Good Chance of Storms Today and Tuesday…Some Severe…Monday Morning Update 9am

Good Monday morning to you! A few scattered showers and storms have developed on radar this morning. Most of the activity as of 9am is over northwest Alabama and points northwest. We’re stuck between a ridge to the west and a trough to the northeast, which puts Alabama under a classic northwest flow aloft. With a deep tropical airmass in place and energy working around the ridge, we have to watch for big storms to develop and move into our area. At this point, nothing is severe on radar, but that will likely change later today and tonight. As instability increases this morning and early afternoon, storm will get a bit stronger and increase in coverage. While it will not rain all day, most spots will get a good soaking at some point today, tonight and on Tuesday. Storms are moving from northwest to southeast, so look northwest for storms moving your way. The same storm motion is expected on Tuesday as well. Rain chances both today and Tuesday stand at about 60%.

The Storm Prediction Center has much of Alabama under a slight risk of severe storms today. Above is the day 1 convective outlook from the SPC. Damaging winds and hail are the primary concern with any storm today. While the severe weather risk is fairly low today, a few severe storms are expected across the area. Keep an eye on any watches or warnings listed for your area through the day. If you are working outdoors or have outdoor events planned, go indoors when you hear thunder. Lightning will be very intense with storms that develop today and on Tuesday. Storms will come and go, so don’t expect an all day type of rain. If a storm moves through your area, it will cool things off for a while.

It’s very possible that an MCS will develop and move through our state sometime today or tonight. If that happens, the risk of damaging winds will increase to cover a larger area across west and central Alabama. We’ll keep a close eye on the radar. You can find weather updates right here on our blog, facebook and twitter.

Rain chances will gradually decrease on Wednesday and Thursday to more of an isolated afternoon storm setup. Highs will remain in the 90s.

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Join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and 10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist

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