Rain Chances Beginning to Increase – Saturday Evening Forecast Update 8:45 PM

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We’ve enjoyed a nice weekend thus far: lots of sunshine and warm temperatures across the area. But, some changes are about to start happening. You may have noticed it feeling just a bit muggier today, and I think that trend continues over the next several days as a southerly flow develops. I think at least the first half of your Father’s Day Sunday will remain dry, but clouds will increase steadily through the afternoon and a few showers are possible by the afternoon and evening. I don’t think the coverage or intensity will be overly high, but be aware of a few passing showers across the area tomorrow afternoon into the evening.

A broad trough of low pressure establishes itself mainly over the eastern half of the country by the first part of next week. Individual short wave troughs embedded within the larger trough will move across the area at times throughout Monday and Tuesday, so periods of showers and storms are possible both days. I don’t think it rains all day each day, but you will definitely need the rain gear handy. Also, an isolated strong storm or two is possible but at this time we are not expecting any organized severe weather.

The forecast confidence begins to decrease a little as we head into mid-week. The GFS wants to bring the front on through our area, thus ending rain chances at least for Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Euro hangs up the front across central Alabama, meaning rain could linger into Wednesday. For now, we trended the forecast toward the Euro because the GFS sometimes has a tendency to move frontal boundaries too quickly. I do think by the end of the week into the weekend though, we’ll be down to just the isolated popcorn variety storms during the afternoon with highs right around average levels–90.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac