Sunny Easter Sunday; Rain on Tuesday (8:15PM 4/19/2014 Update)

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Happy Easter!! Great weather is ahead for Easter Sunday. In fact, you can expect sunny skies throughout the day with afternoon highs around 78 across central Alabama. Sunrise on Easter Sunday is at 6:14 A.M. There are quite a few Easter sunrise church services going on across Tuscaloosa and central Alabama. It will be a bit cool in the morning at sunrise, with temperatures around 50. You may need a light jacket if you’re planning to attend a sunrise church service.

Mostly clear skies on Sunday evening set the stage for a mostly sunny Monday morning, with clouds likely increasing throughout the day ahead of our next rain event. We could have a rogue, isolated rain shower on Monday, but odds are the vast majority of the area stays dry.

Rain moves in on Tuesday ahead of a cold (or cool) front. Most places across central Alabama will be wet on Tuesday, so be sure to have the rain jacket and umbrella handy. By Wednesday afternoon, the rain and clouds will be gone. That means you can expect mostly sunny skies with afternoon highs around 80. By Thursday, we hit the mid-80s for afternoon highs.

At least one of our weather models is hinting that the next rain chance could occur on Friday into the early morning hours of Saturday. We’ll watch that system and update you as the week progresses.

Tune in to WVUA-TV tonight at 10:00 P.M. for all of the latest news and weather information. I’ll be delivering the weather forecast! We hope you will join us!
-S

Spinks Megginson
WVUA Weekend Weather Anchor

Nice Weekend… Rain on Tuesday… Friday Forecast Update – 4pm

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Good Friday afternoon! Much of Alabama has dealt with a soaking rain, as an area of low pressure tracks to our south and east. At 4pm, the rain was over for most of Alabama, but a few tiny showers continue. These small showers and areas of drizzle should come to an end by midnight tonight. Skies will remain cloudy to mostly cloudy through the overnight hours, then gradually becoming sunny on Saturday.

If you have plans outdoors this evening, have the umbrella handy. The heavier rain is over, but a few tiny showers are possible for the remainder of the evening. Temperatures will fall into the middle 50s by 7pm and drop into the lower 50s at midnight. There will be a light northeast breeze tonight, so that should prevent fog from developing.

Saturday morning will start off mostly cloudy, with temperatures in the lower 50s at sunrise. Skies will gradually clear out, with temps warming into the lower 70s by early afternoon. A-Day in Tuscaloosa is looking nice, with a partly to mostly sunny sky. Temperatures Saturday afternoon will remain in the lower 70s in Tuscaloosa for the game.

Easter Sunday will start off sunny and remain sunny all day, with a sunrise temperature near 50. Afternoon highs will approach 80 on Sunday, so it will feel pretty warm by the afternoon. Our next storm system will gradually move in Monday night and on Tuesday. This system will be weak, so I don’t expect any severe weather issues. Look for clouds to increase on Monday, with a good chance of scattered showers and storms on Tuesday.

An upper air ridge will take over on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, which means temperatures will be warming. Highs will reach the low 80s on Wednesday, with mid 80s on Thursday and Friday. Overnight lows will remain in the 50s for much of next week.

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Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Showers on Friday, Nice Weekend… Thursday Forecast Update – 4:50pm

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Good Thursday afternoon! We started off the day very nice, with lots of sun and mild temperatures. As we approach the 5pm hour, clouds are quickly spreading over the state. At this time of this update, the rain is still to our southwest, but that will change tonight. Showers will gradually spread in from the southwest after midnight tonight, with the higher rain chances happening south of I-20. Lows will fall into the lower 50s after midnight.

Friday is looking wet over the southern half of Alabama, with the best rain chances happening south of I-20. Areas north of I-20 will be mostly dry on Friday. Areas south of I-20 will deal with showers on and off for much of the day. With clouds and some rain, highs will likely only reach the middle 60s for highs.

Saturday is looking nice, as skies gradually become mostly sunny. Models have slowed the clearing just a bit for Saturday, so there’s a chance we will start off the day with some clouds, with clouds gradually moving out later in the day. Dry air will move into Alabama from the north, but the airmass will actually be warmer and not colder. Expect highs in the lower 70s on Saturday, which is perfect for A-Day in Tuscaloosa. If you’re going to the game at Bryant-Denny Stadium, expect temperatures in the lower 70s at 1pm and remain in the 70s until around sunset. There will be a mix of sun and clouds during the game in Tuscaloosa.

Easter Sunday is also looking very nice, with lots of sun and warm temperatures. Expect a sunrise temperature of 52 Sunday morning, then highs reaching the upper 70s shortly after noon.

Clouds will return by Monday afternoon, with a very small risk of a passing shower. Rain chances will increase on Tuesday, but rain should remain very scattered to isolated. Highs will top out in the upper 70s on Monday and Tuesday. We will really begin to heat up a bit by Wednesday and Thursday, as highs reach the lower to middle 80s…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Warmer Days Ahead… Showers on Friday… Wednesday Forecast Update – 4pm

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Good Wednesday afternoon! After a subfreezing night for many latsnight, conditions have warmed quickly this afternoon. Temperatures reached the middle 60s for much of west and central Alabama due to lots of sun and dry air. Dry air heats and cools very efficiently, so that helps to cause the rapid warm-up and cool down between day and night. Expect another cold night tonight, with temperatures falling into the lower 40s. Areas north of I-20 will likely reach the upper 30s, but I don’t expect any more frosty issues tonight or for the rest of the spring season. If you’re waiting to plant your garden, I don’t see any signs of frosty conditions in our future for the spring season. Conditions this evening will include dry weather and clear skies. Temperatures will fall into the lower 60s at 7pm, upper 40s at 10pm and lower 40s after midnight. Expect a light southeast breeze overnight.

Thursday is looking a bit warmer, with a high near 70. Clouds will gradually return during the day on Thursday, especially after lunch. Temperatures Thursday night will fall into the lower 50s, and conditions will remain dry. A weak cold front will move through Alabama on Friday, which will bring the risk of scattered showers. It won’t rain all day, but the umbrella may be needed from time to time.

A-Day in Tuscaloosa on Saturday is looking perfect! Look for sunny skies and temperatures in the middle to upper 70s. I’ve taken the risk of a few showers out of the forecast for Sunday, as model data has come in dry for that day. Expect a high close to 80 on Easter Sunday!

There could be a lone shower or two on Monday or Tuesday, but model data is really coming in dry with that feature. Expect highs in the upper 70s to near 80 both days, under a partly cloudy sky.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Frost/Freeze Tonight… Warmer Days Soon… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4pm

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Good Tuesday afternoon! After a cold, cloudy and windy start to the day, skies cleared out nicely this afternoon. Despite the sun, conditions still feel pretty chilly today, with air temperatures in the 50s and wind chill values in the 40s in some areas. As the sun sets this evening, temperatures will drop fast, with temperatures in the lower 40s by 10pm and middle to upper 30s at midnight. With calm winds and clear skies, frost will start to develop after midnight. All of west and central Alabama is in the risk of some frost tonight, so take the extra steps to make sure your outdoor plants and gardens are protected. You need to cover all sensitive vegetation or bring inside if possible tonight. After 8am Wednesday morning, temperatures will warm above freezing and frost will melt.

Wednesday afternoon is looking nice, as temperatures recover into the middle 60s. Expect lots of sun on Wednesday. Temperatures will fall into the lower 40s Wednesday night, but temperatures will be too warm for frost to develop. Skies become partly sunny on Thursday, as moisture makes a return. Highs will top out in the lower 70s on Thursday and Friday. Showers are possible on Friday, but don’t expect an all day type of rain or flooding.

Saturday is looking nice, which is perfect for Alabama’s A-Day game in Bryant-Denny Stadium. Skies will remain mostly sunny on Saturday, with a high in the lower to middle 70s.

