Nice Now… Humidity Returns by Late Week… Tuesday Forecast Update – 3:45pm #alwx

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Good Tuesday afternoon! It has turned out to be a fantastic weather day, with low humidity and a refreshing north breeze. Winds have gusted to 25mph in spots today! Dewpoints continue to drop, which will set the stage for record lows tonight. As winds go calm and skies remain clear, temperatures will drop quickly after sunset. Expect temperatures in the upper 70s in some areas by 7pm, then 60s by 10pm. Areas along and north of I-20 stand a good chance of reaching the upper 50s tonight, which is record breaking for most areas. If you live south of I-20, you’ll drop into the lower 60s by sunrise Wednesday morning.

The general trough slowly moves out of the area on Wednesday, but humidity will remain low. Daytime highs will reach the middle 80s on Wednesday, under a mostly sunny sky. Humidity finally starts to make a return on Thursday and Friday, with a risk of a few scattered storms. Highs will remain in the middle to upper 80s Thursday and Friday afternoon. With higher dewpoints, temperatures at night will warm back into the upper 60s.

The risk of a few passing storms will continue through the weekend and early next week, but the risk of rain in one spot isn’t very high. If you have plans outdoors this weekend, have the umbrella handy. Most events will be rain free over the weekend.

The tropics are starting to heat up a bit. We’re watching a large area of low pressure in the central Atlantic, track west. There is a good chance this becomes tropical storm Bertha sometime over the next day or two. Model data is still iffy on the path of the storm, but there is a chance it could impact the lower 48 in 8 to 10 days. There’s still a good chance the storm remains out to sea and never impacts the US. It’s too close of a call for this far out. As you know, a lot can change in that amount of time. Depending on how strong the ridge is to the north of the system, and the position of the trough will determine where this feature tracks. Also, if it rapidly strengthens or remains rather weak will determine the path. If it remains weak longer, it will likely track further west, increasing the risk of a US landfall. If it gets stronger, quicker, it would turn north into a weakness in 5 to 6 days. As I said, there are still a lot of questions that need ironing out. Lets keep an eye on it…

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Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Thoughts on Tropical Low Invest 93L… Monday Update – 5:35pm

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Good Monday afternoon! We’re watching a tropical low becoming better orgnaized over the central Atlantic at this hour. There is a high chance this will become our next tropical storm (Bertha) over the next couple of days. The low is in a good environment with little wind shear, uplift, warm water temperatures and deep tropical moisture. The environment ahead of this feature is favorable for intensification; in-fact, many of our tropical models develop this system into a hurricane. There is evidence of some dry air near the system, so if dry air gets pulled into the center, it would slow or hamper strengthening.

Where will it go? There are several options of where this storm will go. I think there is a higher chance the low will turn out into the open water of the Atlantic over the weekend and early next week, due to a forecasted weakness in the subtropical ridge. If the storm develops stronger and faster, there is a high chance it will feel the weakness to the north and turn north. If it remains weaker for a longer period of time, then it may miss the weakness and continue further west. With a trough forecasted to remain over the eastern US, it will be hard for this system to impact the southeastern US, but not impossible. Really, anyone along the Atlantic or Gulf Coast should monitor this system incase the upper air pattern changes up a bit. While not impossible, I don’t think this will become a Gulf Storm, however, any pattern change could allow it to move into the Gulf. I just don’t see a high chance of that happening at this time.

How strong will it get? If the storm remains in the favorable environment, I would expect it to become our second hurricane of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. There is a fairly high chance it will become a hurricane later this week or over the weekend. Anyone planning a trip to the Lesser Antilles in the next 5 to 6 days need to keep a cautious eye on this one…

The bottom line… This system is just now developing and changes are likely in the days ahead. It will be a good idea to keep checking here for any updates in the next 5 to 7 days.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Cooler, Less Humid… Then, Hot & Humid Again… Monday Forecast Update – 4:40pm

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Good Monday afternoon! Today has started off very hot and muggy, but conditions are changing this afternoon. As of 4:40pm, a surface cold front is positioned south of US HWY 80 and continues to track south. There are lots of storms ahead of the front, but they area well south of our area. Humidity levels are dropping fast across west and central Alabama, and conditions will feel a bit more like fall tonight and Tuesday night.

Temperatures will drop into the middle 80s by 7pm, then middle 70s at 10pm and upper 60s by midnight. Lows tonight will fall into the lower to middle 60s. A deep upper air trough over the eastern half of the US is allowing the cold front to push this far south. Humidity levels will remain low through Wednesday night. We can expect lots of sun on Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs in the middle 80s. Lows will approach record levels Tuesday night, with many areas reaching the upper 50s or lower 60s.

Humidity will return on Thursday and Friday, with a few scattered storms developing in the area. I don’t expect a total washout, but keep the umbrella handy Thursday through the weekend. Highs will top out in the upper 80s, with lows reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s by the weekend.

We’re watching a tropical low in the central Atlantic. This system has a good chance of becoming a tropical storm in the next couple of days. It’s still uncertain if this will make a risk to the US, or turn out to sea. We’ll keep a close eye on it…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Relief From the Heat! Sunday Forecast Update — 7:30pm

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Good Sunday evening to you. We had another steamy day across Central Alabama. The mercury climbed into the mid and upper 90s, but if you went outside at all this afternoon it felt more like 105°! There is relief on the way, tomorrow!

