Dry Weather Returns Briefly… – Sunday Evening Forecast Update 8:25 PM


Wow…the forecast kind of “busted” today. We had a complex of thunderstorms move into west Alabama during the overnight hours, and this acted to stabilize the atmosphere. Despite the afternoon sunshine, the atmosphere was not able to recover sufficiently and with an overall weak frontal boundary, we only managed to squeeze out just a few showers late this afternoon across southwestern sections of central Alabama, over portions of Greene and Sumter Counties. The front will continue southeastward, but it will be slow to do so.

Any locations that received rain this afternoon have the potential to experience some patchy fog overnight tonight. Since the front will be slow to clear our area, we may begin tomorrow with a mostly cloudy sky, but drier air will be filtering in during the day, and I expect the sky to become mostly sunny late tomorrow afternoon. Lows tomorrow night will fall back into the middle 60s, and with lower humidity, it should feel quite nice!

Tuesday looks to be our best weather day for the upcoming work week. We should see lots of sunshine and highs in the upper 80s as a relatively dry, northeast flow prevails. By Wednesday, a moister easterly to southeasterly flow will develop and we’ll see the return of cloud cover and a few rain showers to the forecast by Wednesday afternoon. Highs will still be near average though, into the mid to upper 80s.

The forecast from this point gets a little tricky because the GFS/Euro both develop at least a weak tropical system out of the disorganized thunderstorm activity currently ongoing east of the Yucatan Peninsula. It is forecast to gradually drift into the Florida Peninsula by the end of the week, so we should miss out on the heaviest rainfall. However, models are also indicating a weak trough of low pressure in the upper levels to swing our way by Thursday and Friday. This should mean an overall increase in rain showers and some thunderstorms as well for both days. But, it shouldn’t rain all day, but be aware there’s a decent shot at some rain and storms for both Thursday and Friday.

The GFS keeps us mainly dry for the weekend, but the Euro still is suggesting some showers may stick around the area. So for now, I’ve kept a low rain chance through the end of the weekend, but it doesn’t look to be anything too significant.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-TV Weather
Twitter: @WVUA_Isaac