Warm Weather Continues…Cool Down On the Way!…Saturday Evening Update 7:30p.m.
October 15, 2016 Leave a comment
Good Saturday evening! It was yet another mild day across central Alabama with highs in the low to mid 80’s. Marengo County was the lottery winner today with rain since it caught an isolated shower in the afternoon that has now come to an end. Tonight, skies will clear out for most as temperatures drop to a mild low in the lower 60’s, with areas north of Birmingham will seeing upper 50’s.
Tomorrow closes off the weekend with a few extra clouds on the eastern side of the state, east of the I-65 line, to start in the morning. During the day many on the eastern side of the state will see the opportunity for a stray shower, but overall most will remain dry. Areas of west Alabama, west of the I-65 line will see more sun than clouds.
Monday starts off the work week with still dry conditions staying firm in the forecast. Temperatures will continue the general warming trend until Wednesday when highs will be knocking at the 90° mark. After that though, Thursday, an approaching front starts to break down high-pressure ridging over Alabama, allowing for some extra clouds to develop during the day. Thursday night right now looks to be the first opportunity for rain to start to arrive with the front; however, there is still a fair amount of uncertainty on when exactly the front will arrive. Likely, most of the day Friday will have scattered showers. Once rain and clouds arrive, temperatures will start to gradually drop-off. Along with this coming front, the first real opportunity for rain will arrive for Alabama, which is MUCH needed for drought conditions: unfortunately, some models are showing this front pushing through very fast with its low not pulling in enough moisture to get a real large amount of showers and storms started.
Next weekend, uncertainty continues with models on how soon the front will pass through the state. Right now, the general census is that some showers will linger into Saturday morning, before clearing late in the day. Once the front passes, much cooler temperatures arrive, bringing an end to both a lack in rain and fall-like weather.
Right now with the tropics, Nicole is still a category 1 hurricane with sustained winds at 85mph. The storm will continue to track northward over the next several days. The system has already lost its real visual appearances as a hurricane since it is in very unfavorable waters. Sea surface temperatures in the northern Atlantic are not very favorable for tropical development since they need warm water to feed off of. As Nicole tracks further north, lower sea surface temperatures and stronger coriolis effects will gradually weaken the system into a post-tropical storm, and it will eventually break down in the northern Atlantic later in the the coming work week. Swell is still possible from Nicole on Bermuda and on the east coast of the United States.
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