Rain Chances Increasing… Forecast Update – 4:30pm Monday #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday afternoon! Our local weather remains cloudy and cooler than average this afternoon. At 4pm, temperatures were generally in the upper 70s to low 80s, which is very rare for late August. A few sprinkles and light rain is falling over portions of west and southwest Alabama, but heavy rain is not expected tonight. Lows will drop into the upper 60s, under a cloudy sky.

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We’re watching the progression of Tropical Storm Harvey this afternoon, slowly move east, back into the Gulf of Mexico. This trend will continue through Wednesday morning, then the center of Harvey will turn northeast and move inland over extreme east Texas and western Louisiana. By Friday afternoon, Harvey should be a tropical depression, near Memphis, TN. Given that track, Alabama will be on the wet side of the circulation. Here’s a computer model output on the potential rain amounts for our area over the next 7 days.

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Much of our area could get 2 to 4 inches of rain beginning Tuesday night and lasting through Saturday. Flooding is unlikely in our area, but we’ll keep an eye on trends. Notice the Houston area… Additional rain amounts over 15 inches! That portion of southeast Texas has already picked up 30 to 40 inches of rain!

Keep in mind, rain will come in waves through mid to late week and carry into the holiday weekend. I do not expect it to rain all day or night non-stop. The wettest day this week appears to be Wednesday and Thursday, followed by more scattered showers and storms by Friday and over the weekend. While changes are possible to the forecast, I don’t expect the flooding like people west of the state are dealing with now. We will carefully watch for the potential of a spin-up tornado or two by Wednesday afternoon and on Thursday, as wind shear increases across the area due to the position of the remnants of Harvey.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

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Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott