Less Humid Air For Now… Tropical Trouble… Wednesday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Wednesday Afternoon! A weak cold front has pushed southward across Alabama today, allowing humidity levels to gradually drop this afternoon, and dewpoints will continue to decrease across the state through Friday. Expect skies to become clear tonight, with temperatures in the lower 70s. Areas north of Tuscaloosa and Birmingham will drop into the 60s overnight.

Thursday and Friday includes mostly sunny skies and low humidity. Highs will top out in the upper 80s both afternoons. With dewpoints in the upper 50s across our area, I expect conditions to feel more comfortable. Expect middle 60s Friday morning and upper 60s on Saturday morning at sunrise.

Saturday will feature a return of some clouds across our area as Harvey approaches the Texas coast. Clouds from that system should stream into our area, with a few showers possible as well.

Sunday through Wednesday of next week will highly depend on what happens with Harvey. We have conflicting model data due to the complicated nature of the upper air setup.

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Hurricane hunters have found that a well defined circulation has re-developed with the remnants of Harvey, so an upgrade to a tropical depression has occurred earlier this morning. Winds are currently at 35mph, but an increase to tropical storm status is likely today.Let me be clear, that there is a lot of uncertainty with Harvey, as steering currents are weak and interaction with an approaching trough could cause forecast track changes. At this moment, landfall is expected along the central Texas Gulf Coast sometime Friday night or early Saturday. Models agree that rapid intensification will likely occur leading up to landfall. There is a real chance this could be a strong hurricane at landfall, and there isn’t much time for people to prepare. A hurricane watch has been posted for a large portion of the Texas coast.

After Friday, Harvey will likely stall out or do a small loop near the Texas coast, dumping horrific amounts of rain. Some areas could see over 20″ of rain in a zone from the Texas/Louisiana boarder down to Houston to Corpus Christi. The next part is the tricky part… Does Harvey then turn northeast into the upper air trough. If that indeed occurs, things could get pretty wet across central Alabama by early next week. We’ll watch trends carefully over the next few days.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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Harvey is Back and The News Is Not Good… Wednesday Thoughts… 11am #alwx @wvua23

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Good morning! Hurricane hunters have found that a well defined circulation has re-developed with the remnants of Harvey, so an upgrade to a tropical depression has occurred. Winds are currently at 35mph, but an increase to tropical storm status is likely today.

Let me be clear, that there is a lot of uncertainty with Harvey, as steering currents are weak and interaction with an approaching trough could cause forecast track changes. At this moment, landfall is expected along the central Texas Gulf Coast sometime Friday night or early Saturday. Models agree that rapid intensification will likely occur leading up to landfall. There is a real chance this could be a strong hurricane at landfall, and there isn’t much time for people to prepare. A hurricane watch has been posted for a large portion of the Texas coast.

After Friday, Harvey will likely stall out or do a small loop near the Texas coast, dumping horrific amounts of rain. Some areas could see over 20″ of rain in a zone from the Texas/Louisiana boarder down to Houston to Corpus Christi. The next part is the tricky part… Does Harvey then turn northeast into the upper air trough. If that indeed occurs, things could get pretty wet across central Alabama by early next week. We’ll watch trends carefully over the next few days.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott