Hot Days Continue… Isolated Storms… Thursday Forecast Update – 3:40pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Thursday afternoon! Temperatures are hot once again this afternoon, with air temperatures in the lower to middle 90s and a heat index near 100. A couple of tiny showers have popped up on radar this afternoon, but the majority of Alabama will remain dry today. The summer ridge responsible for the current heat will intensify over the weekend, causing temperatures to rise some.

Lows tonight will drop into the lower 70s, under a mostly clear sky. Rain chances for Friday through Sunday will range from 10 to 20%, which means most areas will not get rain. These are the typical summer type of isolated storms. The best chance of getting a quick shower or storm will happen during the early to late afternoon. Highs will reach the upper 90s in spots on Saturday and Sunday, with a heat index of 103-107.

A weak surface front will drift into Alabama on Monday and Tuesday. I expect a fairly good coverage of scattered storms both days, which will help to cool some areas off. The risk of scattered storms on Monday and Tuesday stand at 40% for the moment.

The tropics are quiet for the moment, although, some of the long range data is hinting at development in about 10 days from now. We’ll update you if anything becomes organized.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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Hot Days Continue… Iso. PM Storms Possible… Wednesday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Wednesday afternoon! Our local weather has turned out hot this afternoon, with most areas in the lower 90s. With a higher dewpoint, heat index is becoming an issue once again, with a heat index approaching 100 in many areas. As the upper air ridge continues to pump up and moisture continues to increase from the Gulf, expect dangerous heat index values by Friday and over the weekend. Meanwhile, north of this ridge, there is a moderate risk of severe weather for the rest of today and tonight. There is a significant damaging wind risk through tonight for areas near Chicago to Indianapolis to Dayton and Columbus. There is no severe risk down this way, as the upper air ridge will deflect the energy to the north of Alabama.

Temperatures will remain mild and conditions will feel muggy this evening and into tonight. Expect lows in the lower 70s, under a clear sky.

Expect highs to reach the mid to even upper 90s in spots Thursday through the weekend. Heat index will average 100 to 105 each afternoon, especially by Friday, Saturday and Sunday. I can’t rule out a heat activated shower or storm each afternoon, but most of you will miss out on the rain through Sunday.

The ridge will weaken and a weak front will slip into north Alabama on Monday and Tuesday, bringing a slightly better chance of scattered storms.

The tropics are quiet for the moment, although, some of the long range data is hinting at development in about 10 days from now. We’ll update you if anything becomes organized.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Hot, Humid Days Ahead… Tuesday Forecast Update – 4pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Tuesday afternoon! Our local weather is hot this afternoon, with temperatures reaching the lower 90s in many areas. Dewpoints are coming up, which is decreasing the comfort level a good bit. Expect temperatures to gradually cool into the mid 80s by 7pm, mid 70s at 10pm and lower 70s by midnight. Skies will remain mostly clear overnight.

An upper air ridge will continue to bake our local weather this week, with highs reaching the mid 90s each afternoon. A south wind underneath the upper air ridge will pump tropical moisture into the hot airmass, causing the heat index to reach 100 to 105 all week and into the weekend. With increasing moisture, I can’t rule out an isolated afternoon storm each afternoon this week, but the upper air ridge will prevent widespread rain from developing.

The ridge will begin to weaken late in the weekend, allowing for a slightly better chance of scattered, afternoon storms. Highs will drop into the lower 90s early next week, with a decent risk of scattered storms, especially during the afternoon hours.

The tropics are quiet for the moment, although, some of the long range data is hinting at development in about 10 days from now. We’ll update you if anything becomes organized.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Hot Days Ahead… Monday Forecast Update -4:30pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday afternoon! At 5:34pm this afternoon, we officially begin Summer! This will be the longest day of the year in terms of daylight hours. After this point, days will slowly start getting shorter and shorter as we approach Fall. Humidity isn’t all that bad today, with lower dewpoints, so the air temperatures are bearable, especially in the shade. That trend will change this week, as dewpoints return into the 70s by late week and this weekend.

Expect temperatures to drop into the middle to upper 60s overnight, under a clear sky. We’ll enjoy plenty of sunshine Tuesday through Friday, as a surface high and upper air high keeps our area very dry and quiet. As the upper air heat bubble increases by mid to late week, expect temperatures to warm into the middle 90s. Heat index will top 100 as early as Friday, due to the higher dewpoints. Lows will also modify into the 70s.

Expect a small chance of a few scattered weekend storms, with increasing rain chances by early next week.

Tropical Storm Danielle formed this morning in the extreme southwest Gulf of Mexico. This storm has winds at 45mph and is making landfall now in central Mexico. This will not impact the US…

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

Tropical Storm Danielle Has Formed… Monday Update – 8am #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday morning! Tropical Storm Danielle Has officially formed this morning, but it will be a very short lived storm, as Danielle will make landfall shortly after noon today in Mexico, well south of Texas. This is a weak storm, so the only concern for the portion of Mexico it will impact is flooding and mud slides. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016
700 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

…DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON…
…DANIELLE SPREADING RAINS ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO…
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.6N 96.0W
ABOUT 95 MI…150 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI…160 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danielle was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 96.0 West. Danielle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next day or so. On
the forecast track, the center of Danielle is expected to move
inland over eastern Mexico later today or tonight.

Recent reports from an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance
aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to
near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening
is forecast before Danielle makes landfall in Mexico later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure recently measured by the reconnaissance
aircraft was 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

Richard Scott

WVUA23 Chief Meteorologist

 

Monday Marks First Official Day of Summer…Sunday Evening Update 8:45 p.m.

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Good Sunday Evening! Things started a little gloomy for most across central Alabama, but that quickly changed before lunchtime. By the time the afternoon rolled around, skies were clear, humidity was low, and there was a very nice breeze to make for a great day to get out and celebrate Father’s Day with Dad. Tonight temperatures will drop into the upper 60’s for most as skies continue to remain clear. Monday will mark the first official day of Summer by feeling like it. Temperatures in the afternoon will be in the low 90’s with humidity slowly back on the increase. The good news is, skies will still remain mostly clear, besides a few cumulus clouds.

Tuesday will be even hotter and even more humid as winds shift back to a southerly flow, bringing in hot, humid air in from the Gulf. This will help fuel the opportunity for showers and storm to develop in the afternoons Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.

Next weekend will continue to remain hot as a front approaches the state. This frontal system will provide some additional uplift to get a few extra showers and storms to develop throughout the day, both Saturday and Sunday.

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Looking at the tropics, satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located over the Bay of Campeche about 175 miles east of Tuxpan, Mexico has become a little better defined today. The associated showers and thunderstorms are currently not well organized. However, an increase in the organization of this activity could lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone at any time before the low moves inland over eastern Mexico on Monday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to investigate the low pressure area. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, areas of heavy rain are expected over portions of eastern Mexico tonight through Tuesday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of high terrain.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Reggie Roakes

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Twitter: MetRoakes

Instagram: Reggie Roakes

Tropical Depression Four Named…Mexico/Yucatan Peninsula Impact

 Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located over the Bay of Campeche about 175 miles east of Tuxpan, Mexico has become a little better defined today. The associated showers and thunderstorms are currently not well organized. However, an increase in the organization of this activity could lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone at any time before the low moves inland over eastern Mexico on Monday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to investigate the low pressure area. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, areas of heavy rain are expected over portions of eastern Mexico tonight through Tuesday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of high terrain. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent


Reggie Roakes

WVUA 23 News