Severe Storms Tuesday Eve/Night… Monday Update – 3:30pm #alwx @wvua23

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Good Monday afternoon! At 3:30pm, after looking at all of our current data, not much has changed for what we expect Tuesday evening and Tuesday night. There’s no doubt, there is a substantial risk of severe weather across west and central Alabama. The only question is the amount of instability. If there is little to no surface based instability in our area, the risk of severe weather will be greatly reduced, however, models continue to depict enough instability to cause issues, especially south of HWY 80. I’m really concerned for south Alabama, as there could be a few strong tornadoes in that part of the state. Please understand, everyone is in a risk of severe storms tomorrow evening and tomorrow night, but the highest potential for severe storms will increase the further into south Alabama you go.

What to expect: Supercell storms will develop and move into the state Tuesday evening and quickly move out late Tuesday night. These storms could produce damaging winds, tornadoes and large hail. The best chance of tornadoes will be over the southern half of Alabama, but a few isolated tornadoes are possible as far north as Hamilton and Cullman. A few tormadoes could be strong over portions of central and south Alabama. Depending on how high instability actually gets will determine how significant the risk is. We need instability to be lower than expected to prevent major issues.

What time: The severe risk will begin in extreme west Alabama generally after 4pm Tuesday, then push out of west Alabama, east of I-65 around 1am Wednesday morning. East Alabama, east of I-65 will deal with the risk generally after 8pm. The storms will then move into Georgia by 3am Wednesday morning.

We will be on TV on WVUA non-stop during tornado warnings for all of west, central and east Alabama in the Birmingham TV market area. We can be heard live on Moody Radio 88.9fm if they lose power.

Join us live on WVUA23 weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvua23.com
Twitter: RichardWVUA23
Facebook: WVUA23RichardScott

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