Warmer Days Ahead… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4:25pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Tuesday afternoon! What’s left of Irma is now a swirl across the southeast, with light rain and drizzle rotating around the remnant center. Fortunately, there are no issues with wind in our local area today, but it remains chilly! Most of central and west Alabama didn’t get above 65 today, with cloudy skies and occasional drizzle or light rain. Temperatures tonight will gradually drop into the upper 50s, under a cloudy sky.

Wednesday, we’ll maintain a chance of isolated showers, but we’ll begin a warming trend. We could even see some sun at times on Wednesday, especially south of I-20. As the weak surface low lifts out, and upper air ridging builds back in, look for skies to become mostly sunny on Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will warm into the middle 80s on Thursday, followed by upper 80s on Friday.

As moisture increases for the weekend, a few scattered showers are possible, but most areas will remain dry through the weekend. The risk of any one spot getting a shower is at 20%. Overnight temperatures will begin to rise a bit as well, with lows near 70 by late weekend.

Hurricane Jose just to the east of the Bahamas will do a loop over the next 3 or 4 days, well east of the US coastline. Models indicate Jose will turn out to sea, with no US impact. We’ll watch it, but there is no evidence this will be an issue for our local weather.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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Late Eve Forecast Update… Warmer By Late Week.. Monday Update – 10pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday evening! Breezy conditions will gradually decrease overnight, with winds generally less than 15mph by sunrise Tuesday. Look for mainly cloudy skies for our Tuesday, with the risk of light rain and drizzle at times. Highs will remain in the 60s. Rain amounts will be light, with generally less than 1/4th an inch expected. Look for a west breeze at less than 15mph.

A few showers are still possible on Wednesday, with a high in the lower 70s. Rain chances decrease to 10-20% for Thursday through the weekend, with warmer days expected. Highs will top out in the upper 80s, with lows warming into the lower 70s by Sunday night.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

9:15pm Monday Radar Update/Forecast Thoughts… #alwx @wvua23

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At 9:15pm, light rain continues across the area, as the leftover low pressure from Irma moves northeast into central Alabama. The heavier rain is in the process of ending across central and west Alabama, with lingering light rain and drizzle extending southward across the rest of central Alabama. Expect the moderate rain to be gone by midnight, with drizzle or patches of light rain through Tuesday morning.

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As for the wind, Irma continues to weaken and winds are gradually decreasing across Georgia and east Alabama, with uniform breezy conditions across Alabama and Georgia. Winds in our area are gusting between 15 and 30mph, but I haven’t seen any reports of winds over 32mph in the past few hours. Expect winds to gradually weaken overnight, with a light west breeze expected on Tuesday between 5 and 15mph.

So far, most reports of isolated trees blown down or scattered power outages have been over east Alabama, mainly near the Alabama/Georgia state line. We have not had any reports of trees down in west Alabama for areas west of I-65, and the number of power outages in that part of the state remain low. Most outages occurred this morning in the Eufaula to Dothan areas, where winds gusted over 45mph.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

5:45pm Monday Weather Update… #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday early evening! As of 5:45pm, we’ve got a steady soaking rain covering much of Alabama, with a band of moderate rain moving west across central Alabama. The main batch of light to moderate rain will begin to lift out of our area overnight tonight, with lingering areas of light rain and showers continuing into the day tomorrow. The main area of gusty winds are occurring within the band of moderate rain, moving westward across central AL.

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In terms of the wind speeds involved, above is a map of wind gusts as of 5:45pm. Winds are generally gusting between 15mph and 30mph over west Alabama, with gusts between 25mph and 35mph along and east of I-65. It is interesting to note how winds are really decreasing over southern Georgia. I expect gusty winds over the next few hours, which could cause some power outages and a few trees to come down across the state. By midnight tonight, winds should start to decrease across the area, with light winds by tomorrow morning.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

1:30pm Weather Update… #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday early afternoon! I just wanted to post an update on the latest weather situation. Light to moderate rain now covers most of west, central and east Alabama. As of 1:30pm, wind has not been a big issue for our local weather, although it is breezy. Expect a steady rain for the rest of today and into tonight. Temperatures will remain very chilly through the afternoon and evening, with most areas in the 50s all day!

Breezy wind will pick up a bit this afternoon and into tonight, as the decaying core of Irma moves over portions of central Alabama. For west Alabama, expect a steady rain and breezy winds this afternoon through tonight, with only some light rain or showers lingering into tomorrow morning. Max wind gusts up to 35mph are possible for west Alabama, so power outages are unlikely. It really takes winds stronger than that before you start to get more widespread power outages.

For areas east of I-65 in east Alabama, we still expect winds to gust to 40mph, with a few higher gusts closer to the Georgia boarder. There is a better chance of getting scattered power outages in far east Alabama, where winds will be stronger into the afternoon. East Alabama, conditions will be improving quickly by early tomorrow morning.

By sunrise Tuesday morning, the heavier rain will be moving out and winds will be just a little breezy, with winds of 20mph across the area, with light rain breaking into spotty showers by Tuesday afternoon. Rain amounts of 1-3″ will be likely for our area, but rain will fall in a steady rate over a period of several hours today and tonight, so flooding is unlikely.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Soaking Rain Today & Tonight, & Breezy… Monday AM Update 8am #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday morning! I’m seeing a lot of really bad information being shared with the approach of now Tropical Storm Irma. Please be careful where you get information. At 8am, the center of Tropical Storm Irma is located over north central Florida and moving north northwest. Winds continue to decrease now that the center is inland and has been since yesterday afternoon. At 8am, sustained winds where at 70mph.

The latest track moves the center over the Auburn area at 2am Tuesday morning to a point near Muscle Shoals Tuesday afternoon. As the center moves into the Auburn area, winds will be down to 40mph with the weakening storm, then down to 20mph as a tropical depression once reaching Muscle Shoals Tuesday afternoon.

Above is a graphic showing the maximum wind gust expected for west and central and east Alabama during this event, which will likely happen later this afternoon and tonight, with breezy conditions really dropping off early Tuesday morning. Wind gusts up to 35mph are possible for areas west of I-65, across all of west AL. Understand, we see winds like this common behind winter cold fronts. Power outages are unlikely in west Alabama. East Alabama, for areas east of I-65, winds could gust up to 50mph. Winds like that could bring a few trees down and create some power outages this afternoon into tonight, mainly closer to the Georgia boarder.

By sunrise Tuesday morning, the heavier rain will be moving out and winds will be just a little breezy, with winds of 20mph across the area, with light rain breaking into spotty showers by Tuesday afternoon. Rain amounts of 1-3″ will be likely for our area, but rain will fall in a steady rate over a period of several hours today and tonight, so flooding is unlikely.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Irma To Impact Alabama Weather Monday. Sunday Forecast Update, 5:30pm. #wxal @wvua23

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It was a great day weather-wise across central Alabama. Highs were in the 80’s and a nice breeze made for great feeling conditions. Tonight, that breeze will stick around as clouds start to build in. In the early morning hours we will start to see rain move into central Alabama as Irma moves inland. Once Irma moves into central Alabama, we will experience showers and storms, as well as very windy conditions. See the following three paragraphs below on full details about impacts from Irma, specifically for Monday.

Our far eastern counties (Blount, St.Clair, Talladega, Coosa, Clay, Calhoun, Etowah, and Cherokee) will see rain totals that could approach 3.5 inches by Wednesday. Localized flooding could occur, so keep this in mind. Peak wind gusts will approach 60mph, especially for areas around Gadsden. Sustained winds, will remain only in the lower 40’s though. Peak wind gusts of around 60mph will knock power out, but widespread power-outages are not likely. As for structural damage, some buildings could lose shingles, but that is about the extent of damage unless some other form of severe weather causes this (which is not likely).

Looking into the centralized area of central Alabama (Winston, Cullman, Walker, Jefferson, Shelby, Bibb, Chilton, and portions of Tuscaloosa and Perry counties), the previously stated forecasted potentials are reduced. Rainfall totals will range between 2 and 3 inches across this area. Localized flooding is still possible, but less likely. Since the rain will fall slowly over a gradual time, flooding just isn’t very likely. Normally flooding for Alabama is bad when these amounts are seen in a very short period of time. Instead, these rainfall totals will come over a course of at least two days. Sustained winds in this region will range between 25 and 40mph. Wind gusts could peak between 40 and 50mph. This lower wind speeds and gust peaks mean that power outages here will be less likely, but there will still, mostly likely, be some here. Structural damage will be far less likely, unless a separate form of severe weather occurs (which doesn’t seem likely).

For western central Alabama (Marion, Lamar, Fayette, Pickens, Tuscaloosa, Greene, Hale, Sumter, Marengo, and Perry counties) rainfall totals and winds will be even less. In western Alabama, rainfall totals will range between 1 and 2 inches, which will likely not cause flooding issues. This amount of rain will come at too slow a span of time to cause flooding issues. Perhaps just a few low laying areas here could see some flooding issues. Sustained winds here will range between 20 and 30 mph. Peak wind gusts will be between 30 and 40mph. Since these winds are so much weaker, power outages in western Alabama are not likely, but a few isolated instances could occur. No real structural damages could occur either, unless a separate form of severe weather should take place (which doesn’t seem likely).

Tuesday will hold mainly showers, rather than showers and storms, but the breezy conditions will continue (not to the same scale we will see Monday). Temperatures will be very cool with winds out of the north and little sunshine for daytime heating. Wednesday will hold some peeks of sunshine as we see a few lingering showers remain from Irma, which will be a depression at this point. Winds by Wednesday will also be calming down. Thursday will be mostly dry, besides a few stray showers. We will see more sun that afternoon. That should help bring our highs back into the 80’s,

Friday and next weekend will be sunny and mild. We will be on a slow warming trend the three days after seeing the remains from Irma leaving Alabama late Thursday. By Sunday, we will be experiencing toastier conditions.

Besides Irma moving up the Florida coast now, we have two tropical systems.

Jose is a category three hurricane right now. It has weakened from yesterday since the storm is currently dealing with shear. In the next several days, the storm is expected to continue dealing with shear. This means we will likely see further de-intensification. Current projections show the storms doing a full loop in the Atlantic as a high builds in to its south to first send it northward. Then, during the process of that high breaking down and a new ridge developing north of it to push it east, south, then back to a westward track. Eventually, models show Jose being picked up by a mid-level trough over the Atlantic and send it back out into the Atlantic. For this reason we are not currently concerned about this storm, but we will continue to monitor it.

Off the coast of Africa is a new tropical complex that will likely develop into a more organized storm in the coming days. Good news is though, it will quickly be pushed northward, further into the Atlantic.

Reggie Roakes