Showers on Wednesday… Cooler Air Ahead… Tuesday Afternoon Local Forecast Update #alwx @wvua23

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This discussion will focus on our local forecast. Go to wvua23.com and click on weather blog under the weather tab for tropical updates.

Expect an increase in clouds overnight, with temperatures dropping into the middle 70s.

For central Alabama, Hurricane Michael will be a very minor event. We’ll get breezy conditions on Wednesday and Thursday, with rain amounts will be light in our part of the state, with many areas dealing with scattered showers and overcast on Wednesday into Wednesday night. Michael will help to pull southward cooler and drier air on Thursday, along with a sharp upper air trough. Expect a very refreshing fall airmass to settle over our area through the weekend. Highs on Saturday will top out in the middle 70s, with overnight lows in the lower 50s.

Next week, we’ll be watching another front approach from the northwest. This will bring a few showers to start off next week, with cooler air temperatures to follow.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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Michael Now a Major Hurricane… Tuesday Afternoon Update 4pm #alwx @wvua23

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Hurricane Hunter aircraft continues to investigate Hurricane Michael and winds continue to increase. At 4pm, winds were increased to 120mph, with a pressure down to 957mb. Michael is moving north at 12mph, directly towards the FL panhandle.

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Landfall is expected around midday on Wednesday, as a high end category 3 hurricane, with winds at 125mph. The center of the track will pass the eye directly over Panama City, but keep in mind, there could be a 40 mile error to the east or west with the dead center of the storm. Impacts will extend well east and west of the center.

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In terms of storm surge, water rises of 2-4ft are possible between Orange Beach and Destin. 6-9ft water rise can be expected between Destin and Panama City. Water rises of 9-12ft are likely between Panama City and Cedar Key, including the entire big bend area of FL. This will be a significant storm surge event for that area!

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As for the wind aspect, there will be no issues in our area. Winds will range from 10 to 20mph in our area, which is basically the same as what we’ve had today. There will be a fair number of showers in the area on Wednesday.

For the Alabama gulf coast, I expect some strong wind and some rain, but the core of the damaging winds will likely remain east of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach. There is a tropical storm warning for the Alabama gulf coast, with a hurricane warning for the entire Florida panhandle.

The storm will be moving fast, so conditions will begin to improve along the Alabama coast and Florida panhandle by the evening hours on Wednesday.

For central Alabama, this will be a very minor event. We’ll get breezy conditions on Wednesday and Thursday, with rain amounts will be light in our part of the state, with many areas dealing with scattered showers and overcast on Wednesday into Wednesday night. Michael will help to pull southward cooler and drier air on Thursday, along with a sharp upper air trough. Expect a very refreshing fall airmass to settle over our area through th eweekend.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Very Serious Threat to Gulf Coast… Tuesday Morning Thoughts on Hurricane Michael. 10am #alwx @wvua23

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Good Tuesday morning! The latest information coming from the hurricane hunter aircraft inside Hurricane Michael is not good. The storm continues to organize and improve, with decreasing pressure and increasing wind speed. Winds have increased to 110mph, and pressure is down to 965mb. Michael is just shy of major hurricane status right now and will likely gain category 3 status by next advisory.

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All models are in excellent agreement that Michael will move inland somewhere between Destin and Apalachicola, with the center target close to Panama City. The NHC has the storm making landfall as a powerful category 3 hurricane around midday on Wednesday, with winds sustained at 125 or higher at landfall. Conditions are going downhill now along the Florida panhandle, with increasing waves and wind. The core of the heavier rain will begin just before sunrise Wednesday, with rapidly increasing wind speeds during the early morning hours for areas along the Alabama gulf coast and east towards the FL big bend. Storm surge for areas east of Destin will be extreme, with a 9ft or higher water rise expected. This will be maximized near and just to the east of the center.

For the Alabama gulf coast, I expect some strong wind and some rain, but the core of the damaging winds will likely remain east of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach. There is a tropical storm warning for the Alabama gulf coast, with a hurricane warning for the entire Florida panhandle.

The storm will be moving fast, so conditions will begin to improve along the Alabama coast and Florida panhandle by the evening hours on Wednesday.

For central Alabama, this will be a very minor event. We’ll get breezy conditions on Wednesday and Thursday, with rain amounts will be light in our part of the state, with many areas dealing with scattered showers and overcast on Wednesday into Wednesday night. Michael will help to pull southward cooler and drier air on Thursday, along with a sharp upper air trough. Expect a very refreshing fall airmass to settle over our area through th eweekend.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott