Isolated Showers Tonight… Colder Weekend… Friday Forecast Update – 4:30pm #alwx @wvua23
November 18, 2016 Leave a comment
Good Friday afternoon! At 4pm, a nice line of heavy rain and thunderstorms is lined up from Memphis to Houston and steadily moving east. If you look at a radar loop this afternoon, you may get excited about the rain coming our way. Don’t get your hopes up… As the line of rain and storms moves east after sunset, instability will drop off a good bit and moisture will be rather limited over Alabama; plus, the upper air support will be pulling away from the area. This will cause the line of storms to fizzle out into a few sprinkles or light showers as it crosses into west Alabama. Some areas over west Alabama may get up to 0.10″, but most areas will get at best a few sprinkles. This is not a drought reliever.
Temperatures will drop significantly behind the cold front, with highs struggling to reach 60 on Saturday. Areas near and north of Birmingham will remain in the 50s all day Saturday, with a chilly north wind. Expect a fast return to sunshine by 10am across central Alabama. Alabama takes on Chattanooga Saturday night in Tuscaloosa. Temperatures will be in the 40s during that game with a north breeze. Kickoff in Bryant-Denny is at 6pm.
If winds go calm Saturday night, we can expect a widespread frost and a light freeze for much of west and central Alabama Sunday morning at sunrise. During the day on Sunday, highs will only top out in the upper 50s, despite plenty of sunshine. Expect a heavy frost and light freeze Sunday night, with a low of 28 to 31 for our entire area. Another frosty morning can be expected Tuesday morning as well, especially near and north of I-20.
Highs will warm into the low 60s on Monday, with some spots reaching 70 on Tuesday. A weak cold front will move through the area on Wednesday of next week, with a fair chance of scattered showers. Based off the latest forecast data, rain amounts with this next front will likely remain under 1/2 an inch. Our hope is models become more aggressive with the rain next week to give some drought relief. Keep checking back for forecast updates as we get closer.
Thanksgiving Day is looking very nice and becoming sunny!
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WVUA Chief Meteorologist