Storms Likely on Friday…Some Severe – Thursday Forecast Update 5:30pm

Good Thursday afternoon to you! Parts of west Alabama dealt with big storms this afternoon, thank to an old stationary boundary across the area. With a lifting mecanhism close by and deep tropical moisture, scattered storms developed like clock work this afternoon. Storms have since built westward into Mississippi, as much of our western counties dry out. I know many of you didn’t get rain today. If you didn’t get rain today, look for a good chance of scattered to numerous storms on Friday. As a new cold front moves into the deep south, we can expect a soaking rain at times. It will not rain all day on Friday, but storms are likely.

We could deal with some isolated severe weather issues on Friday due to some wind shear and instability ahead of the cold front. Damaging winds and hail are the main threat. I don’t expect issues with tornadoes, but some wind damage is possible. Look for temperatures to fall into the upper 80s for highs on Friday and Saturday due to the extra clouds and rain. The upper air trough will dig into the southern US on Saturday and Sunday. The deepening trough will allow the surface cold front to dip south of Tuscaloosa sometime Saturday and Sunday. This will take the better rain chances south of town on Saturday and Sunday. While areas near and south of I-20 continue to deal with scattered storms on Saturday, areas to the north should dry out a bit. I expect much of the area to go dry on Sunday and Monday as the front slides south of HWY 80.

Temperatures will remain fairly mild on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, as highs reach the upper 80s. Skies will become partly cloudy to mostly sunny early next week. Look for overnight lows to fall into the middle 60s by Sunday night through Tuesday night.

Tropical Storm Gordon has formed in the central Atlantic today. This system will stay out to sea, so there are no impacts expected around here.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Tree Damage on University of Alabama Campus – Thursday Update 4pm

Check out the tree damage on the University of Alabama Campus due to a nearby thunderstorm. The storm was never warned as severe, and the damage was isolated. Chris Dodson sent us these damage pictures.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Some Storms Today…Severe Weather Possible on Friday… – Thursday Update 3:40pm

Good Thursday afternoon to you! As of 3:30pm, scattered storms over west Alabama are weakening. As afternoon heating took over, storms developed in some spots around and just after lunch. Since we’re close to a boundary over southwest Alabama and east Mississippi, the higher concentration of storms has been over southwest Alabama and east Mississippi. These storms are starting to lose their punch across the area now. Many of you will not see rain today, but if you missed out on the rain, there’s a good chance of a soaking on Friday. Notice the radar image above… Severe storms are developing west of our area, over east Mississippi. These storms are building to the west and away from our area. The risk of rain will mainly remain over south and west Alabama through Sunset, but a stray storm or two is possible anywhere across central Alabama; again, most spots northeast of Tuscaloosa will stay dry today.

Above is the risk of severe weather tomorrow (Friday). The Storm Prediction Center has placed a slight risk of severe storms over much of our area; this includes areas north of HWY 80. As a cold front moves in from the northwest, the risk of a few severe storms will move in. While there is a risk of severe weather, issues should remain pretty scattered to isolated. Damaging winds and hail will be the main threat with tomorrow’s storms. Rain chance is high on Friday, so many of you will get a good soaking. Don’t expect a solid all day type of rain, but you will need the rain gear at times through the day. Skies will remain mostly cloudy on Friday, so temperatures will have a hard time reaching the upper 80s.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Scattered Storms Across Parts of West and Southwest Alabama… Thursday Update 1:55pm

Good Thursday afternoon to you! Much of central Alabama is dry at this 1pm hour, but big storms are developing in parts of our area. Strong storms are moving east across parts of Sumter, Marengo, Greene, Hale and Tuscaloosa County. These cells are below severe limits for now, but I wouldn’t be shocked if a severe thunderstorm warning goes out for a storm or two near or southwest of Tuscaloosa. Damaging winds and hail would be the main concern with storms today, but the risk of severe weather will be very isolated. Most spots will stay dry today. If you live northeast of Tuscaloosa, your rain chance is at 20% for the rest of the day, but if you live southwest of Tuscaloosa, your rain chance is at 50%.

The old boundary across deep south Mississippi and Alabama yesterday is moving north. As this boundary moves into southwest Alabama, lift ahead of it is helping to kick off a few storms. Any storm that develops will produce lots of cloud to ground lightning. Use caution if outdoors. If you get rain in your area, it won’t last all that long.

Our entire area will deal with a good rain chance of Friday, as a cold front moves in from the northwest.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com

Tropical Storm Gordon Forms…Will Become A Hurricane Over The Weekend… Thursday Update 9am

TROPICAL STORM GORDON DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082012
500 AM AST THU AUG 16 2012

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS FORMED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE.  MICROWAVE DATA ALSO SUGGEST THAT THE CENTRAL FEATURES OF THE SYSTEM HAVE BECOME BETTER DEFINED.  THEREFORE…THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 35 KT…IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE TAFB SATELLITE ESTIMATE.  GORDON SHOULD BE MOVING OVER RELATIVELY WARM WATER AND WITHIN A LIGHT-TO-MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ALMOST ALL OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE STORM CLOSE TO OR BECOMING A HURRICANE WITHIN 72 HRS.  THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE…BUT REMAINS BELOW THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS FROM 48-72 HR…AND IS NEAR A BLEND OF THE SHIPS/LGEM MODELS.

GORDON APPEARS TO HAVE RECURVED AND IS MOVING ABOUT 015/12 KT.  THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED NORTHEASTWARD THEN EASTWARD AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  AFTER THAT TIME…GORDON SHOULD INTERACT MORE WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A TROUGH.  WHILE THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT…THERE HAS BEEN A SOUTHWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE TRACK IN THE MAJORITY OF THE GUIDANCE…AND THE NHC FORECAST IS SHIFTED IN THAT DIRECTION. WHILE GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE AZORES IN ABOUT 4 DAYS… MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT IT WILL BE EXTRATROPICAL AT THAT TIME.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter. Like us on facebook by searching facebook.com/wvuaweather or WVUA-TV Weather. You can find us on twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.comor WVUA-TV Weather. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

rscott@wvuatv.com