Hot Days… Active Tropics… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4:25pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Tuesday afternoon! It’s a hot summer day, with a good dose of sunshine. Temperatures have warmed into the middle 90s across most of the state, with a heat index near or just over 100. A few tiny showers have formed generally near HWY 80, but most of the state is and will remain dry this evening. Expect temperatures to slowly drop into the 70s after 10pm, under a mostly clear sky.

Wednesday will feature identical conditions, with highs reaching the middle 90s. A heat index will approach 100 to 103 during the mid afternoon hours. There is a small chance of a stray afternoon shower or storm.

As a developing tropical storm moves into the northeast Gulf Thursday, expect a light northeast or north breeze to develop, which will help to pull lower humidity into the state Thursday evening and on Friday. A passing shower is possible on Thursday, but most areas will remain dry. Labor Day weekend is looking perfect, with less humid air and typical summer temperatures.

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The tropics are very active! We’ve got 2 tropical depressions and a hurricane in the Atlantic basin, with one of those tropical depressions in the central Gulf of Mexico. This should become a tropical storm this evening or tonight. Tropical depression # 8 is located near the outer banks of North Carolina, and should become a tropical storm soon. Hurricane Gaston is getting better organized, with winds back up to 110mph. Gaston will approach the Azores this weekend in the central or east Atlantic as a tropical storm. Here’s maps and discussions from the National Hurricane Center on each of these storms.

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Above is a zoomed in map of Tropical Depression # 8, which should be a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane Thursday evening at landfall. Landfall looks to occur in the big bend of Florida. A hurricane watch is in yellow and a tropical storm watch is in peach. Warnings will likely be issued for that area in the next 24 hours. We’ll be on the northwest side of the storm, so expect a nice breeze on Thursday into Friday, but any other impacts are not expected at this time. If you have a beach trip planned to Alabama’s Gulf Coast, just expect large waves on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, with little to no rain. The main rains will be in areas east of Panama City. We’ll keep an eye on the track incase any shift west…

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was
located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 87.3 West.  The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h).   A
turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a
turn toward the north-northeast on Wednesday.  On the forecast
track, the center will approach the coast in the watch area on
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or early
Wednesday.

The minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight
was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 75.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h).
This general motion is expected tonight with a turn toward the
northeast forecast on Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of the depression will be near the Outer Banks of North
Carolina this evening and overnight.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and
the depression could become a tropical storm overnight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Gaston was located
near latitude 32.6 North, longitude 51.9 West. Gaston is moving
toward the east-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general
motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next
couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).

 

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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