Rain Ahead…Thursday Afternoon Forecast Discussion – 4:55pm Update

A good Thursday afternoon to you! After many of us started off the day in the 20s, temperatures made a nice recovery this afternoon. Sunny skies and a south flow really helped temperatures warm today, with some spots reaching the lower 60s. As the south flow increases, moisture and clouds will also increase this evening and on Friday. With a higher dewpoint, temperatures won’t fall that much tonight. While it will get fairly chilly, lows will only reach the upper 40s to lower 50s.

With a fast moving disturbance moving into the deep south late Friday and on Saturday, look for clouds to continue to thicken. Showers will become possible as early as Friday, but heavier rain and storms will move in as the cold front approaches the area on Saturday. Some strong storms are possible on Saturday, but severe weather parameters are very marginal for any major risk. We’ll keep an eye on the radar incase anything grows a little strong. The front will stall across central Alabama Saturday afternoon and will retreat north as a warm front on Sunday. Temperatures will remain well above average through the weekend, with highs between 67 and 73 through Sunday. Sunday will remain mostly cloudy, but I don’t expect much rain. At most, Sunday will feature a passing light shower or two.

A vigorous storm system will quickly approach Sunday night and on Monday. This will bring another good chance of showers and storms Sunday night through Monday morning. Instability will be lacking with this storm system, so I don’t expect a major risk of severe weather. While instability will be rather limited, shear and dynamics are fairly impressive. If model data comes in more aggressive with instability, the risk will increase. At this point, we can expect a line of showers and storms to arrive sometime late Sunday night. The storms will exit west Alabama during the morning hours on Monday and east Alabama during the early afternoon hours. Model data is still a little questionable on the exact timing and strength of this system, so stay tuned for any changes. Most of the cold air will remain north of the area, but some cooler air will move in late Monday and on Tuesday.

There’s some hint at another storm system moving in on Wednesday or Thursday, so we may have to bump up the rain chances as forecast confidence increases.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or searching WVUA-TV Weather. We also have a new like page on facebook, called WVUA-TV Weather. Since we’re running out of room on the friend page, I recommend you like us on facebook. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Also, join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Nice Sunset Pictures from Wednesday… Thursday Update 4:30 PM

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Check out these sunset pictures taken in West Alabama yesterday by local viewers. I also captured a few images from our WVUA Tuscaloosa Towercam. A special thanks to the viewers for sending in their sunset pictures!

Forecast Discussion coming out in a few minutes.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or searching WVUA-TV Weather. We also have a new like page on facebook, called WVUA-TV Weather. Since we’re running out of room on the friend page, I recommend you like us on facebook. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Also, join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com