Rain Likely! Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Discussion – 5:15 pm Update

A good Wednesday afternoon to you! We’ve caught a break in the activity this afternoon, as one storm system has moved east of the area and a new system develops to our west. As a cold front stalls over central Alabama, the advancing cooler airmass has come to a stop as well. In-fact, we’ve got lower 50s in our northern counties and middle 70s in our southern counties. The front is right along the Interstate 25/59 now.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of west and central Alabama under a slight risk of severe storms for Thursday. It’s a very iffy severe weather threat, as the stationary front will become the track our secondary surface low takes. To the south of the surface low will include the risk of severe storms, while very heavy rain will be the main concern north of the low. At this point, it looks like the dividing line between just heavy rain and a low end severe weather threat will occur close to Interstate 20/59.

Time Frame and Threat: Rain will start falling in west Alabama early tomorrow morning. Rain will become heavy as the surface low tracks into the southwest Alabama around lunch. Between about 10am and 7pm, there’s a window of opportunity for a few storms to become strong to severe. The main threat will be in the form of damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado. If we have a tornado warning, you can tune into WVUA-TV for full severe weather coverage. I don’t expect any major problems with severe weather due to marginal instability parameters. If the surface low tracks a little further south and heavy rain overspreads the entire area with no breaks, the risk will go down. Keep checking on our weather blog and on WVUA-TV for updates. Daniel Sparkman will be in tomorrow for the 4, 5, 6 and 10pm news. Rain totals will reach 1 to 3 inches area-wide. This could cause some minor stream and river flooding issues.

The cold front will move through the area after sunset on Thursday. Look for some drier air to move into the area on Friday and Saturday. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a passing shower on Christmas Eve, but another storms system will bring a soaking rain late Saturday night and on Sunday. Christmas Day looks wet at this point. Temperatures will be a bit cooler as well, with highs in the upper 50s on Friday and lower 50s for Saturday and Sunday. Conditions should go dry on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or searching WVUA-TV Weather. We also have a new like page on facebook, called WVUA-TV Weather. Since we’re running out of room on the friend page, I recommend you like us on facebook. Great way to get weather updates!

Also, join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Tuscaloosa Sunset…Wednesday Update 4:30 PM

Check out this amazing sunset with our Tuscaloosa towercam. We’re looking west southwest, over Bryant-Denny Stadium. The clouds you see in the image are high level clouds, which are streaming in from the southwest. This is the leading edge of tomorrow’s big storm system.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or searching WVUA-TV Weather. We also have a new like page on facebook, called WVUA-TV Weather. Since we’re running out of room on the friend page, I recommend you like us on facebook. Great way to get weather updates!

Also, join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Slight Risk of Severe Weather on Thursday… Wednesday Update 2:30 PM

I hope you are having a nice Christmas week! Data has come in a little more aggressive on Thursday’s storm system, so the Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Alabama under a slight risk of severe weather. This risk includes all of our area in west and central Alabama.

While we are under a slight risk of severe weather, I don’t see a major threat for severe weather in the area. The surface low will track right across central Alabama during the midday to early afternoon hours on Thursday. This will bring heavy rain to much of the state for much of the day and should keep things fairly stable for the most part. There will be a window of opportunity to have enough instability and shear in the area to spin up an isolated, weak tornado or to bring the risk of isolated damaging winds. This would only occur in the more intense storms that develop. Much like Tuesday, this could turn out to be nothing serious, but I wanted to give you a head’s up incase a storm or two gets out of hand. Either way, instability levels are rather marginal for severe weather issues, so we’ll watch the radar through the day. If we have any issues at all, the best chance for that would occur between 10am and 7pm. While that’s a large span of time, the risk will shift through the state from west to east during this time-frame.

Don’t forget, we broadcast non-stop for tornado warnings in west Alabama on WVUA-TV. We also simulcast severe weather coverage on 102.9 Catfish Country and 100.1 WTBC The River.

Send us your weather pictures! Send them to weather@wvuatv.com. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com or searching WVUA-TV Weather. We also have a new like page on facebook, called WVUA-TV Weather. Since we’re running out of room on the friend page, I recommend you like us on facebook. Great way to get weather updates!

Also, join us live on WVUA-TV weekdays at 4, 5, 6 and10 pm and weekends at 10pm for the very latest on your news, weather and sports.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com