Warm, Then Very Cold…Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Update – 4:15 PM
December 28, 2011 2 Comments
Good Wednesday to you! A little cloud-cover has moved into much of the area this afternoon, but much of the day has featured sunny skies. The extra clouds are in response to a fast moving upper level disturbance. While this disturbance is moving through our area, the air is too dry to bring any rain. Temperatures are still cool today, with many spots topping out in the lower to middle 50s. The trough that has brought the much colder air to the east and south is moving out. As heights increase a bit, temperatures will warm as well, especially by the weekend.
Conditions are fairly calm over much of the US today, as a large area of high pressure keeps things in check. The surface high will move east of our area tomorrow, and a south wind will develop. This will increase moisture, so expect skies to become partly cloudy late this week and into the weekend. Temperatures will also modify a bit, as the warm airmass over the Gulf moves our way. Expect highs in the upper 50s on Thursday and lower 60s on Friday. While moisture levels increase, lows will warm as well. Expect a low of 30 tonight, but upper 30s are likely on Thursday night and 40s through the weekend.
A sharp cold front will push through the area on Sunday and Monday. This will bring some very cold temperatures to the deep south and much of the US. If forecast data is correct, Monday will feature highs in the 50s with falling temperatures during the afternoon. Tuesday would be even colder, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. As a surface high quickly swings into the southeast, temperatures may fall into the teens at night Monday and Tuesday night. At this point, I don’t see any sign of wintry weather.
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WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott
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Hopefully this pattern will stick around for at least 10 are 15 days and maybe the NAO will go negative in the middle of January.
We need some blocking near Iceland. That would allow for some cold weather to stick around here a bit.
-Richard