Easter Sunday is looking nice and mild, but there is a small chance of isolated showers. Otherwise, expect dry conditions with highs in the middle to upper 70s. The system moving through is weak, but it may bring a few scattered showers on Sunday and Monday. At this time, rain chances are very low. This may change, so keep an eye on any forecast updates.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Killer April 15th Tornado Outbreak… 3 Years Ago Today… Tuesday Update – 11:30am

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We look back to this day in history only 3 years ago, when a deadly tornado outbreak happened in Alabama. This was a record breaking event, where several people died and numerous people were injured. Only a week and a half later, April 27th would beat the April 15th records by far. This would be the first of two events to produce a tornado in Tuscaloosa. In Tuscaloosa, the April 15th tornado was rated EF-3 and the April 27th tornado was rated EF-4. Several other towns across Alabama were hit twice by these two historic events. Below is information on the April 15th event, put together by the National Weather Service in Birmingham.

April 15, 2011 Tornado Outbreak:
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM AFFECTED A LARGE PART OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES. SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OCCURRED FROM THURSDAY APRIL 14TH THROUGH SATURDAY APRIL 16TH. TORNADOES WERE REPORTED IN KANSAS, OKLAHOMA, TEXAS, LOUISIANA, MISSOURI, ILLINOIS, MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA, GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS. ADDITIONALLY…DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL OCCURRED.

NUMEROUS LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS DEVELOPED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA FRIDAY APRIL 15TH. THESE SUPERCELL PRODUCED CYCLIC TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THEIR LIFETIMES. THOUSANDS OF TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WAS SIGNIFICANT.

A surface low, which had developed across the Central Plains on Thursday, the 14th, deepened as it moved into the Mid-Mississippi Valley.  In response to this deepening, surface dew points in the middle to upper 60s surged northward into Central Alabama and deep vertical wind shear increased.  By the morning of Friday, the 15th, it was evident environmental conditions were going to be perfect for tornadic supercell development.  The Storm Prediction Center issued the first Tornado Watch for Central Alabama prior to 8 am and supercell development began just after 11 am across central Mississippi.  These storms crept across the Mississippi and dropped multiple damaging tornadoes.  The first tornado warning in Central Alabama was issued at 11:52 am in Marengo County and warnings were issued until 1215 am the next morning.

Central Alabama April 15th Statistics

-April 15th was one of the largest tornado outbreaks in Central Alabama history by the number of tornado occurrences.
-There were 29 confirmed tornadoes in Central Alabama on April 15th.
-The combined tornado damage path length in Central Alabama was 244.23 miles.
-Ten of the tornadoes had damage path lengths over 10 miles long.
-Three tornadoes started outside Central Alabama.
-There were at least 10 injuries reported and 4 people lost their lives
-Tornado Watch 140 was in effect from 733 am CDT until 3 pm CDT.
-Tornado Watch 141 was in effect from 1121 am CDT until 9 pm CDT.
-Tornado Watch 146 was in effect from 751 pm CDT until 3 am CDT.
-NWS BMX issued 45 Tornado Warnings.
-NWS BMX issued 19 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings.

Number of Tornadoes by EF-Scale

EF0 EF1 EF2 EF3 EF4 EF5
5 10 10 4 0 0
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Richard Scott

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rscott@wvuatv.com

Info: nws Birmingham

 

Radar Update… Rain Tonight… Isolated Flooding Possible – 9:30pm Monday

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As of 9:30pm, the 2nd batch of moderate to heavy rain is situated across most of Alabama, but the rainfall rates aren’t high enough to cause major flash flooding. Isolated flooding is certainly possible tonight, but this is nowhere near what happened last Sunday night. If you live in a flood prone area, or you are driving tonight, use caution. If you come across a flooded road, turn around…

This batch of rain will not produce any severe weather issues tonight. Expect the large area of moderate to heavy rain to gradually end from west to east between 10pm and midnight tonight. After this mass of rain ends, patchy light to moderate rain will continue at times through sunrise Tuesday morning. Showers will quickly end by 8am or 9am tomorrow morning, as colder air takes over.

Don’t forget… We have a potential frost in the forecast for Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. Most of west and central Alabama will stand the chance to get some frost, so take the cold weather precautions to protect outdoor plants…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

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