The cold front is currently still hanging off to our north, bringing severe weather to central and eastern Kentucky, and East Tennessee this evening. Here in Alabama we won’t see the severe storms, but some extra clouds, and possibly a storm late tonight, early tomorrow morning. Low temperatures tonight will remain warm in the mid 75 under the increasing cloud cover. During the AM commute into the early afternoon we’ll see some more clouds, and slightly better chances for showers and storms. The cold front will move through the area Monday afternoon, and the combination of the cold front and the extra cloud cover, I don’t think we’ll be as warm as we have been. High temperatures on Monday should stick to right around 90, although the further south you go, the warmer the temperature. The front will dive south into the Gulf of Mexico, which is fantastic news for us! Most of the work week will be dry, unseasonably cool, but downright gorgeous.

Tuesday will start in the mid-60s under sunny skies, and thanks to cool and dry air, highs will only top out in the mid 80s! Wednesday will almost be a carbon copy, but the core of the dry air will be here Wednesday AM, and we could see some record breaking low temperatures once again this summer. Wednesday’s low will be right around 60, upper 50s are certainly possible for our eastern counties.

The trough associated with the cold front will stick around for most of the work week, preventing a stationary front from sliding into Alabama. That blocking will keep us dry through Thursday, although some high, thin cirrus clouds could make an appearance Wednesday into Thursday. The trough will slide east as we head into the weekend, allowing some extra moisture to return, and with it the rain chances. Some afternoon pop-up storms could develop each afternoon as we head into the weekend, thankfully temperatures will still remain mild in the upper 80s.

As for the tropics, the wave of activity in the central Atlantic is still holding together, and could develop into a tropical system later on this week, still pretty far away, but we’ll keep an eye on it this week.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank

WVUA Staff Meteorologist

Twitter: crankyweather

Sultry Sunday, Cooler Week Ahead… Saturday Forecast Update — 7:00pm

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We had quite the temperature spread today, Tuscaloosa started the morning off with a record-tying low temperature of 65° F; however, by mid afternoon, temperatures peaked at 95° F. A 29° change is pretty impressive for late July, the drier air we’ve had the past 48 hours has certainly helped with that.

Sunday is going to be another sultry day, a little warmer overnight tonight in the low 70s before heading back into the mid 90s for the afternoon. While no records are going to be broken tomorrow, it certainly will be a scorcher so stay cool and hydrated tomorrow! Sunday evening will slowly cool off into the low 70s, under mostly clear skies.

Relief from the heat is coming, and with it could be the return of some record breaking weather. A stout cold front will push through midday Monday, a few showers and storms are possible Monday morning and afternoon as the front comes through, but cooler and drier air will slide in right behind the front. Highs on Monday will peak near 90 ahead of the cold front, but overnight into Tuesday will be very pleasant in the mid 60s. Tuesday and Wednesday will be phenomenal for late July, highs in the mid 80s, lows once again in the low-mid 60s for Tuesday AM through Thursday AM. The chance for record lows will be best on Wednesday AM with the core of the cool and dry over Central Alabama.

Some clouds, and possibly a storm will return on Thursday, but temperatures will remain mild through the work week in the mid-upper 80s. Another system looks to bring us some more rain as we head into the weekend, when exactly it arrives remains to be seen, but the chance for storms appears best Friday or Saturday, so we’ll put in the chance for clouds and storms both days. The weekend shouldn’t be a wash out though!

For the most part, the tropics are still quiet, a slight chance of a system developing this week, however that system is still well out into the Atlantic. Plenty of time for us to monitor it and keep you informed!

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on Facebook and Twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Peter Crank

WVUA Staff Meteorologist

Twitter: crankyweather

Hot Weekend Ahead! Friday Forecast Update – 4:35pm

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Good Friday afternoon! It has turned out to be a hot day across Alabama, but humidity levels are a bit lower this afternoon. Slightly drier air has moved in from the north, but this airmass will be short lived. Humid weather will quickly return to the state tomorrow and on Sunday, making for a hot, hazy and humid weekend. Temperatures will top out in the lower 90s this weekend. The risk of rain is very low, but I can’t rule out a tiny storm or two on radar.

A rather strong cold front will move through Alabama early on Monday. Since the front will be passing through before the peak heating hours, I don’t expect much rain with this feature. Scattered storms are possible Sunday night through noon on Monday, but drier air will start to take over by the mid to late afternoon hours. Highs will reach the upper 80s on Monday and middle to upper 80s on Tuesday and Wednesday. Overnight lows will fall into the middle 60s Monday night and lower 60s Tuesday night! Temperatures like that will feel fantastic for the end of July!

At this time, I don’t see any signs of a big heat wave in the near future. Sure, we’ll have some hot days ahead, but triple digits appear unlikely….

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

Hot Weekend Ahead… Thursday Forecast Update – 3:45pm

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Good Thursday afternoon! As of 3:45pm, areas along and south of I-20 are dealing with lots of scattered storms. These storms are moving southeast, along a weak cold front. Slightly drier air is moving in from the north, so the risk of scattered storms will come to an end from northwest to southeast this evening. The risk of rain has now ended for areas along and north of I-20.

Friday through the weekend is looking hot and mostly dry. I can’t rule out a shower or storm south of I-20 over the weekend, but the risk of rain is low. Expect highs in the lower 90s this weekend, with fairly humid conditions. Since dewpoints will remain in the upper 60s to lower 70s, you will notice a slight mugginess.  Lows will start off in the upper 60s Saturday morning, then lower 70s Sunday morning.

Our next cold front is set to arrive early on Monday. Model data has backed off a tad with the really cool air, but I still expect drier air and slightly cooler temperatures for Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will top out in the middle 80s, with lows in the middle 60s. Humidity will feel much lower both days. Expect some scattered storms ahead of the front on Monday, especially along and south of I-20.

Tropical Depression # 2 has died in the Atlantic. With a harsh environment for tropical development at this time, it is unlikely it has a chance to redevelop…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

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