Storm Chances Increase… Watching Tropics… Tuesday Eve Forecast Update #alwx @wvua23

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Good Tuesday evening! Our local weather turned out very hot today, with many areas reaching the middle to upper 90s. The heat advisory today has been extended to include all of west and central Alabama on Wednesday. Expect dangerous heat again, with a heat index over 105..

A few scattered showers and storms are possible Wednesday afternoon, but it will not rain all day or everywhere.

Rain chances will increase by Thursday and into the first half of the weekend.

We are carefully watching a surface low move into the northeast Gulf. Showers and storms are quickly beginning to develop over the northern and eastern Gulf of Mexico in response to the uplift. These storms will begin to get better organized, and surface pressure will begin to fall soon after. All indications are the low will organize and become a tropical storm sometime on Wednesday. Some data hints the storm could become a weak hurricane before landfall sometime on Saturday, but the chance of that actually happening is rather low. Landfall appears to be somewhere along the Louisiana Gulf Coast, but anyone from the upper Texas Coast to the Alabama Gulf Coast should stay tuned to updates. Please note… this system is not yet organized, and there could be some sudden changes in track and intensity as a central surface low becomes better defined. Keep checking back with us for updates.

Alabama Gulf Coast Impacts: There are a few showers and storms on the coast this afternoon, but storms are scattered. Showers and storms will become more widespread on Wednesday and Thursday in areas around Gulf Shores, Pensacola and Destin. Look for a good chance of rain at times on Friday and into Saturday as well, but there will be breaks in the rain. Wind is not expected to become a problem on the Alabama Gulf Coast or Florida Panhandle, but keep in mind, forecast changes are possible. By Sunday and Monday, conditions are expected to improve, as the low moves inland and weakens. Rip Current and large waves will be an issue along the central Gulf Coast, especially Thursday through Saturday.

Central Alabama Impacts: I expect a good chance of scattered showers and storms on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Keep in mind, rain will come through in waves. We’ll need to keep an eye on any localized flooding, as the tropical system interacts with a stationary front across the state. Often times, there is an enhanced zone of rain along a boundary, when a tropical feature is involved.

Again, changes are possible with the forecast…

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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Thoughts on Tropical System in Gulf… Tuesday PM Update #alwx @wvua23

Tropics

Good Tuesday afternoon! We are carefully watching a surface low move into the northeast Gulf. Showers and storms are quickly beginning to develop over the northern and eastern Gulf of Mexico in response to the uplift. These storms will begin to get better organized, and surface pressure will begin to fall soon after. All indications are the low will organize and become a tropical storm sometime on Wednesday. Some data hints the storm could become a weak hurricane before landfall sometime on Saturday, but the chance of that actually happening is rather low. Landfall appears to be somewhere along the Louisiana Gulf Coast, but anyone from the upper Texas Coast to the Alabama Gulf Coast should stay tuned to updates.

Please note… this system is not yet organized, and there could be some sudden changes in track and intensity as a central surface low becomes better defined. Keep checking back with us for updates.

Alabama Gulf Coast Impacts: There are a few showers and storms on the coast this afternoon, but storms are scattered. Showers and storms will become more widespread on Wednesday and Thursday in areas around Gulf Shores, Pensacola and Destin. Look for a good chance of rain at times on Friday and into Saturday as well, but there will be breaks in the rain. Wind is not expected to become a problem on the Alabama Gulf Coast or Florida Panhandle, but keep in mind, forecast changes are possible. By Sunday and Monday, conditions are expected to improve, as the low moves inland and weakens. Rip Current and large waves will be an issue along the central Gulf Coast, especially Thursday through Saturday.

Central Alabama Impacts: I expect a good chance of scattered showers and storms on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Keep in mind, rain will come through in waves. We’ll need to keep an eye on any localized flooding, as the tropical system interacts with a stationary front across the state. Often times, there is an enhanced zone of rain along a boundary, when a tropical feature is involved.

Again, changes are possible with the forecast…

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott