Rain & Storms on Thursday, Some Strong… Nice Weekend! Wednesday Forecast Update – 6pm #alwx @wvua23

Regional RPM 12km.png

Good Wednesday afternoon! New model data this evening continues to suggest coastal storms will limit the severe weather risk across west and central Alabama. At this time, widespread severe weather across any portion of central Alabama appears unlikely. Above is a look at the 4km RPM, which has been very consistent on the idea of coastal storms limiting or even preventing severe weather issues across our part of the state.

Severe Risk Tonight 2.png

Above is a map that highlights areas roughly near and northwest of I-59 in a low end risk of storms becoming strong to severe. The higher risk of a storm becoming severe will be over northwest Alabama, northern Mississippi and western Tennessee, generally northwest of Fayette, Jasper and Cullman. The time frame for storms to become strong to severe will be 3pm through midnight Thursday night. If storms can actually become severe across northwest Alabama, the main risk will be isolated damaging winds, isolated large hail and an isolated tornado.

While I think there is a high probability coastal storms will limit the risk of storms becoming severe across portions of west and central Alabama, if coastal storms are not as widespread as expected or are not there to block the inflow of unstable air into central Alabama, the risk could increase. Keep an eye on this and keep checking back with us for updates as this is a fluid situation and sudden changes are possible.

By the time you wake up Friday morning, storms will be long gone and our local weather will be dry and sunshine will quickly return.

7 Day Forecast - Offset Lows - PM.png

The weekend forecast is looking very nice, with a high approaching the 80 degree mark on Friday and Saturday. Look for plenty of sunshine Friday and Saturday, but clouds will increase on Sunday.

Our next system to watch arrives on Monday, with a good chance of rain and storms. At the moment, the severe weather risk for Monday remains very low. Models agree that coastal convection and the position of the surface low could prevent severe weather issues on Monday, but we will keep an eye on it. There is no cold air in sight.

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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