Storms on Friday, Dry Weekend, More Storms Next Week – Thursday Afternoon Forecast Update 5:40pm

Good Thursday afternoon to you! Other than the heat, it’s a nice and mostly sunny afternoon across our area. A few scattered storms have developed on radar this afternoon, but many spots are rain-free. The risk of a stray storm is still possible through 10pm tonight, but I expect most activity to die out by then. Temperatures will remain mild and muggy tonight, with temperatures falling into the lower 90s at 7pm and lower 80s at 10pm. With high dewpoints, conditions will feel rather uncomfortable this evening and tonight.

The summer ridge that has baked us in the heat over the past couple of days, is finally moving out of the area. As the ridge moves southwest and weakens, a trough will strengthen to the north of Alabama. This will allow a weak cold front to move into Alabama on Friday. Look for a good chance of scattered, mainly afternoon storms. Rain chance of Friday is at 50%, so many spots will get a soaking. Look for highs to reach the lower to middle 90s through the weekend. As the front moves through our area, dewpoints will drop on Saturday and Sunday. Conditions will become a little less humid over the weekend, which will be a welcome relief! Overnight lows will fall into the upper 60s to lower 70s on Sunday and Monday mornings.

Humidity will gradually increase early next week, but the intense heat will remain west of Alabama. I expect hot and humid conditions, but I don’t think we see what we did earlier this week. A broad trough will remain over the east and an intense ridge will remain over the west. That will put Alabama under a northwest flow aloft and will increase our rain chances. A deep tropical moisture feed into Alabama, with weak upper level disturbances moving into our area will allow for good rain chances. Monday will remain mostly dry and mostly sunny, but rain chances will come up on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some forecast data develops a good setup for rain on Wednesday and Thursday of next week. We will fine tune the forecast as we get closer to our next rain event.

The beach forecast is looking wet at times through the weekend, with the risk of scattered storms. I don’t expect a washout for a beach trip, but some spots will get a storm at times, followed by periods of sun. Temperatures along the Alabama Gulf Coast and Florida Panhandle will range in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

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Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist