Winter Wx Thoughts… Wednesday AM Update – 9am #alwx @wvua23

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Good Wednesday morning! Looking at computer model data and current environmental conditions, it sure looks like the event on Friday will be rather low impact and may not be any impact for some portions of central Alabama. Please understand, forecasting winter weather in Alabama is incredibly challenging and quick forecast changes are possible. It’s very important to keep checking back with updates as the event gets closer.

Above is some our latest computer model data. The high-resolution RPM, NAM and lower resolution GFS. The RPM and NAM agree in more of a north Alabama event, with a band of light snow late Thursday night through mid afternoon on Friday, generally north of Hamilton, Cullman and Gadsden. The GFS is slower, with the chance of a band of light snow passing over central Alabama during the day on Friday and into Friday night, with some light snow accumulations closer to the I-20 corridor. All models suggest there could be some light rain generally south of I-20 Thursday night and early Friday morning, but temperatures should be warm enough at that time for all rain; however, we will carefully watch trends. As deeper cold air moves southward across Alabama, any precip over central Alabama could transition to light snow during the day on Friday and into Friday night. The big question is… will there be any precip over our area as temperatures get cold enough for snow…

The bottom line: There is still a risk of a wintry mix to some light snow across portions of central Alabama. It is highly uncertain where that band of light snow will develop. Yes, it could remain over far north Alabama, with no snow across central Alabama, or it could be further south like the GFS suggest and produce some minor snow accumulations across central Alabama. Either way, models are not suggesting this be a major event at this time. We’ll continue to watch trends carefully!

For more updates, go to the weather blog at wvua23.com, scroll to the weather tab and click weather blog. Updates are also on our Facebook and Twitter page. My twitter is @RichardWVUA23 and facebook is WVUA23RichardScott

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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