Killing Frost/Freeze Ahead… Warmer Next Week… Friday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx

Warnings_942

Happy Halloween to you! It has been a nice weather day, as a strong cold front moves into the state from the northwest. A few tiny showers have formed on radar across the area, but these won’t last long in one spot, and many areas will remain dry. If you have plans outdoors this evening, most, if not all showers should be gone by 6pm. Expect conditions to become breezy, with temperatures rapidly dropping this evening. If you are going outdoors this eve, the jackets may be needed. Temperatures will reach the lower 50s by 7pm and middle 40s by 10pm. For the late night folks, expect temperatures in the 30s by midnight, with a freeze becoming possible for areas north of Demopolis. With breezy conditions tonight, I don’t expect any issues with frost tonight. That’s a different story tomorrow night, with a widespread frost/freeze combination.

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The deep upper air trough is forecasted to quickly move east, so the cold air won’t last very long. However, the cold air will be just enough to cause some issues, with a sub-freezing night tonight and Saturday night. The big concern will occur Saturday night, with winds going calm and a strong area of high pressure near our area. Expect temperatures in the upper 20s to near 30 for most of west and central Alabama. If you have outdoor plants that can’t stand up to a frost and freeze, take the precautions now. Highs on Saturday will struggle to reach the lower 50s, in-fact, areas north of I-20 may stay in the 40s all day.

Temperatures will slowly start a warming trend on Sunday and Monday. Exepct lots of sun both days, with highs in the lower 60s on Sunday and upper 60s on Monday. Temperatures will rise into the lower 70s on Tuesday and Wednesday, with an increase in clouds for our area. The risk of rain is low on Wednesday and Thursday, but a passing shower is possible.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

Killing Freeze/Frost This Weekend… Thursday Forecast Update – 4:50pm #alwx

Warnings_939

Good Thursday afternoon! It has turned out to be a beautiful Fall day across Alabama, with temperatures topping out in the upper 60s to lower 70s, under a sunny sky. Temperatures will get chilly again tonight, with lows falling into the lower 40s. Expect skies to become partly cloudy tonight ahead of a cold front. Skies will remain partly cloudy on Friday, but the risk of rain is low. Don’t be shocked if a quick light shower moves over you on Friday, but most areas will remain dry. A breezy north wind will take over as a strong cold front moves in Friday afternoon.

Halloween night will be cold, with temperatures falling into the 40s after 7pm and 30s after 11pm. Expect a low near or just below freezing for most areas late Friday night and early Saturday morning. With a breezy wind Friday night, I don’t expect any widespread frost, but a freeze is possible. A very deep upper air trough will dig across the eastern US, causing the cold air to spill well into the southern US. A major winter storm is expected in the higher elevations of the Smoky Mountains Friday night and on Saturday, with snow totals near 1 foot in some areas near Gatlinburg. Of-course, there is no snow in the forecast for our part of the south… This will be the coldest air so far this season!

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Expect a full dose of sunshine on Saturday, with a cold north wind. Highs will struggle to reach the lower to middle 50s for highs on Saturday. As winds go calm Saturday night, a killing freeze/frost combination is expected across much of west and central Alabama. Take your cold weather precautions now to protect outdoor plants. Don’t forget the time change Saturday night/Sunday morning. Set your clock back 1 hour before going to bed Saturday night.

Temperatures will slowly warm back into the upper 60s on Monday and lower 70s on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

Looking Back at the Disaster of Superstorm Sandy of 2012…. Wednesday Update – 6pm #alwx

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Above is a visible satellite image that shows the enormous size of Superstorm Sandy shortly after landfall in late October of 2012. At this time, two years ago, a blizzard was occurring in the Appalachian Mountains and hurricane conditions were occurring over a large portion of the coastline from the mid-Atlantic states to the New England coastline.

Hurricane Sandy (unofficially known as “Superstorm Sandy”) was the deadliest and most destructive hurricane of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season, as well as the second-costliest hurricane in United States history. Classified as the eighteenth named storm, tenth hurricane and second major hurricane of the year, Sandy was a Category 3 storm at its peak intensity when it made landfall in Cuba. While it was a Category 2 storm off the coast of the Northeastern United States, the storm became the largest Atlantic hurricane on record (as measured by diameter, with winds spanning 1,100 miles. Estimates as of March 2014 assess damage to have been over $68 billion, a total surpassed only by Hurricane Katrina. At least 286 people were killed along the path of the storm in seven countries.

Sandy developed from a tropical wave in the western Caribbean Sea on October 22, quickly strengthened, and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Sandy six hours later. Sandy moved slowly northward toward the Greater Antilles and gradually intensified. On October 24, Sandy became a hurricane, made landfall near Kingston, Jamaica, re-emerged a few hours later into the Caribbean Sea and strengthened into a Category 2 hurricane. On October 25, Sandy hit Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, then weakened to a Category 1 hurricane. Early on October 26, Sandy moved through the Bahamas. On October 27, Sandy briefly weakened to a tropical storm and then restrengthened to a Category 1 hurricane. Early on October 29, Sandy curved north-northwest and then moved ashore near Brigantine, New Jersey, just to the northeast of Atlantic City, as a post-tropical cyclone with hurricane-force winds.

In Jamaica, winds left 70% of residents without electricity, blew roofs off buildings, killed one, and caused about $100 million in damage. Sandy’s outer bands brought flooding to Haiti, killing at least 54, causing food shortages, and leaving about 200,000 homeless; the hurricane also caused two deaths in the Dominican Republic. In Puerto Rico, one man was swept away by a swollen river. In Cuba, there was extensive coastal flooding and wind damage inland, destroying some 15,000 homes, killing 11, and causing $2 billion in damage. Sandy caused two deaths and damage estimated at $700 million in The Bahamas. In Canada, two were killed in Ontario and an estimated $100 million in damage was caused throughout Ontario and Quebec.

In the United States, Hurricane Sandy affected 24 states, including the entire eastern seaboard from Florida to Maine and west across the Appalachian Mountains to Michigan and Wisconsin, with particularly severe damage in New Jersey and New York. Its storm surge hit New York City on October 29, flooding streets, tunnels and subway lines and cutting power in and around the city. Damage in the United States amounted to $65 billion.

Hurricane Sandy began as a low pressure system which developed sufficient organized convection to be classified as Tropical Depression Eighteen on October 22 south of Kingston, Jamaica. It moved slowly at first due to a ridge to the north. Low wind shear and warm waters allowed for strengthening, and the system was named Tropical Storm Sandy late on October 22. Early on October 24, an eye began developing, and it was moving steadily northward due to an approaching trough. Later that day, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) upgraded Sandy to hurricane status about 65 mi south of Kingston, Jamaica. At about 1900 that day, Sandy made landfall near Kingston with winds of about 85 mph (140 km/h). Just offshore Cuba, Sandy rapidly intensified to winds of 115 mph, and at that intensity it made landfall just west of Santiago de Cuba at 0525 on October 25.

After Sandy exited Cuba, the structure became disorganized, and it turned to the north-northwest over the Bahamas. By October 27, Sandy was no longer fully tropical, and despite strong shear, it maintained convection due to influence from an approaching trough; the same trough turned the hurricane to the northeast. After briefly weakening to a tropical storm, Sandy re-intensified into a hurricane, and on October 28 an eye began redeveloping. The storm moved around an upper-level low over the eastern United States and also to the southwest of a ridge over Atlantic Canada, turning it to the northwest. Sandy briefly re-intensified to Category 2 intensity on the morning of October 29, around which time it had a wind diameter of over 1,150 miles. The convection diminished while the hurricane accelerated toward the New Jersey coast, and the hurricane was no longer tropical by 2100 on October 29. About 2 1/2 hours later, Sandy made landfall near Brigantine, New Jersey, with winds of 80 mph. During the next two days, Sandy’s remnants drifted northward and then northeastward over Ontario, before merging with another low pressure area over Eastern Canada.

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The image above is from the peak of Mt. Leconte near Gatlinburg, TN, after they picked up nearly 40 inches of snow and dealt with blizzard conditions for hours. Here’s a blog post from the worst of the storm from the people who stay in the mountain cabins on the peak of Leconte. This shows how the conditions were for the people on Mt. Leconte:

“Well, we are hanging in there. It was a long night last night, for us and the hikers who came up. We had ten more guests show up between 7 pm and 11 pm. There were a few experienced hikers who love hiking in winter conditions. They said it was extremely difficult for them. It took some of them 10 hours to hike up Rainbow Falls trail. There are a lot of trees down on the trails. The hikers were telling stories of crawling under some of these blow downs. We currently have 34″ of snow. The drifts are up to the roof on the dining hall. Chris and I snowshoed out Alum a little ways to check it out, it was hard with snow shoes. John and Bonnie hiked through waist deep snow to check out Cliff Tops. The temperatures are in the teens. The high yesterday was 20 with a low of 16. We are expecting another 3 inches on top of this snow. Once again, I can not stress enough, please do not attempt to hike up in these conditions.”

It’s amazing how large of an area Sandy impacted with a blizzard in the Appalachian mountains and hurricane conditions along the coastal sections of the US. Hopefully these areas can continue to recover without any additional storm related issues.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

Source:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Sandy

http://www.highonleconte.com/daily-posts

Cooler Weather Ahead… Weekend Frost… Wednesday Forecast Update – 3:25pm #alwx

Warnings_931

Good Wednesday afternoon! After a gloomy start to the day, with some rain and cloud cover, conditions are quickly becoming sunny this afternoon and evening. If you didn’t get rain with this event, it will be the middle of next week before our next decent rain chance arrives. Temperatures will fall quickly after sunset, with most areas in the lower to middle 40s after midnight. Expect skies to remain clear tonight and sunny on Thursday.

A general trough across the eastern US will allow cooler air to pump into Alabama from the north. Highs will struggle to reach 70 on Thursday and upper 60s to near 70 on Friday. A few clouds will pass through the area on Friday, as a strong cold front passes through. With limited moisture, I don’t expect any rain on Friday. Conditions will become breezy Friday night and on Saturday, with temperatures falling into the middle 30s Friday night. Highs will struggle to reach the upper 50s on Saturday, with middle 50s north of I-20. Skies will remain sunny through the weekend. As winds go calm Saturday night, and temperatures will fall into the lower 30s. Frost is likely across all of west and central Alabama, with the risk of a light freeze in spots north of I-20. The trough will progress east early next week, so temperatures will warm into the lower 70s.

Another storm system will approach Alabama by the middle of next week, with showers becoming possible.

Halloween night will be rather chilly, with temperatures in the 50s at sunset, 40s by 11pm and 30s after midnight. A breezy north wind will develop Friday night…

Don’t forget about the time change Sunday morning at 2am. Set your clock back 1 hour as we go back into standard time before going to bed Saturday night.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

Showers on Wednesday… Possible Weekend Frost… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx

Warnings_927

Good Tuesday afternoon! Clouds have steadily increased across Alabama today, ahead of our first of two cold fronts set to arrive. The first cold front will pass through Alabama on Wednesday, bringing a risk of showers and cooler air. The risk of rain for Wednesday is at 60%, but most areas will pick up less than 1/2 an inch. The higher rain totals will occur over the northern half of Alabama. While we need much more rain to catch us up, we’ll take what we can get. After the warm day today, temperatures will be on a down-hill trend for the rest of the week and over the weekend.

If you have plans outdoors this evening, rain is not expected. Clouds will continue to thicken up in our area, with temperatures only dropping to around 60 for a low. A few showers will become possible after 11pm tonight, as the lifting feature moves closer to our area. Expect a good chance of passing showers on Wednesday, but it will not rain all day and a few locations may miss the rain. Highs will struggle to reach 70 on Wednesday and Thursday; in-fact, areas north of I-20 will likely stay in the 60s for highs. Temperatures will drop into the 40s Wednesday night and Thursday night. Expect a full dose of sunshine on Thursday and Friday.

Halloween night will be chilly, with temperatures dropping into the upper 30s to lower 40s after midnight. Conditions will become rather breezy across the area as a secondary cold front pushes through.

A very deep upper air trough will dig out across the east Friday night and on Saturday, which will send the coldest air so far this season. We can expect a fairly good chance of dealing with some frost by Sunday morning. Highs will struggle to reach 60 on Saturday, with a howling north wind. Temperatures Saturday morning and Sunday morning will drop into the 30s. As the trough moves east, conditions will gradually warm up by Monday and Tuesday, with highs reaching the lower 70s.

Don’t forget about the time-change happening Saturday night and Sunday morning. The official change occurs at 2am Sunday morning, but go ahead and set your clock back 1 hour before going to bed Saturday night.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

Tropical Development in Atlantic…Will Be Pushed Away From U.S. – Tuesday Update 4pm #alwx

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The map above is from the National Hurricane Center. There is a tropical system developing in the Atlantic, but a trough will deflect the storm away from the U.S.. Currently, the system has a medium chance of forming into a tropical cyclone in the next couple of days. Regardless, there will be no impact to the U.S.

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Since upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Source: National Hurricane Center

Caitlin Golden

WVUA Weather Intern

Warm Now, Cooler Air Soon… Monday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx

Warnings_923

Good Monday afternoon! It has turned out to be another very warm day, with most of west and central Alabama reaching the middle 80s for highs. If you’re ready for cooler air, there are some temperature changes coming up later this week and this weekend, as two shots of cooler air arrive. First, if you have plans this evening, expect mild conditions through and after sunset, with temperatures gradually falling into the upper 50s to low 60s for lows overnight. Clouds will slowly increase late tonight and on Tuesday, as moisture returns to the state.

A cold front will reach Alabama on Wednesday, with a fair chance of scattered showers along the front Wednesday morning through Wednesday afternoon. It will not rain all day, some areas will miss the rain, and rain totals will remain rather low with this event. The risk of rain at your house is at 40% with the system on Wednesday. Highs will top out in the lower 80s on Tuesday, then lower 70s on Wednesday.

Wednesday will be the first temperature drop we’ll experience, with highs in the lower 70s on Thursday and Friday. Expect full sunshine both Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will drop into the 40s Thursday night and Friday night. Halloween on Friday is looking nearly perfect, with cooler temperatures and a developing north breeze. It will get chilly late Friday night, so keep that in mind if you have late night plans. The next cold front set to arrive will occur Friday evening and Friday night. I don’t expect any rain with the front, with a shot of even cooler air will move into the area. Expect highs in the middle 60s on Saturday, with lows in the lower 40s to upper 30s Friday night and Saturday night.

Don’t forget about the time change this weekend! Daylight Savings Time ends in the pre-dawn hours Sunday morning, so set your clock back 1 hour before going to bed Saturday night. This is also a good time to check the batteries in your NOAA Weather Radio and Smoke Detector.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua
Facebook: WVUARichardScott

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