Watching Tropics… Friday Update – 4pm #alwx @wvua23

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We’re watching an interesting little feature approaching Key West, Florida this afternoon. There’s a very obvious swirl and weak surface low between south Florida and northern Cuba, moving west. While it’s hard to see on a still image, a visible satellite loop shows a well-defined swirl. The storms have been blown southeast of the center of circulation due to northwesterly wind shear, so the chances of this becoming a tropical storm is rather low, but not impossible. If the wind shear were to relax some, the chances of development would increase. The National Hurricane Center mentions the chance of this developing is at 40%, but even if it develops, wind shear will limit organization and strengthening.

Models do not really develop this feature and keep it on a west track across the southern Gulf of Mexico. We’ll keep an eye on it, but the chances of this becoming a dangerous system is unlikely.

There are a few more tropical waves in the central Atlantic, but none are threatening land at this time.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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