Hot Days…Storms…Tropical Action… – Monday Forecast Update 4:30pm

Sevenday_640

Good Monday afternoon! We’re looking at lots of storms on radar as of 4:30pm, with a couple reaching severe limits this afternoon. The chance of additional severe weather is unlikely for the rest of the day, but we’ll keep an eye on radar trends. The storms are cooling the air over much of west Alabama, so the storms should gradually weaken over the next few hours. East Alabama will continue to deal with strong storms through 8pm. After that, east Alabama storms should gradually weaken. There is still a chance of rain overnight, but the risk should remain scattered to isolated. If you are outdoors and a storm moves your way, go inside! Lightning will remain very intense with the storms that develo, which is pretty typical for summer storms.

A cold front and surface low is passing near Alabama this afternoon, which has helped increase the number of storms on radar. We’ll notice another uptick in rain and storms on Tuesday and Tuesday afternoon. Once we get the afternoon heating started, storms will become numerous. It will not rain all day; in-fact, most spots will only see rain for an hour and then dry weather for the rest of the day. Remember your lightning safety plans through Tuesday!

The surface cold front will move through Alabama Tuesday night and early Wednesday, which will allow a surge of drier air to reach the area on Wednesday and Thursday. I can’t rule out a storm or two both days, but the risk is much lower. Don’t expect any colder air this time of the year behind the front… Highs will reach the lower 90s on Thursday, Friday and Saturday, with lows in the lower 70s. A few afternoon storms will become possible each day on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

The tropics have become rather active today, with the development of Tropical Depression # 2. This system will move into Belize over the next few hours and then spend a few days over land. If the low makes it’s track over land, it could re-develop into a tropical storm over the southwest Gulf of Mexico. After that, the storm will quickly move into Mexico, with no US impacts…

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Advertisements

Severe T-storm Warning for Lamar, Pickens, Fayette Co until 5pm Monday

Warnings_234

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… SOUTHERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
 SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA… NORTHEASTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 417 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR REFORM…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT  30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…  MILLPORT…FAYETTE…KENNEDY…ASHCRAFT CORNER…BELK…BLOOMING
  GROVE…BANKSTON AND BERRY.

WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH WILL BREAK LARGE TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE SOME
DAMAGE…ESPECIALLY TO SMALLER STRUCTURES.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvua

 

Tropical Depression # 2 Has Formed… Monday Update 12:40pm

TD2

Good Monday midday to you! We’ve got some new information from the National Hurricane Center. Looks like Tropical Depression # 2 has formed in the western Caribbean. Good news… This system will not impact Alabama. Here’s the latest from the NHC:

HIGH-RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS FORMED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  THE SYSTEM ALSO HAS ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER.   THEREFORE THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.  SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KT.  THE CENTER IS NEARING THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE CYCLONE WILL HAVE VERY LITTLE TIME FOR INTENSIFICATION PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  SOME INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY IF THE SYSTEM EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUESDAY AS INDICATED BY THE NHC FORECAST TRACK.  THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE DECAY-SHIPS GUIDANCE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 290/11.  DYNAMICAL MODELS SHOW AN EAST-WEST RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THAT WEAKENS SOMEWHAT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SHOULD LEAD TO SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE AND FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE GFS AND ECMWF TRACKS.

THE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND EASTERN MEXICO.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
rscott@wvuatv.com
Twitter: Richard_wvu