Severe Storms on Thursday… Dry Friday/Saturday… Wednesday Update – 5:15pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Wednesday afternoon! We’re carefully watching for the potential for severe weather issues on Thursday, especially Thursday afternoon and early evening, as a powerful storm system impacts the state. Model guidance has really increased the parameters for severe weather across the state, so my concern for issues is growing a bit. There are still some factors that could limit the risks, especially if there is widespread morning to midday rain across the area. Widespread rain would limit surface heating and decrease the amount of instability or energy for storms to work with.

Based off current thoughts, and this could change some, a few supercell thunderstorms may develop over west and northwest Alabama after lunch on Thursday. These will track in a northeast direction and could produce damaging wind, large hail and a tornado. The individual cells should merge into a squall line across central Alabama during the early evening hours and progress east. As that happens, the risk of widespread severe weather will be lessening, hints the “lower” risk over east Alabama. Clearly, the “higher” risk of severe weather will occur over west Alabama, where surface based instability will be at it’s peak.

As the time-frame goes: Severe storms are possible from noon to 8pm west of I-65 and 2pm to 11pm east of I-65. That does not mean you will have severe weather for that long of a time-period. That is just when the window of opportunity is open for severe weather.

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Our weather will turn cooler and drier on Friday, with highs in the 60s. A quick warm up can be expected Easter Weekend, with highs in the 70s. Rain moves in on Sunday, so have the rain gear for any Easter plans. Next week is looking nice between Monday night and Wednesday.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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