Saturday Evening Forecast Discussion – 9:55 p.m.

Precipitation looks to have come to an end for this evening. A few high clouds will remain for the time being, giving way to some low level cloud development once again tonight.  This cloud deck should not be as extensive or long lasting as last night`s but it should be there nonetheless.

The only feature we will have to watch overnight will be the upper level low currently over southern Mississippi.  This feature could help to develop some showers in West Alabama after 3 am.  So we still have a chance of rain late tonight along the Mississippi-Alabama state line.

On Sunday the trough will be just south of the I-20 corridor, so the best chance of rain will be in the north part of the area. We are only expecting scattered activity during the peak heating of the day. At this time the best chances will be across the northwestern areas. Looks like Sunday will be generally a daytime rainmaker, meaning there is a less likely chance Sunday night.

For next week, we will need to keep an eye on the tropical moisture that will slide into the northern gulf. Looks like it should stay to our south allowing us to dry out and warm up for Monday and Tuesday. Look for above normal temperatures through midnight as activity will be more isolated in nature. Although if the gulf moisture moves further north, then activity will be more scattered especially in the south. The majority of the models keep the storm pattern well to our north and builds in the bermuda high. Although Central Alabama would remain on the western periphery of the ridge and will continue to keep at least a chance of showers and thunderstorms through the rest of the time frame.

Daniel Sparkman
WVUA Weather

Strong Storms Moving Through Early This Morning…Saturday Morning Update 4:45am

Good Morning! Much of our Friday was rain free due to a morning complex really working over the atmosphere, plus, the front was still hanging far to the northwest. The cold front has arrived in our northern counties, so some storms have moved in from the northwest with the front. These storms are strong, but for now, not severe. The weak cold front acts as a lifting mechanism, so storms can fire late at night or during the early morning hours.

As of 4:45am, a batch of strong storms was lined up from Northwest Walker County to northwest Tuscaloosa County to Central Pickens County. Storms this morning are moving southeast at 20mph, so many places will get rain to the south and southeast of the complex, including cities like Tuscaloosa, Centreville, Marion, Greensboro, Demopolis, Livingston and Linden. This is good news in terms of the needed rain. While the storms aren’t severe at this point, they are producing lots of cloud to ground lightning; they will likely wake you up once they arrive at your house. Also, heavy rain will fall in most spots for 30 minutes to an hour.

Don’t expect this activity to stick around for very long due to the rather small nature of the complex and it’s southeast motion. If you have plans outdoors on this Saturday, it will not rain all day. Once this complex moves southeast of your area, the risk of storms will remain fair, but storms should remain pretty scattered today through this afternoon. I can’t rule out a storm or two becoming severe, with the threat of damaging winds. Remember, lightning will be intense with most storms today, so go indoors when a storm moves into your area. Skies will remain partly sunny today with a high near 90.

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Richard Scott

WVUA Chief Meteorologist