3:30PM Radar Check… Tuesday… #alwx @wvua23

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At 3:30pm, lots of rain is spreading into west Alabama from the southwest. This rain is not the severe portion of the event. At the moment, there are no current severe watches or warnings in our coverage area. We do have a flash flood watch for all of west and central AL for the heavy rain potential this evening.

As the surface low kicks to the north, the heavy rain will also push to the north, with unstable air following the rain from the south. As individual supercell thunderstorms develop to our southwest, this activity will move into west Alabama, mainly after 6pm, then continue northeast through the overnight hours.

What to expect: A very deep surface low will move across northwest Mississippi, pulling in deep tropical moisture and instability into an environment with incredible amounts of uplift and wind shear. This setup favors supercell thunderstorms this evening and into the overnight hours, and individual supercells stand a greater chance of producing tornadoes, hail and damaging wind. This will be a fast event, as a dry line will race across the state from southwest to northeast, bringing an end to the threat. Some tornadoes that develop could be strong and cause significant damage. There is a chance of a few strong tornadoes in areas mainly to the south of I-20, especially south of HWY 80. Damaging winds of 70mph area possible within some of these storms, as well as large hail of quarter to golf ball size. Given these storms will be scattered supercells, you may not have any problems at all, if the storms happen to dodge your local area. Unfortunately, if you area directly impacted by a supercell, you could have big problems.

What time:

For southwest Alabama, including cities west of Reform, Eutaw & Demopolis, you’re looking at a threat of severe storms between 6pm and 11pm. While you will not have severe weather that entire time, that’s just when the window of possibility for severe weather exists.

For areas near Hamilton, Tuscaloosa, Fayette, Jasper, Demopolis, Marion, Clanton, Birmingham, expect the risk of severe weather to begin after 6pm, and could last as late as 1am before ending.

For areas across east and northeast Alabama, expect the risk of severe weather to begin after 9pm, ending by 3am. This includes cities near Talladega, Anniston, Gadsden, Cullman, Oneonta, and Centre.

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We will be on TV on WVUA non-stop during tornado warnings for all of west, central and east Alabama in the Birmingham TV market area. We can be heard live on Moody Radio 88.9fm in the Tuscaloosa/Birmingham area, 89.5fm in the Selma area, 91.9fm in the Dixons Mills area if you lose power.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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