More Rain Ahead… Dry By Sunday… Wednesday Forecast Update – 3:50pm

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Good Wednesday afternoon to you! It has been raining most of the day over southwest Alabama, with no rain for areas north of Tuscaloosa and Centreville. A band of rain developed lastnight and has sat in the same spot for hours. Rain totals are increasing in areas south of Moundville, with storm totals of 1 – 2 inches over Sumter and Marengo County as of 4pm. Tain totals will continue to add up in this area of southwest Alabama, and some flooding issues are possible there tonight.

The rain mass will gradually spread north overnight, and scattered showers will include all of central and west Alabama by Thursday and Friday. While I do not expect rain all day, rain will fall at times. You’ll need the rain gear through Saturday.

A weak upper level low nearby and surface front over southwest Alabama and central Mississippi this afternoon is providing lift for numerous showers and storms. As the weak upper level low moves over Alabama tomorrow, we can expect the risk of rain for the entire state. Rain should be rather scattered on Thursday, with rain at times. A very deep upper air low will develp west of Alabama on Friday and Saturday, which will bring a band of heavy rain into the state. We can expect a soaking Friday afternoon through midday on Saturday. If the rain is heavy enough, there could be some flooding issues.

A dry slot will work into Alabama from the west by Saturday evening, with rain ending from west to east. At this time, Sunday looks rain free, which is great news for the race on Sunday in Talladega. While there are other races and events on Saturday, the main event happens on Sunday. If you’re going for the entire weekend, have the rain gear around on Saturday. I think some sun will return on Sunday, with a high near 70. Lows will get rather cool Saturday night and Sunday night, with lows in the 40s.

We’ll be watcing the upper level low close for early next week, as some model data moves it over Alabama. Other model data keeps us dry, so for now, my forecast will reflect a dry start to the week. There could be some changes ahead.

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Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

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