Cold Air is Coming! Rain at Times… Thursday Forecast Update – 3pm

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Good Thursday afternoon! If you’ve walked outside today conditions feel more like April than December. Much of west and central Alabama reached the upper 70s to lower 80s, which broke some record highs. The old record high for Tuscaloosa was 77, set in 1954. So far, Tuscaloosa’s high is 79 degrees.

If you have plans outdoors this afternoon or evening, have the rain gear handy. At 3pm, there’s not much rain falling along and near I-20, but scattered showers and storms are possible at any time. As the cold front tracks into the area from the northwest, rain will become more likely this evening, tonight and on Friday. Temperatures will remain in the 70s through 7pm, then gradually fall into the 60s. A south wind at 5 to 10mph will continue during the overnight hours. There’s a low end chance a storm could become strong to severe through 8pm, but the chance of severe weather at your house is really unlikely. We’ll watch radar trends this afternoon…

The tricky forecast comes on Friday, when a slow moving, sharp cold front tracks across the state. Areas northwest of I-20 will be in the 40s at sunrise and remain in the 40s all day. If you live along and south of I-20, you may reach the upper 60s to lower 70s during the middle to late morning, before temperatures quickly fall in your area. If you live near and southeast of Clanton or Talladega, the cold air may not reach you until after 2pm. You will know the exact moment the cold front reaches you, as temperatures rapidly fall into the 40s, within a couple hours after the front passes. Rain will continue on and off through Friday evening and Friday night. I wouldn’t be shocked if there is a little light freezing rain in areas like Hamilton and Haleyville. Everyone to the southeast of that area should just have a cold rain Friday night.

There’s a chance the rain will end by sunrise Saturday morning, with a break in the action for the first half of the day. As another disturbance tracks along the Arctic Front Saturday night and on Sunday, rain will return to Alabama. The rain will start out rather light Saturday afternoon and become heavier Saturday night and on Sunday. Periods of rain will continue through Monday night.  Temperatures will remain in the 40s all day on Saturday. Areas near and south of I-20 may warm into the lower 60s on Sunday, as the front buckles to the north a tad. That will be short lived, as cold air advection sends temperatures back into the 40s and 50s on Monday.

There’s a chance rain could end as a little light snow Monday night, but I don’t expect any accumulations at this time. We will keep an eye on road conditions north of I-20 Monday night, as temperatures drop below freezing.  Skies gradually clear out on Sunday, with a high in the lower 40s. If you live north of I-20, you may stay in the 30s all day on Tuesday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

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1:30pm Thursday Radar Update… Severe Risk Looking Very Low…

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Good Thursday afternoon! As of 1:30pm, there are no severe weather watches or warnings across west and central Alabama. We are watching showers and storms over parts of south and central Alabama, but these storms are well below severe limits as they track northeast.

The Storm Prediction Center has canceled their plans to issue a tornado watch across parts of west and central Alabama. Here’s the deal… We have plenty of fuel for thunderstorms. If you step outside, that is clearly evident. However, we are lacking two major ingredients to get organized severe weather across our area; wind shear and dynamics. That being said, we will watch any storms that develop this afternoon for organization, but I really think the risk of severe weather is low. After sunset, temperatures will cool just enough to remove any risk of strong to severe storms. We can expect a good chance of rain and some thunder during the overnight hours tonight.

There may be some strong storms south of I-20 on Friday, but the risk of severe weather is very low. A very strong cold front will drop temperatures rapidly during the day on Friday, but the front will be slow to move across the state. Areas northwest of I-20 will notice the cold air around sunrise Friday morning, while areas southeast of I-20 will warm into the 70s during the morning before cooling into the 40s during the afternoon. Rain will remain likely during the day on Friday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Isolated Risk of Severe Storms Today… Thursday Update – 10:40am

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Good Thursday morning! At 10:40am, the Storm Prediction Center has issued west and central Alabama under a slight risk of isolated severe storms this afternoon. Within that risk, the SPC is considering issuing a tornado watch for areas near and north of I-59. The atmosphere is very warm and humid, which will add fuel for storms this afternoon to become rather strong or possibly severe. There is a low end risk of an isolated tornado or damaging wind gusts within any storms that develop. The time-frame we’re concerned about will be between noon and 6pm. After 6pm, any risk of severe storms should decrease, with just rain and thunder overnight.

This is a low end risk, but have a source of severe weather information incase any storms get out of hand this afternoon. Fortunately, the best shear and dynamics are far removed from our area, so I don’t expect a major event. We’ll keep an eye on radar trends and if a tornado warning is issued, I’ll be on TV to give you the latest.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 5, 6 and 10:00 P.M. and weekends at 10PM for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Twitter: Richard_wvua