Scattered Storms Likely… Tropical Action… Thursday Forecast Update – 3:50pm #alwx @wvua23

7 Day Forecast - Offset Lows - PM.png

Good Thursday afternoon! As of 4pm, numerous showers and storms are occurring over central Alabama, with storms moving northeast. While storms are moving in a northeast direction, they seem to be back-building west a bit. Expect the coverage of scattered to numerous storms to gradually lessen late tonight, with some patchy fog developing overnight.

With an upper air trough digging across the central US, I expect the number of storms to remain high on radar, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. It’s possible to get a few overnight storms as well, so if you have outdoor plans this evening through Sunday, it would be a good idea to take the umbrella. A weak surface front will move through the area Sunday night, reducing the risk of rain drastically on Monday. In-fact, there’s no organized rain chances for the early to mid portions of next week.

The tropics are beginning to heat up a bit, as we have Tropical Storm Fiona and several new tropical waves in the east Atlantic. Tropical Storm Fiona will likely turn north well before approaching the US coastline. All models indicate a sharp northward turn in about 5 days.

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Here’s the discussion on Tropical Storm Fiona from the National Hurricane Center:

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was
located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 41.3 West. Fiona is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A motion between
northwest and west-northwest is expected during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so,
followed by gradual weakening over the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

We also note a strong tropical wave in the east Atlantic is getting better organized. Some tropical models are hinting at this feature moving in the direction of the Lesser Antilles in the next 5 to 7 days. We’ll carefully watch the next system, however, we have time to keep an eye on it. Too soon to know if US impacts are possible or if the tropical wave will even develop at all.

Tropical Close Up Loop Storm Model Tracks.png

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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