Warm Temps, Heavy Rain, Cold, Then Warm Again… Monday Evening Forecast Update – 5:40 PM

A good Monday afternoon to you! Temperatures are well above average today, with many spots topping the middle to upper 60s today. Average highs for this time of the year are in the middle 50s. Despite the clouds, temperatures were able to warm with a good south flow. Warm air advection will continue tonight and on Tuesday. In response to the south flow, temperatures will likely reach the lower 70s on Tuesday.

A large storm system developing west of Alabama today will move into the southeast tomorrow. Showers and storms will become likely ahead of a deep upper air trough. At this point, there are no signs of severe weather. We’ll watch the radar trends close tomorrow afternoon and evening, but the better shear and dynamics will be well north of the area. In-fact, the surface low will be moving into southern Canada once the front reaches Alabama tomorrow evening. With deep tropical moisture moving into the area during the day on Tuesday, look for locally heavy rain to develop. The heavier rain and storms will arrive after lunch, as the stronger lift moves into the area. Rain totals will likely reach the 1 to 2 inch range across much of central and west Alabama.

There’s a good supply of cold air behind the front, so look for a sharp drop in temperatures Tuesday night and on Wednesday. We’ll stay in the 40s all day on Wednesday, with a north breeze. Skies will become sunny, but the sun won’t help our temperatures much at all. Lows will fall into the lower 20s by Thursday morning. Since we continue this very wild progressive pattern, more major changes are likely on Thursday and Friday. The upper air trough will quickly move out of the area, and slight ridging will move in. This will cause temperatures to increase on Thursday and Friday. Highs will reach the upper 50s to 60 on Thursday, with lower to middle 60s on Friday. A moist south flow will help kick off some clouds and showers on Friday and Saturday. Some data hints at a weak disturbance moving through the deep south late Friday or early Saturday. That could bring a risk of heavier showers and rain. We’ll update the forecast as model data becomes a little more consistent. Temperatures will continue to warm past that disturbance, with many spots well into the 70s on Saturday, Sunday and Monday. Some spots could reach the upper 70s on Sunday and Monday.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or searching WVUA-TV Weather. We also have a new like page on facebook, called WVUA-TV Weather. Since we’re running out of room on the friend page, I recommend you like us on facebook. Great way to get weather updates! Plus, facebook is a great way to send us weather pictures. Simply tag us!

Also, join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Nice West Alabama Sunset Pictures! Monday Update 5:20 PM

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Check out these awesome sunset pictures from some west Alabama viewers! A special thanks to everyone for sending in these pictures! Also, I’ve added some nice pictures from our Tuscaloosa Towercam.

Full weather discussion coming out soon.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or searching WVUA-TV Weather. We also have a new like page on facebook, called WVUA-TV Weather. Since we’re running out of room on the friend page, I recommend you like us on facebook. Great way to get weather updates!

Also, join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com