Rain Chances Return By Mid-Week – Sunday Evening Forecast Update 9 PM

As expected, most areas stayed dry today with the exception of our far southern counties where they had to dodge a few raindrops here and there. A frontal boundary is basically washed out, or has become stationary, to our south and is roughly paralleling Highway 80. Along and south of this feature is where the higher coverage of isolated to scattered showers and storms will remain into Monday.

Up this way, we should have one more nice and warm day for Monday. A mixture of sun and clouds will be the story, along with highs in the low 90s for most spots. As we head into Tuesday, a disturbance in the upper-levels will pass to our north, but we will also be on the periphery of a retreating mid-level ridge. What this means is that, for now, most areas are expected to stay dry one more day on Tuesday; however, a few stray showers and storms cannot totally be ruled out but the coverage should remain very isolated.

We evolve into a northwest flow aloft by Wednesday and Thursday, and several pieces of energy riding through this flow will help increase our rain chances both afternoons. It shouldn’t rain all day, and it will be a little difficult to pinpoint exactly when the rain chances will be highest, so keep the rain gear handy both days. Highs will drop a few degrees back into the upper 80s.

For now, most models are suggesting we dry out for Friday and maybe Saturday as well. However, I’m not confident enough this far out to take the rain chances completely out of the forecast. Stay tuned for further changes to the forecast during this timeframe.

The tropics in the Atlantic remain fairly quiet, even though the remnants of Dorian may be getting their act back together. The National Hurricane Center maintains a 50% of regeneration over the next 48 hours. We’ll watch this system over the coming days to see if it can get its act back together. Also, in the central Pacific, Tropical Storm Flossie will be approaching the Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days. Flash flood watches and tropical storm watches and warnings remain in place for the entire chain of islands.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac