Tropical Development in Atlantic…Will Be Pushed Away From U.S. – Tuesday Update 4pm #alwx

newhurri

The map above is from the National Hurricane Center. There is a tropical system developing in the Atlantic, but a trough will deflect the storm away from the U.S.. Currently, the system has a medium chance of forming into a tropical cyclone in the next couple of days. Regardless, there will be no impact to the U.S.

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Since upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Source: National Hurricane Center

Caitlin Golden

WVUA Weather Intern

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