Watching The Severe Risk This Weekend… Thoughts on This… 10:30pm Thursday #alwx @wvua23
January 19, 2017 Leave a comment
Good Thursday night! At 10:30pm, the main batch of rain and storms have ended across west and central Alabama, with only a few showers lingering around. The risk of a few showers on and off will be possible tonight through midday on Friday, but widespread rain is not expected.
A small scale disturbance will kick off a cluster of rain and storms west of Alabama around midnight Friday night. Storms will grow in intensity late Friday night, as uplift, wind shear and instability rapidly increases across the area. The primary concern for storms becoming strong to severe will reach the west Alabama state line around 3am Saturday morning, cross east of I-65 sometime during the mid to late morning Saturday, and out of our area around lunch on Saturday. The timing could change a little, but confidence is high on that time-line. The greatest threat for storms to become severe will be in areas along and south of I-20. The risk is a little more limited to the north of Tuscaloosa and Birmingham, as instability will be a little lower there. The risk could easily increase or decrease, depending on how far north unstable air can make it… Either way, everyone across central Alabama needs to be alert for the potential.
Another round of strong to severe storms will be possible Saturday evening into very early Sunday morning. This risk appears more limited, as instability should be a good bit lower and wind shear not as impressive. We will carefully watch the setup, and update you if forecast changes occur.
Keep in mind, we go live non-stop on TV on WVUA during tornado warnings. You can go to wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click on Live severe weather stream to watch from your computer or smart phone. We will also facebook live severe weather coverage. Just look for WVUA23 on facebook!
For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist