunch on Wednesday. Expect a mostly sunny sky on Thursday and Friday, as a surface high pressure moves into the area. Highs will remain in the lower 70s all week, with lows dropping into the 50s Wednesday night and Thursday night.

Clouds increase on Halloween day, as a surface low and upper air trough progresses towards Alabama from the west. At this time, the risk of rain on Halloween is low, but Sunday looks rather wet. It’s going to be a close call for local Halloween night plans, but most models hold the rain off until after midnight. I’ll update the forecast as we get closer and let you know of any changes to that time-frame.

Time change is happening before sunrise Sunday morning. Before you go to bed Saturday night, don’t forget to set that clock back one hour. Standard time begins at 2am Sunday morning.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Beneficial Rains Moving In… Sunday Forecast Update — 7:35pm

sevenday_640

A cloudy sky and mild conditions across the state today while we wait for the much anticipated rain to arrive. Rain has pushed into the South Alabama at this hour, and the shield will slowly slide north, bringing steady rainfall to Tuscaloosa and the rest of Central Alabama overnight tonight and through the day on Monday.

Temperatures tonight will only fall into the mid and upper 60’s and on Monday, due to the cloud cover and rain, high temperatures will not be much warmer. We are looking at a high around 70° tomorrow afternoon. The rain will be heavy at times as loads of tropical moisture sweeps over the state. The intensity of the rain will lessen as we go into Monday night, allowing temperatures to fall into the lower and middle 60’s.

Sporadic rain showers and few thunderstorms for Tuesday as temperatures warm just a bit, into the lower 70’s Tuesday afternoon. The showers will continue through Tuesday night, before beginning to taper off Wednesday morning as the low pressure lifts off the to northeast. We will begin to dry out Wednesday afternoon and evening. Current projections for total rainfall out of this event for us here in Central Alabama is anywhere from 1-3″ with some locally higher spots, especially as you get closer to the Gulf Coast. The good news with all of this rain is that we need it! Here in Central Alabama, we are dry enough currently that this rain shouldn’t cause any flooding issues locally thanks to how dry it has been this month.

Sunshine returns for Thursday and on into the upcoming weekend (and Halloween). I think we will see very pleasant trick or treating conditions Saturday night. A few clouds, and temperatures in the mid 60’s during the evening hours, before cooling into the mid 50’s Saturday night. There will be a few more clouds on Sunday as another system starts to move in.

The tropics are calm once more.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to pcrank@wvua23.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like my weather page on Facebook by searching WVUA 23 Peter Crank. You can find me on Twitter by searching Peter Crank or @crankyweather. Another great way to get weather updates!

Join us live on WVUA 23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10 P.M. for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank
WVUA Staff Meteorologist
pcrank@wvua23.com
Twitter: crankyweather

Rain on the Way… Saturday Forecast Update — 6:40pm

sevenday_640

A mix of clouds and sun across the state today with some very light rain showers for northern portions of the state. For those of us needing the rain, there is good news in the forecast, rain is on the way! Overnight tonight we will stay mainly dry with clouds continuing to thicken across the state.

Rain begins to move up from the Gulf during the day on Sunday bringing hope for some relief from the drought conditions across the state. Here in Central Alabama, the steady, soaking rains will hold off until late Sunday night, although a few drops of rain could occur before then. Temperatures will be a little cooler, with highs in the mid and upper 70’s.

The rain will steadily increase in intensity and coverage through Sunday night and on into the day on Monday. While it may not rain the entire time, I think we will see some very beneficial soaking rains on Monday as the moisture left over from Patricia moves across the Gulf of Mexico and into the southeastern U.S.

The low pressure that is instigating the rain will move across the southeast late Tuesday, meaning that throughout the day on Tuesday and into the day on Wednesday, more showers and even some rumbles of thunderstorms are anticipated. Overall with this system, we could see 1-3″ of rain here in Central Alabama with some locally higher and lower amounts. The first half of the week will be wet, but it will be a welcome sight to put a dent in the drought conditions across the southern and western portions of the state.

Things dry out Thursday and Friday before another system brings the threat for showers and storms back into the area Saturday/Sunday of next weekend. Mother Nature has treated us with great weather for most of the month of October, but she might be playing tricks on us as we get to Halloween.

Aside from the remnants of Patricia bring additional rain to Texas and the rest of the Southeast, the tropics have calmed again.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to pcrank@wvua23.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like my weather page on Facebook by searching WVUA 23 Peter Crank. You can find me on Twitter by searching Peter Crank or @crankyweather. Another great way to get weather updates!

Join us live on WVUA 23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10 P.M. for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank
WVUA Staff Meteorologist
pcrank@wvua23.com
Twitter: crankyweather

Rain Ahead… Friday Forecast Update – 4:25pm #alwx @wvua23

Sevenday_640

Good Friday afternoon! Clouds have been on an increase across the state today, as moisture continues to increase. Our local area remains dry today, and I don’t expect any rain through tonight. High School Football tonight is looking great. Temperatures will drop into the upper 60s during game-time, with a partly to mostly cloudy sky. Rain is not expected during the local games tonight.

We’re watching with interest record breaking Hurricane Patricia this afternoon. At one point, winds were measured at 200mph sustained, with gusts near 250mph. At 4pm, the storm is starting to make landfall along the west coast of Mexico, with winds sustained at 190mph and gusts to 235mph. This is the most intense “measured” hurricane on record. Please send prayers for the people in the path of the storm because this is going to be a catastrophic disaster for the landfall area.

Moisture from Patricia will spread into Alabama over the weekend, and clouds will continue to increase. There could be a stray shower, but the best chance of rain will hold off until Sunday night, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. A surface low will form in the northern Gulf and help to provide more uplift for rain in the area. Some areas could pick up as much as 2″ of rain. However, there is one fly in the ointment… There is a chance a cluster of storms could form on the coast on Monday and Tuesday. If that occurs, the amount of rain here would be greatly reduced due to the blocking of energy into the area. It has happened before, where flooding occurred along the coast, yet hardly any rain in our part of the state. We really need the rain! Given the uplift and amount of moisture moving into the area, a coastal cluster of storms would be the only limiting factor from a heavy rain event. Finally, the drier airmass will return Thursday afternoon and night, as a cold front pushes through the area.

Alabama takes on Tennessee in Tuscaloosa on Saturday, with a 2:30pm kickoff. Expect a partly to mostly cloudy sky and temperatures in the lower 80s during game-time. At this time, I don’t expect widespread rain for the Bama game, however, a quick hitting shower can’t be ruled out..

Auburn takes on Arkansas in Fayetteville on Saturday. Kickoff is at 11am. Expect a good chance of rain for the Auburn game, with temperatures in the upper 60s. Some data suggest the rain could end just before the game starts, which would be wonderful! I would pack the rain gear to be safe. …

Race weekend at Tallaedega is looking good, especially on Saturday. Expect a partly to mostly cloudy sky on Saturday, with temperatures in the lower 80s during the day, and a low near 60 at night. While I can’t rule out a risk of a few showers Sunday afternoon and evening, the main risk of rain will be to the west.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott