Staying Dry This Week, and Warm! – Sunday Evening Forecast Update 8:10 PM

What a wonderful Sunday across west Alabama…lots of sunshine and warm temperatures. We’re even still enjoying the relatively low humidity as well, which is uncommon for late May. I’m expecting more of the same for your Memorial Day Monday as well…with highs in the upper 80s. There might be a few more clouds around thanks to a weakening upper-level disturbance, but no rain should result from this system.

A strong upper-level ridge will anchor itself across the southeastern United States for most of the upcoming work week. What this will mean for our forecast is warm afternoons and lots of dry weather. Surface high pressure over the western Atlantic will allow for a southeasterly flow to be established across the area, which will mean increasing moisture each day. This will mean increasing moisture/humidity in the air over the coming days, which is more common for this time of the year. I’ve tried to find any chances of rain throughout the week, but I just don’t see any overwhelming evidence to introduce any rain chances in the forecast. A stray shower is possible Wednesday – Friday afternoon, but again, it isn’t worth mentioning in the overall forecast.

The GFS and Euro continue the idea of a frontal boundary trying to work its way in here toward the late weekend. The GFS is a bit more bullish on rain chances versus the Euro, but this idea has been advertised for a couple days now, so I think it’s prudent to include at least small rain chances in the forecast by Sunday. Looking into next week, the GFS tries to stall the front and this would mean an increased chance of rain by Monday into Tuesday, but the Euro dissipates the boundary and leaves us dry. We’ll have to wait and see and watch future model runs to see which one ends up being more correct!

Enjoy your Memorial Day Holiday, and the fabulous weather expected along with it!

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac